Xcel Brands, Inc.

Miscellaneous
Multi-Sector Companies
www.xcelbrands.com

Earnings Score
Moat Score
Safety Score

Market Cap $14.37M
PE -1
Debt $5.75M
Cash $1.66M
EV $18.46M
FCF -$8.08M

Earnings

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Sales & Net Margins

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Earnings	-$18.78M
EBIT	-$16.91M
ROE	-41%
ROA	-27%
FCF	-$8.08M
Equity	$46.02M
Growth Stability	-710%
PE	-0.77
PB	0.31
P/FCF	-1.78
P/S	1.43
Price/Cash	0.12
Debt/Equity	0.12
Debt/FCF	-0.71
Net Margins	-120%
Gross Margins	95%
Op. Margins	-168%
Earnings CAGR	1%
Sales Growth YoY	-56%
Sales Growth QoQ	35%
Sales CAGR	-4%
FCF CAGR	-1%
Equity CAGR	-5%
Earnings Stability	0.02
Earnings Growth YoY	-104%

Earnings Growth QoQ	-103%
Sales CAGR 5Y	-13%
FCF CAGR 5Y	-0%
Equity CAGR 5Y	-14%
Earnings CAGR 3Y	-30%
Sales CAGR 3Y	-30%
Equity CAGR 3Y	-19%
Market Cap	$14.37M
Revenue	$10.06M
Assets	$63.17M
Total Debt	$5.75M
Cash	$1.66M
Shares Outstanding	21.93M
EV	18.46M
Earnings Score	6%
Moat Score	1%
Safety Score	34%
Final Score	14%
Working Capital	-1.3M
Current Ratio	0.79
Gross Profit	$9.60M
Shares Growth 3y	3%
Equity Growth QoQ	1%
Equity Growth YoY	-26%

Assets & ROA

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Stockholders Equity & ROE

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Xcel Brands Inc is a media and brand management company. It is primarily engaged in the design, merchandising and planning, sourcing and production, licensing, marketing, and brand development. The company offers branded apparel, footwear, accessories, jewelry, home goods, and other consumer products. Its brand portfolio consists of the Isaac Mizrahi, Judith Ripka, H Halston, C Wonder, and the Highline Collective brands. The company licenses its brands to third parties, provides certain design, production, and marketing services, and generates licensing, design, and service fee revenues through contractual arrangements and other agreements.

SEC Filings

Direct access to Xcel Brands, Inc. (XELB) Annual Reports (10K) and Quarterly Reports (10Q) from the SEC website.

2024
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2023
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2022
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31

Sector Comparison

How does Xcel Brands, Inc. compare to its competitors?

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Peter Lynch's Chart

This chart shows the current pricing of Xcel Brands, Inc. compared to its past. The addition of the earnings trend line provides further insights into the company's earnings power.

CAGR 1%

Stability 2%

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Xcel Brands, Inc. Discounted Cash Flow

Fully customizable DCF calculator online for Xcel Brands, Inc..

Years

Calculation mode

= -$75M

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
fcf	-$8.1M	-$8M	-$7.9M	-$7.8M	-$7.7M	-$7.6M	-$7.6M	-$7.5M	-$7.4M	-$7.3M	-$7.2M	-$72M
DCF		-$7.3M	-$6.5M	-$5.9M	-$5.3M	-$4.7M	-$4.3M	-$3.8M	-$3.4M	-$3.1M	-$2.8M	-$28M
Value	-$75M

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years	12/2014	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	05/2022	12/2022	12/2023	TTM
Net Margins	-5%	9%	8%	-32%	3%	-8%	-44%	-34%	-	-21%	-125%	-120%
ROA	-	3%	3%	-7%	3%	-2%	-13%	-10%	-	-3%	-29%	-27%
ROE	-	3%	3%	-10%	1%	-3%	-15%	-17%	-	-8%	-44%	-41%

Bad Net Margins (-120.36%)

Net Margins are too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Safety and Stability

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years	12/2014	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	05/2022	12/2022	12/2023	TTM
Debt over FCF	-	-171.05	6.66	6.8	4.87	8.98	8.02	-4.12	-	-0	-0.87	-0.71
Debt over Equity	0.94	0.5	0.36	0.31	0.25	0.22	0.23	0.42	-	0	0.11	0.12
Growth Stability	-	-	-	-710%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-710%

Good Debt/FCF ratio (-0.71)

Net Margins are high enough to offer a good protection on the profits in case of higher costs or higher interests. Furthermore higher margins reduce earnings’ volatility.

Good Debt/Equity ratio (0.12)

The company is not overleveraged and has a good balance between equity and debt.

Bad Graham’s Stability (-710%)

The company has a bad stability in its earnings, which is a sign of a bad competitive advantage.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years	12/2014	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	05/2022	12/2022	12/2023	CAGR 5Y
Revenue YoY growth	-	34%	18%	-3%	12%	18%	-29%	29%	-	-	-31%	-13%
Earnings YoY growth	-	-349%	6%	-470%	-111%	-417%	280%	-0%	-	-	315%	-
Equity YoY growth	-	66%	6%	-8%	2%	-1%	-12%	-13%	-	-	-29%	-14%
FCF YoY growth	-	-99%	-2K%	-22%	14%	-54%	3%	-414%	-	-	-54%	-0%