Wingstop Inc.

Consumer Discretionary
Restaurants
www.wingstop.com

Earnings Score
Safety Score

Market Cap $9.93B
Debt $713.73M
Cash $131.14M
EV $10.52B
FCF $139.61M

Earnings

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Sales & Net Margins

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Earnings	$100.78M
EBIT	$153.59M
ROA	32%
FCF	$139.61M
Equity	-$447.47M
Growth Stability	95%
PE	98.58
PEG	2.56
PB	-22.2
P/FCF	71.16
P/S	16.81
Price/Cash	0.01
Debt/Equity	-1.6
Debt/FCF	5.11
Net Margins	18%
Gross Margins	85%
Op. Margins	26%
Earnings CAGR	23%
Sales Growth YoY	39%
Sales Growth QoQ	4%
Sales CAGR	24%
FCF CAGR	20%
Earnings Stability	0.86
Earnings Growth YoY	32%
Earnings Growth QoQ	-6%

Earnings CAGR 5Y	39%
Sales CAGR 5Y	24%
FCF CAGR 5Y	33%
Earnings CAGR 3Y	32%
Sales CAGR 3Y	32%
FCF CAGR 3Y	117%
Market Cap	$9.93B
Revenue	$591.04M
Dividend Yield	0%
Payout Ratio	27%
Assets	$484.76M
Total Debt	$713.73M
Cash	$131.14M
Shares Outstanding	29.21M
EV	10.52B
Earnings Score	94%
Safety Score	57%
Working Capital	47.35M
Current Ratio	1.4
Gross Profit	$503.05M
Shares Growth 3y	-1%
Equity Growth QoQ	2%
Equity Growth YoY	-6%

Assets & ROA

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Stockholders Equity & ROE

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Wingstop Inc is a high-growth franchisor and operator of restaurants that specialize in cooked-to-order, hand-sauced and tossed chicken wings. The company dialect has 11 proprietary flavors, which range from extremely hot to mild, Atomic, Mango Habanero, Cajun, Original Hot, Louisiana Rub, Mild, Hickory Smoked BBQ, Lemon Pepper, Garlic Parmesan, Hawaiian, and Teriyaki.

SEC Filings

Direct access to Wingstop Inc. (WING) Annual Reports (10K) and Quarterly Reports (10Q) from the SEC website.

2024
- 10-Q Sep 28
- 10-Q Jun 29
- 10-Q Mar 30
2023
- 10-K Dec 30
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jul 01
- 10-Q Apr 01
2022
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 24
- 10-Q Jun 25
- 10-Q Mar 26

Sector Comparison

How does Wingstop Inc. compare to its competitors?

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Peter Lynch's Chart

This chart shows the current pricing of Wingstop Inc. compared to its past. The addition of the earnings trend line provides further insights into the company's earnings power.

CAGR 23%

Stability 86%

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Wingstop Inc. Discounted Cash Flow

Fully customizable DCF calculator online for Wingstop Inc..

Years

Calculation mode

= $5.6B

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
fcf	$140M	$167M	$200M	$240M	$287M	$344M	$412M	$493M	$591M	$708M	$847M	$8.5B
DCF		$152M	$165M	$180M	$196M	$214M	$233M	$253M	$276M	$300M	$327M	$3.3B
Value	$5.6B

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years	12/2014	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	TTM
Net Margins	13%	13%	15%	20%	14%	10%	9%	15%	15%	15%	18%
ROA	-	16%	26%	30%	28%	26%	27%	30%	22%	30%	32%
ROE	-	-104%	-21%	-57%	-10%	-10%	-7%	-14%	-14%	-15%	-

Good Net Margins (17.67%)

Net Margins are high enough to offer a good protection on the profits in case of higher costs or higher interests. Furthermore higher margins reduce earnings’ volatility.

Safety and Stability

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years	12/2014	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	TTM
Debt over FCF	-	8.58	7.7	5.6	9.27	19.93	8.13	22.9	13.99	8.93	5.11
Debt over Equity	-10.42	-9.87	-2.07	-2.84	-1.43	-1.53	-1.42	-1.54	-1.87	-1.58	-1.6
Growth Stability	-	-	-	100%	100%	95%	100%	100%	100%	100%	95%

Bad Debt/FCF ratio (5.11)

Net Margins are too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Good Debt/Equity ratio (-1.6)

The company is not overleveraged and has a good balance between equity and debt.

Good Graham’s Stability (95%)

The company has a good stability in its earnings, which is a sign of a good competitive advantage.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years	12/2014	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	CAGR 5Y
Revenue YoY growth	-	16%	33%	29%	15%	30%	25%	14%	27%	29%	24%
Earnings YoY growth	-	12%	53%	77%	-20%	-6%	14%	83%	24%	33%	39%
Equity YoY growth	-	8%	672%	-35%	366%	-7%	63%	-9%	26%	17%	-
FCF YoY growth	-	-13%	81%	22%	42%	-54%	269%	-65%	151%	54%	33%