Vista Outdoor Inc.

Industrials
Ordnance And Accessories
www.vistaoutdoor.com

Earnings Score
Moat Score
Safety Score

Market Cap $2.60B
PE -286
Debt $590.00M
Cash $36.93M
EV $3.16B
FCF $346.76M

Earnings

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Sales & Net Margins

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Earnings	-$9.11M
EBIT	$29.24M
ROE	-1%
ROA	1%
FCF	$346.76M
Equity	$1.23B
Growth Stability	-5%
PE	-285.94
PEG	-104.78
PB	2.11
P/FCF	7.51
P/S	0.97
Price/Cash	0.01
Debt/Equity	0.48
Debt/FCF	1.7
Net Margins	8%
Gross Margins	31%
Op. Margins	1%
Earnings CAGR	2%
Sales Growth YoY	-2%
Sales Growth QoQ	3%
Sales CAGR	3%
FCF CAGR	17%
Equity CAGR	-3%
Earnings Stability	0.05
Earnings Growth YoY	-6%
Earnings Growth QoQ	-27%

Earnings CAGR 5Y	3%
Sales CAGR 5Y	11%
FCF CAGR 5Y	32%
Equity CAGR 5Y	23%
Earnings CAGR 3Y	-5%
Sales CAGR 3Y	-5%
FCF CAGR 3Y	11%
Equity CAGR 3Y	0%
Market Cap	$2.60B
Revenue	$2.69B
Assets	$2.35B
Total Debt	$590.00M
Cash	$36.93M
Shares Outstanding	58.36M
EV	3.16B
Earnings Score	6%
Moat Score	38%
Safety Score	64%
Final Score	36%
Working Capital	709.7M
Current Ratio	2.9
Gross Profit	$845.94M
Shares Growth 3y	1%
Equity Growth QoQ	4%
Equity Growth YoY	0%

Assets & ROA

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Stockholders Equity & ROE

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Vista Outdoor Inc designs, develops, and manufactures outdoor sports and recreation products, and is domiciled in the United States. The company organizes itself into two segments: Shooting sports and Outdoor products. Shooting sports, which contributes the largest proportion of company revenue, includes ammunition, long guns, and related equipment under brands such as Federal Premium, Blackhawk, and Hoppe's. Outdoor products include archery and hunting accessories, eyewear, golf products, hydration products, and stand-up paddle boards under brands including CamelBak and Bushnell. The company derives the vast majority of revenue domestically.

SEC Filings

Direct access to Vista Outdoor Inc. (VSTO) Annual Reports (10K) and Quarterly Reports (10Q) from the SEC website.

2024
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-K Mar 31
2023
- 10-Q Dec 24
- 10-Q Sep 24
- 10-Q Jun 25
- 10-K Mar 31
2022
- 10-Q Dec 25
- 10-Q Sep 25
- 10-Q Jun 26
- 10-K Mar 31

Sector Comparison

How does Vista Outdoor Inc. compare to its competitors?

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Peter Lynch's Chart

This chart shows the current pricing of Vista Outdoor Inc. compared to its past. The addition of the earnings trend line provides further insights into the company's earnings power.

CAGR 2%

Stability 5%

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Vista Outdoor Inc. Discounted Cash Flow

Fully customizable DCF calculator online for Vista Outdoor Inc..

Years

Calculation mode

= $11B

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
fcf	$347M	$405M	$472M	$551M	$643M	$751M	$877M	$1B	$1.2B	$1.4B	$1.6B	$16B
DCF		$368M	$390M	$414M	$440M	$466M	$495M	$525M	$557M	$591M	$627M	$6.3B
Value	$11B

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years	03/2015	03/2016	03/2017	03/2018	03/2019	03/2020	03/2021	03/2022	03/2023	03/2024	TTM
Net Margins	4%	6%	-11%	-3%	-32%	-9%	12%	16%	-0%	-0%	8%
ROA	-	9%	-7%	-3%	-35%	-9%	16%	27%	4%	2%	1%
ROE	-	9%	-22%	-5%	-106%	-35%	36%	42%	-1%	-0%	-1%

Net Margins (7.55%)

Net Margins are at a level that is not too high nor too low. They are not a competitive advantage but they are not a competitive disadvantage either.

Safety and Stability

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years	03/2015	03/2016	03/2017	03/2018	03/2019	03/2020	03/2021	03/2022	03/2023	03/2024	TTM
Debt over FCF	-	4.47	18.2	5.16	13.29	9.76	1.59	2.43	2.51	1.94	1.7
Debt over Equity	0.22	0.42	0.94	0.79	1.2	1.17	0.68	0.6	0.99	0.64	0.48
Growth Stability	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-5%	-2%	-5%

Good Debt/FCF ratio (1.7)

Net Margins are high enough to offer a good protection on the profits in case of higher costs or higher interests. Furthermore higher margins reduce earnings’ volatility.

Good Debt/Equity ratio (0.48)

The company is not overleveraged and has a good balance between equity and debt.

Bad Graham’s Stability (-5%)

The company has a bad stability in its earnings, which is a sign of a bad competitive advantage.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years	03/2015	03/2016	03/2017	03/2018	03/2019	03/2020	03/2021	03/2022	03/2023	03/2024	CAGR 5Y
Revenue YoY growth	-	9%	12%	-9%	-11%	-15%	27%	37%	1%	-11%	11%
Earnings YoY growth	-	85%	-287%	-78%	977%	-76%	-272%	78%	-102%	-43%	3%
Equity YoY growth	-	1%	-25%	-2%	-50%	-27%	67%	53%	1%	-0%	23%
FCF YoY growth	-	41%	-59%	190%	-70%	-4%	495%	-13%	62%	-17%	32%