Services-Prepackaged Software
Qualys, Inc. provides cloud-based information technology (IT), security, and compliance solutions in the United States and internationally. The company offers Qualys Cloud Apps, which includes Vulnerability Management; Vulnerability Management, Detection and Response; Threat Protection; Continuous Monitoring; Patch Management; Multi-Vector Endpoint Detection and Response; Certificate Assessment; SaaS Detection and Response; Secure Enterprise Mobility; Custom Assessment and Remediation; Context Extended Detection and Response; Network Detection and Response; Policy Compliance; Security Configuration Assessment; PCI Compliance; File Integrity Monitoring; Security Assessment Questionnaire; Out of-Band Configuration Assessment; Web Application Scanning; Web Application Firewall; Global Asset Inventory; Cybersecurity Asset Management; Certificate Inventory; Cloud Inventory; Cloud Security Assessment; and Container Security. Its integrated suite of IT, security, and compliance solutions delivered on its Qualys Cloud Platform enables customers to identify and manage IT assets, collect, and analyze IT security data, discover, and prioritize vulnerabilities, recommend, and implement remediation actions, and verify the implementation of such actions. The company also provides asset tagging and management, reporting and dashboards, questionnaires and collaboration, remediation and workflow, big data correlation and analytics engine, and alerts and notifications, which enable integrated workflows, management and real-time analysis, and reporting across IT, security, and compliance solutions. The company offers its solutions through its sales teams, as well as through its network of channel partners, such as security consulting organizations, managed service providers, resellers, and consulting firms. It serves enterprises, government entities, and small and medium-sized businesses in various industries, including education, financial services, government, healthcare, insurance, manufacturing, media, retail, technology, and utilities. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Foster City, California.
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Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Qualys, Inc.
Growth
%
%
Discount
%
%
Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $256.5M | $317.2M | $385.6M | $460.8M | $541.1M | $624.2M | $707.2M | $786.5M | $858.4M | $919.1M | $965.1M | $9.651B |
DCF | $275.8M | $291.6M | $303M | $309.4M | $310.3M | $305.7M | $295.7M | $280.6M | $261.3M | $238.5M | $2.385B | |
Value | $5.257B |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | 9.7% | 9.7% | 18% | 21% | 22% | 25% | 17% | 22% | 27% | 28% |
ROA | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12% | 14% | 11% | 19% | 22% | 22% |
ROE | 8.1% | 7.4% | 12% | 16% | 18% | 23% | 16% | 37% | 41% | 40% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +22.33%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +0.79%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +14.54%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +2.32%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +25.22%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +5.08%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Debt Equity | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 98% | 100% | 100% | 98% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is -.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.98.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 12-2016 | 12-2018 | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 16% | 15% | 15% | 13% | -0.96% |
Net Income | 34% | 21% | 18% | 40% | 2.8% |
Stockholders Equity | 5.2% | 0.56% | -3.1% | 27% | -4.2% |
FCF | 27% | 18% | 16% | 29% | -4.1% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +14.73%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.96%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +21.48%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +2.82%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +0.56%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -4.22%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +18.09%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -4.08%.