Portillo's Inc.

Consumer Discretionary
Restaurants
www.portillos.com

Earnings Score
Moat Score
Safety Score

Market Cap $639.20M
PE 22
Debt $336.67M
Cash $22.88M
EV $952.99M
FCF $9.85M

Earnings

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Sales & Net Margins

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Earnings	$29.52M
EBIT	$58.03M
ROE	6%
ROA	4%
FCF	$9.85M
Equity	$490.10M
Growth Stability	1
PE	21.66
PEG	0.6
PB	1.3
P/FCF	64.9
P/S	0.9
Price/Cash	0.04
Debt/Equity	0.69
Debt/FCF	34.18
Net Margins	4%
Op. Margins	8%
Earnings CAGR	36%
Sales Growth YoY	-2%
Sales Growth QoQ	4%
Sales CAGR	20%
FCF CAGR	-8%
Equity CAGR	39%
Earnings Stability	-0.28
Earnings Growth YoY	45%
Earnings Growth QoQ	56%

Earnings CAGR 5Y	36%
Sales CAGR 5Y	20%
FCF CAGR 5Y	-8%
Equity CAGR 5Y	39%
Earnings CAGR 3Y	11%
Sales CAGR 3Y	11%
FCF CAGR 3Y	0%
Equity CAGR 3Y	4%
Market Cap	$639.20M
Revenue	$710.55M
Assets	$1.50B
Total Debt	$336.67M
Cash	$22.88M
Shares Outstanding	61.05M
EV	952.99M
Earnings Score	6%
Moat Score	63%
Safety Score	72%
Final Score	47%
Working Capital	-82.92M
Current Ratio	0.39
Shares Growth 3y	25%
Equity Growth QoQ	3%
Equity Growth YoY	7%

Assets & ROA

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Stockholders Equity & ROE

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Portillos Inc serves the Chicago street food industry through high-energy and multichannel restaurants. It owns and operates fast-casual restaurants in the United States, along with two food production commissaries in Illinois. Its menu includes hot dogs, beef and sausage sandwiches, sandwiches and ribs, salads, burgers, chicken, Barnelli's pasta, sides and soup, and desserts and shakes.

SEC Filings

Direct access to Portillo's Inc. (PTLO) Annual Reports (10K) and Quarterly Reports (10Q) from the SEC website.

2024
- 10-K Dec 29
- 10-Q Sep 29
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2023
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 24
- 10-Q Jun 25
- 10-Q Mar 26
2022
- 10-K Dec 25
- 10-Q Sep 25
- 10-Q Jun 26
- 10-Q Mar 27

Sector Comparison

How does Portillo's Inc. compare to its competitors?

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Peter Lynch's Chart

This chart shows the current pricing of Portillo's Inc. compared to its past. The addition of the earnings trend line provides further insights into the company's earnings power.

CAGR 36%

Stability -28%

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Portillo's Inc. Discounted Cash Flow

Fully customizable DCF calculator online for Portillo's Inc..

Years

Calculation mode

= $60M

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
fcf	$9.8M	$9.1M	$8.4M	$7.8M	$7.2M	$6.6M	$6.1M	$5.7M	$5.2M	$4.8M	$4.5M	$45M
DCF		$8.3M	$7M	$5.8M	$4.9M	$4.1M	$3.5M	$2.9M	$2.4M	$2.1M	$1.7M	$17M
Value	$60M

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	TTM
Net Margins	-3%	-2%	-6%	2%	3%	4%	4%
ROA	-	-	3%	3%	4%	4%	4%
ROE	-	-	-8%	3%	4%	6%	6%

Bad Net Margins (4.15%)

Net Margins are too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Safety and Stability

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	TTM
Debt over FCF	-	-	49.18	33.23	-18.76	34.18	34.18
Debt over Equity	-	3.36	0.78	0.75	0.7	0.69	0.69
Growth Stability	-	-	-	-	-	-	1

Bad Debt/FCF ratio (34.18)

Net Margins are too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Good Debt/Equity ratio (0.69)

The company is not overleveraged and has a good balance between equity and debt.

Good Graham’s Stability (1)

The company has a good stability in its earnings, which is a sign of a good competitive advantage.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	CAGR 5Y
Revenue YoY growth	-	-5%	17%	10%	16%	5%	20%
Earnings YoY growth	-	-36%	319%	-131%	70%	60%	36%
Equity YoY growth	-	-5%	201%	2%	6%	7%	39%
FCF YoY growth	-	73%	-82%	47%	-274%	-157%	-8%