Permian Resources Corp
PR
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
Mkt Cap
$4.044BPE
13.30Debt
$2.254BCash
$212.3MEV
$6.086BFCF
$455.4MP/E Ratio
13.30Debt
$2.254BCash
$212.3MEV
$6.086BFCF
$455.4MPermian Resources Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company, focuses on the development of crude oil and related liquids-rich natural gas reserves in the United States. Its assets primarily focus on the Delaware Basin, a sub-basin of the Permian Basin. The company's properties consist of acreage blocks in Reeves County, West Texas and Lea County, New Mexico. The company was formerly known as Centennial Resource Development, Inc. and changed its name to Permian Resources Corporation in September 2022. Permian Resources Corporation was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Midland, Texas.
Sector
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DCF
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Permian Resources Corp
Value
Growth
%
%
Discount
%
%
Multiple
| g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| +1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| +2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| +3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| +4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCF | $455.4M | $592M | $753.2M | $937.3M | $1.14B | $1.356B | $1.574B | $1.784B | $1.973B | $2.126B | $2.232B | $22.32B |
| DCF | $514.8M | $569.5M | $616.3M | $652M | $674.1M | $680.6M | $670.7M | $644.8M | $604.3M | $551.8M | $5.518B | |
| Value | $11.7B | |||||||||||
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
Earnings Growth 62%
Earnings Stability -7.8%
Competitiveness and MOAT
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
| Years | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Margin | 18% | 22% | 1.7% | -120% | 13% | 24% | 11% |
| ROA | 3.1% | 6.6% | 1.7% | -20% | 9.7% | 12% | 12% |
| ROE | 2.5% | 6.2% | 0.48% | -26% | 5% | 9.1% | 5.1% |
What is the average Net Margin?
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is -6.46%.
What is the trend of Net Margin?
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is -3.25%.
What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +2.16%.
What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +0.89%.
What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?
The average ROE over the past 5 years is -0.5%.
What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +0.08%.
Safety & Stabiliy
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
| Years | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | TTM | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debt FCF | -1.27 | -2.11 | -3.63 | -7.27 | 4.01 | 3.57 | 4.95 | |||
| Debt Equity | 0.13 | 0.21 | 0.32 | 0.41 | 0.30 | 0.38 | 0.38 | |||
| MIN | ||||||||||
| Graham Stability | - | - | - | -710% | - | - | -710% | |||
What is the Debt/FCF?
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 4.95.
What is the trend of Debt/FCF?
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 1.11.
What is the Graham’s Stability?
Graham’s Stability measure stands at -7.06.
Growth
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
| Years | 12-2017 | 12-2019 | 12-2021 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 38% | 31% | 110% | 7.1% |
| Net Income | 47% | 220% | 270% | 49% |
| Stockholders Equity | 13% | 20% | 110% | 20% |
| FCF | - | - | 190% | - |
What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +37.74%.
What is the trend of Revenue growth?
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +7.08%.
What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +46.79%.
What is the trend of Earnings growth?
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +48.87%.
What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +13.49%.
What is the trend of Equity growth?
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +20.01%.
What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
What is the trend of FCF growth?
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -.