Services-Prepackaged Software
Palantir Technologies Inc. builds and deploys software platforms for the intelligence community in the United States to assist in counterterrorism investigations and operations. The company provides Palantir Gotham, a software platform which enables users to identify patterns hidden deep within datasets, ranging from signals intelligence sources to reports from confidential informants, as well as facilitates the handoff between analysts and operational users, helping operators plan and execute real-world responses to threats that have been identified within the platform. It also offers Palantir Foundry, a platform that transforms the ways organizations operate by creating a central operating system for their data; and allows individual users to integrate and analyze the data they need in one place. In addition, it provides Palantir Apollo, a software that enables customers to deploy their own software virtually in any environment. Palantir Technologies Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Denver, Colorado.
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Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Palantir Technologies Inc.
Growth
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%
Discount
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%
Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $641.4M | $833.8M | $1.061B | $1.32B | $1.606B | $1.909B | $2.217B | $2.513B | $2.778B | $2.994B | $3.144B | $31.44B |
DCF | $725M | $802.1M | $867.9M | $918.3M | $949.3M | $958.5M | $944.6M | $908.1M | $851.1M | $777.1M | $7.771B | |
Value | $16.47B |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | -100% | -79% | -110% | -34% | -20% | 9.4% | 13% |
ROA | - | -36% | -44% | -13% | -4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% |
ROE | 34% | 30% | -77% | -23% | -14% | 5.9% | 7.7% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is -55.06%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +22.89%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is -18.26%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +12.06%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is -7.29%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -6.25%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | - | - | -0.65 | 0.00 | - | - | - | |||
Debt Equity | - | -0.20 | 0.13 | 0.00 | - | - | - | |||
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is -.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 0.65.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at -.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 12-2018 | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 30% | 27% | 17% | -3.9% |
Net Income | - | - | - | - |
Stockholders Equity | - | 33% | 35% | -7.9% |
FCF | - | - | 280% | 320% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +30.17%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -3.95%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -7.86%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +322.25%.