Water, Sewer, Pipeline, Comm & Power Line Construction
Preformed Line Products Company, together with its subsidiaries, designs and manufactures products and systems that are used in the construction and maintenance of overhead, ground-mounted, and underground networks for the energy, telecommunication, cable operator, information, and other industries. The company offers optical ground wire products to support, protect, terminate, and splice transmission and distribution lines, as well as bolted, welded, and compressed connectors for substations; and string hardware products, polymer insulators, wildlife protection, substation fittings, and motion control devices. It also provides rugged outside plant closures to protect and support wireline and wireless networks, such as copper cable or fiber optic cable from moisture, environmental hazards, and other contaminants; and hardware assemblies, pole line hardware, plastic products, cable dynamics/vibration solutions, interior/exterior connectors, tools, and urethane solutions that are used by energy, renewable energy, communications, cable, and special industries for various applications. The company serves public and private energy utilities and communication companies, cable operators, governmental agencies, contractors and subcontractors, distributors, and value-added resellers in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. It markets its products through a direct sales force, as well as through manufacturing representatives. The company was incorporated in 1947 and is headquartered in Mayfield, Ohio.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Preformed Line Products Co
Growth
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%
Discount
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%
Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $57.07M | $73.02M | $91.57M | $112.5M | $135.3M | $159.4M | $183.6M | $206.8M | $227.7M | $244.9M | $257.1M | $2.571B |
DCF | $63.49M | $69.24M | $73.97M | $77.38M | $79.23M | $79.37M | $77.75M | $74.43M | $69.61M | $63.56M | $635.6M | |
Value | $1.364B |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | 1.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% |
ROA | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 11% |
ROE | 3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 11% | 8.7% | 10% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 12% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +7.14%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +0.75%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +10.4%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +1.18%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +11.87%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +1.24%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | 3.42 | 37.75 | 1.70 | 2.74 | -30.72 | 3.58 | 4.12 | -6.41 | 0.95 | 1.09 |
Debt Equity | 0.15 | 0.21 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.26 | 0.21 | 0.20 | 0.26 | 0.17 | 0.15 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 1.09.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 1.84.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 1.00.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 12-2016 | 12-2018 | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 10% | 9.7% | 13% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
Net Income | 23% | 19% | 29% | 16% | 0.35% |
Stockholders Equity | 9.3% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 2.4% |
FCF | 79% | 40% | 62% | - | -32% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +9.73%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +2.17%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +18.96%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.35%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +10.79%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +2.42%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +39.99%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -32.32%.