Services-Prepackaged Software
Paycom Software, Inc. provides cloud-based human capital management (HCM) solution delivered as software-as-a-service for small to mid-sized companies in the United States. It offers functionality and data analytics that businesses need to manage the employment life cycle from recruitment to retirement. The company's HCM solution provides a suite of applications in the areas of talent acquisition, including applicant tracking, candidate tracker, background checks, on-boarding, e-verify, and tax credit services; and time and labor management, such as time and attendance, scheduling/schedule exchange, time-off requests, labor allocation, labor management reports/push reporting, geofencing/geotracking, and Microfence, a proprietary Bluetooth. Its HCM solution also offers payroll applications comprising better employee transaction interface, payroll and tax management, payroll card, Paycom pay, expense management, mileage tracker/fixed and variable rates, garnishment management, and GL concierge applications; and talent management applications that include employee self-service, compensation budgeting, performance management, position management, and Paycom learning and content subscriptions, as well as my analytics, which offer employment predictor reporting. In addition, its HCM solution provides manager on-the-go that gives supervisors and managers the ability to perform a variety of tasks, such as approving time-off requests and expense reimbursements; direct data exchange; ask here, a tool for direct line of communication to ask work-related questions; document and checklist; government and compliance; benefits administration/benefits to carrier; COBRA administration; personnel action and performance discussion forms; surveys; and affordable care act applications, as well as Clue, which securely collect, track, and manage the vaccination and testing data of the workforce. Paycom Software, Inc. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
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Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Paycom Software, Inc.
Growth
%
%
Discount
%
%
Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $287.9M | $373.6M | $474.5M | $589.6M | $716.4M | $850.8M | $987M | $1.118B | $1.235B | $1.331B | $1.398B | $13.98B |
DCF | $324.8M | $358.8M | $387.7M | $409.6M | $423M | $426.7M | $420.2M | $403.8M | $378.4M | $345.5M | $3.455B | |
Value | $7.333B |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | 9.2% | 13% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 17% | 19% | 20% | 20% | 27% |
ROA | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 11% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 13% |
ROE | 21% | 37% | 49% | 41% | 34% | 22% | 22% | 24% | 26% | 33% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +20.81%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is -0.88%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +9.49%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +0.07%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +28.15%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -3%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | 1.01 | 0.56 | 0.51 | 0.29 | 0.26 | 0.25 | 0.16 | 0.12 | - | - |
Debt Equity | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.11 | 0.07 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 0.02 | - | - |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is -.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -0.04.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 1.00.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 12-2016 | 12-2018 | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 26% | 24% | 26% | 23% | -3% |
Net Income | 34% | 20% | 33% | 21% | -22% |
Stockholders Equity | 41% | 31% | 26% | 10% | -2.2% |
FCF | 27% | 19% | 30% | 26% | -19% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +24.49%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -3.01%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +20.01%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -22.26%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +31.23%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -2.18%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +18.55%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -18.6%.