Oracle Corp

ORCL

Services-Prepackaged Software

Mkt Cap

$341.4B

PE

32.08

Debt

$87.98B

Cash

$9.481B

EV

$419.9B

FCF

$12.26B

Market Cap

$341.4B

P/E Ratio

32.08

Debt

$87.98B

Cash

$9.481B

EV

$419.9B

FCF

$12.26B

Charts data: {"Earnings":[{"time":"2015-05-30","value":9938000000},{"time":"2016-05-30","value":8901000000},{"time":"2017-05-30","value":9335000000},{"time":"2018-05-30","value":3825000000},{"time":"2019-05-30","value":11083000000},{"time":"2020-05-30","value":10135000000},{"time":"2021-05-30","value":13746000000},{"time":"2022-05-30","value":6717000000},{"time":"2023-05-30","value":8503000000}],"Sales":[{"time":"2015-05-30","value":38226000000},{"time":"2016-05-30","value":37047000000},{"time":"2017-05-30","value":37728000000},{"time":"2018-05-30","value":39831000000},{"time":"2019-05-30","value":39506000000},{"time":"2020-05-30","value":39068000000},{"time":"2021-05-30","value":40479000000},{"time":"2022-05-30","value":42440000000},{"time":"2023-05-30","value":49954000000}],"Net Margins":[{"time":"2015-05-30","value":0.25998011824412703},{"time":"2016-05-30","value":0.24026236942262533},{"time":"2017-05-30","value":0.24742896522476676},{"time":"2018-05-30","value":0.09603072983354674},{"time":"2019-05-30","value":0.28053966486103377},{"time":"2020-05-30","value":0.25941947373809765},{"time":"2021-05-30","value":0.3395834877343808},{"time":"2022-05-30","value":0.15827049952874647},{"time":"2023-05-30","value":0.17021659927132962}],"Assets":[{"time":"2015-05-30","value":110903000000},{"time":"2016-05-30","value":112180000000},{"time":"2017-05-30","value":134991000000},{"time":"2018-05-30","value":137264000000},{"time":"2019-05-30","value":108709000000},{"time":"2020-05-30","value":115438000000},{"time":"2021-05-30","value":131107000000},{"time":"2022-05-30","value":109297000000},{"time":"2023-05-30","value":134384000000}],"Stockholders Equity":[{"time":"2015-05-30","value":49098000000},{"time":"2016-05-30","value":47790000000},{"time":"2017-05-30","value":54246000000},{"time":"2018-05-30","value":46224000000},{"time":"2019-05-30","value":22363000000},{"time":"2020-05-30","value":12717000000},{"time":"2021-05-30","value":5952000000},{"time":"2022-05-30","value":-5768000000},{"time":"2023-05-30","value":1556000000}],"ROE":[{"time":"2015-05-30","value":0.20241150352356513},{"time":"2016-05-30","value":0.18625235404896423},{"time":"2017-05-30","value":0.17208642111860784},{"time":"2018-05-30","value":0.08274922118380063},{"time":"2019-05-30","value":0.495595403121227},{"time":"2020-05-30","value":0.7969646929307227},{"time":"2021-05-30","value":2.309475806451613},{"time":"2022-05-30","value":-1.1645284327323162},{"time":"2023-05-30","value":5.464652956298201}],"ROA":[{"time":"2015-05-30","value":0.12507326222013831},{"time":"2016-05-30","value":0.1123551435193439},{"time":"2017-05-30","value":0.09415442510982214},{"time":"2018-05-30","value":0.09965468003263783},{"time":"2019-05-30","value":0.12450671057594127},{"time":"2020-05-30","value":0.12037630589580554},{"time":"2021-05-30","value":0.11603499431761843},{"time":"2022-05-30","value":0.09996614728675078},{"time":"2023-05-30","value":0.09742975354208834}]}

Oracle Corporation offers products and services that address enterprise information technology environments worldwide. Its Oracle cloud software as a service offering include various cloud software applications, including Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise resource planning (ERP), Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise performance management, Oracle Fusion cloud supply chain and manufacturing management, Oracle Fusion cloud human capital management, Oracle Advertising, and NetSuite applications suite, as well as Oracle Fusion Sales, Service, and Marketing. The company also offers cloud-based industry solutions for various industries; Oracle application licenses; and Oracle license support services. In addition, it provides cloud and license business' infrastructure technologies, such as the Oracle Database, an enterprise database; Java, a software development language; and middleware, including development tools and others. The company's cloud and license business' infrastructure technologies also comprise cloud-based compute, storage, and networking capabilities; and Oracle autonomous database, MySQL HeatWave, Internet-of-Things, digital assistant, and blockchain. Further, it provides hardware products and other hardware-related software offerings, including Oracle engineered systems, enterprise servers, storage solutions, industry-specific hardware, virtualization software, operating systems, management software, and related hardware services; and consulting and customer services. The company markets and sells its cloud, license, hardware, support, and services offerings directly to businesses in various industries, government agencies, and educational institutions, as well as through indirect channels. Oracle Corporation was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

Sector

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2/28/18

DCF

Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Oracle Corp

Calculate

Growth Years

Growth

Start

End

Discount

Start

End

Multiple

g\r	+10%	+11%	+12%	+13%	+14%
0%	10	9	8	8	7
+1%	11	10	9	8	8
+2%	13	11	10	9	8
+3%	14	13	11	10	9
+4%	17	14	12	11	10

Years	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
FCF	$12.26B	$11.56B	$10.89B	$10.27B	$9.682B	$9.127B	$8.604B	$8.111B	$7.647B	$7.209B	$6.796B	$67.96B
DCF		$10.05B	$8.237B	$6.753B	$5.535B	$4.538B	$3.72B	$3.049B	$2.5B	$2.049B	$1.68B	$16.8B
Value	$64.91B

Chart P/E ratio

In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.

Earnings Growth 2.2%

Earnings Stability 2.6%

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

The Net Margin is high enough to offer a good protection on the profits in case of higher costs or higher interests. Furthermore higher margins reduce earnings’ volatility.

Over time the ROA has been decreasing indicating a lower marginal ROA with respect to the calculated one, this could impede growth.

Years	05-2015	05-2016	05-2017	05-2018	05-2019	05-2020	05-2021	05-2022	05-2023	TTM
Net Margin	26%	24%	25%	9.6%	28%	26%	34%	16%	17%	20%
ROA	13%	11%	9.4%	10%	12%	12%	12%	10%	9.7%	11%
ROE	20%	19%	17%	8.3%	50%	80%	230%	-120%	550%	170%

What is the average Net Margin?

The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +21.73%.

What is the trend of Net Margin?

The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +0.24%.

What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?

The average ROA over the past 5 years is +10.97%.

What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?

The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is -0.25%.

What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?

The average ROE over the past 5 years is +133.08%.

What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?

The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +66.98%.

Safety & Stabiliy

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

The company has high debt with respect to the cashflow it generates.

The Graham’s stability indicate a relevant drawdown, consider checking when it has occured and why.

Years	05-2015	05-2016	05-2017	05-2018	05-2019	05-2020	05-2021	05-2022	05-2023	TTM
Debt FCF	-	3.82	5.61	4.79	4.72	6.41	6.75	15.89	11.21	7.18
Debt Equity	0.90	1.00	1.25	1.42	2.72	5.83	15.59	-13.85	61.00	14.23
MIN
Graham Stability	-	-	-	41%	100%	100%	100%	58%	83%	41%

What is the Debt/FCF?

The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 7.18.

What is the trend of Debt/FCF?

The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 1.88.

What is the Graham’s Stability?

Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.41.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Earnings growth has been increasing in past years.

Years	05-2016	05-2018	05-2020	05-2022	Trend
Revenue	4.4%	4.6%	8.5%	18%	1.8%
Net Income	-0.65%	17%	-5.7%	27%	0.77%
Stockholders Equity	-39%	-49%	-50%	-	-13%
FCF	-5.4%	-9.1%	-9.9%	68%	2.6%

What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?

The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +4.63%.

What is the trend of Revenue growth?

The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +1.84%.

What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?

The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +17.32%.

What is the trend of Earnings growth?

The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.77%.

What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?

The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is -49.25%.

What is the trend of Equity growth?

The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -13.13%.

What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?

The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -9.1%.

What is the trend of FCF growth?

The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +2.56%.