Universal Display Corp \pa\

OLED

Electronic Components & Accessories

Mkt Cap

$8.63B

PE

39.40

Debt

$282K

Cash

$74.01M

EV

$8.556B

FCF

$121.4M

Market Cap

$8.63B

P/E Ratio

39.40

Debt

$282K

Cash

$74.01M

EV

$8.556B

FCF

$121.4M

Charts data: {"Earnings":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":41797000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":14540000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":47336000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":102247000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":58150000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":137198000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":132371000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":183076000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":208846000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":202018000}],"Sales":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":191031000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":191046000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":198886000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":335629000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":247414000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":405177000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":428867000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":553525000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":616619000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":576429000}],"Net Margins":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.21879694918625772},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.07610732493744962},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.23800569170278452},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.30464292418116434},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.23503116234327887},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.3386125076201265},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.3086527991195406},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.3307456754437469},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.33869536942585293},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.35046467127781566}],"Assets":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":489847000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":559412000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":627559000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":779956000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":933424000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":1120157000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":1269228000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":1466919000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":1532820000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":1668961000}],"Stockholders Equity":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":448742000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":466765000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":528468000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":659054000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":690506000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":811449000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":912714000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":1099914000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":1275369000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":1447226000}],"ROE":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.09314260755623499},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.031150578985142417},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.08957212168002604},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.15514206726611174},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.08421360567467914},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.16907778554166683},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.1450300970512121},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.1664457403033328},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.16375339215552517},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.13958980836441578}],"ROA":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.12125622898578536},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.05919250927759862},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.10901445123088029},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.1875067311489366},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.06078159550215122},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.15167963062320727},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.1288413114113461},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.15559618492909288},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.17499119270364427},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.1469003769411029}]}

Universal Display Corporation engages in the research, development, and commercialization of organic light emitting diode (OLED) technologies and materials for use in display and solid-state lighting applications. The company offers PHOLED technologies and materials for displays and lighting products under the UniversalPHOLED brand. It is also involved in the research, development, and commercialization of other OLED device and manufacturing technologies, including FOLED that are flexible OLEDs for the fabrication of OLEDs on flexible substrates; and OVJP, an organic vapor jet printing technology. In addition, the company provides technology development and support services, including third-party collaboration and support to third parties for the commercialization of their OLED products; and contract research services in the areas of chemical materials synthesis research, development, and commercialization for non-OLED applications, as well as engages in the intellectual property and technology licensing activities. Universal Display Corporation was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Ewing, New Jersey.

Sector

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12/31/17

DCF

Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Universal Display Corp \pa\

Calculate

Growth Years

Growth

Start

End

Discount

Start

End

Multiple

g\r	+10%	+11%	+12%	+13%	+14%
0%	10	9	8	8	7
+1%	11	10	9	8	8
+2%	13	11	10	9	8
+3%	14	13	11	10	9
+4%	17	14	12	11	10

Years	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
FCF	$121.4M	$125.1M	$129M	$133M	$137M	$141.3M	$145.6M	$150.1M	$154.7M	$159.5M	$164.4M	$1.644B
DCF		$108.8M	$97.54M	$87.42M	$78.36M	$70.23M	$62.95M	$56.42M	$50.57M	$45.33M	$40.63M	$406.3M
Value	$1.105B

Chart P/E ratio

In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.

Earnings Growth 35%

Earnings Stability 76%

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

The Net Margin is high enough to offer a good protection on the profits in case of higher costs or higher interests. Furthermore higher margins reduce earnings’ volatility.

Over time the ROA has been increasing indicating a higher marginal ROA with respect to the calculated one, giving a good sign for continued growth.

Years	12-2015	12-2016	12-2017	12-2018	12-2019	12-2020	12-2021	12-2022	12-2023	TTM
Net Margin	7.6%	24%	30%	24%	34%	31%	33%	34%	35%	36%
ROA	5.9%	11%	19%	6.1%	15%	13%	16%	17%	15%	16%
ROE	3.1%	9%	16%	8.4%	17%	15%	17%	16%	14%	15%

What is the average Net Margin?

The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +31.7%.

What is the trend of Net Margin?

The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +1.71%.

What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?

The average ROA over the past 5 years is +13.65%.

What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?

The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +1.51%.

What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?

The average ROE over the past 5 years is +14.47%.

What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?

The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +0.81%.

Safety & Stabiliy

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Under the assumption that FCF does not diminish and debt does not increase, the current years to repay the debt are acceptable.

The Graham’s stability indicate reliability of earnings, and consideration about the future are more dependable.

Years	12-2015	12-2016	12-2017	12-2018	12-2019	12-2020	12-2021	12-2022	12-2023	TTM
Debt FCF	-	-	-	-	-	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00
Debt Equity	-	-	-	-	-	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
MIN
Graham Stability	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%

What is the Debt/FCF?

The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 0.00.

What is the trend of Debt/FCF?

The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -0.00.

What is the Graham’s Stability?

Graham’s Stability measure stands at 1.00.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Earnings growth has not been increasing in the past years.

Years	12-2016	12-2018	12-2020	12-2022	Trend
Revenue	16%	18%	10%	-6.5%	-0.86%
Net Income	23%	28%	15%	-3.3%	-8.4%
Stockholders Equity	15%	16%	17%	13%	0.76%
FCF	3.8%	-0.3%	-7.7%	13%	-12%

What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?

The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +18.43%.

What is the trend of Revenue growth?

The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.86%.

What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?

The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +28.28%.

What is the trend of Earnings growth?

The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -8.37%.

What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?

The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +15.95%.

What is the trend of Equity growth?

The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.76%.

What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?

The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -0.3%.

What is the trend of FCF growth?

The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -11.57%.