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One Gas, Inc.

OGS

Natural Gas Distribution

Mkt Cap

$3.278B

PE

14.41

Debt

$3.436B

Cash

$18.04M

EV

$6.696B

FCF

$170.2M

Market Cap

$3.278B

P/E Ratio

14.41

Debt

$3.436B

Cash

$18.04M

EV

$6.696B

FCF

$170.2M

ONE Gas, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a regulated natural gas distribution company in the United States. The company provides natural gas distribution services to approximately 2.3 million customers in Oklahoma, Kansas, and Texas. It serves residential, commercial, and transportation customers. ONE Gas, Inc. was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma.

Sector

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    ATO

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    LNG

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Growth

%

%

Discount

%

%

Multiple

g\r+10%+11%+12%+13%+14%
0%109887
+1%1110988
+2%13111098
+3%141311109
+4%1714121110
Years012345678910TV
FCF$170.2M$221.3M$281.5M$350.4M$426.3M$506.8M$588.5M$666.9M$737.3M$794.7M$834.4M$8.344B
DCF$192.4M$212.9M$230.4M$243.7M$252M$254.4M$250.7M$241M$225.9M$206.3M$2.063B
Value$4.372B

In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.

Earnings Growth 8.6%
Earnings Stability 94%


Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years12-201412-201512-201612-201712-201812-201912-202012-202112-2022TTM
Net Margin--9.8%11%11%11%13%11%8.6%-
ROA4.8%5.1%5.4%5.8%5.3%5.2%5%3.7%4.5%5%
ROE6.1%6.5%7.4%8.3%8.4%8.8%8.8%8.8%8.6%8.6%

What is the average Net Margin?

The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +10.88%.

What is the trend of Net Margin?

The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is -0.17%.

What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?

The average ROA over the past 5 years is +4.9%.

What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?

The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is -0.32%.

What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?

The average ROE over the past 5 years is +8.61%.

What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?

The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +0.07%.


Safety & Stabiliy

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years12-201412-201512-201612-201712-201812-201912-202012-202112-2022TTM
Debt FCF-23.8212.03-43.63-11.7017.75-12.15-14.81-1.822.8320.18
Debt Equity0.670.650.640.610.640.610.711.571.051.30
MIN
Graham Stability--100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%

What is the Debt/FCF?

The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 20.18.

What is the trend of Debt/FCF?

The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 0.32.

What is the Graham’s Stability?

Graham’s Stability measure stands at 1.00.


Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years12-201512-201712-201912-2021Trend
Revenue-11%16%43%5.7%
Net Income9.3%6.3%5.9%7.4%-0.93%
Stockholders Equity5%5.7%6.7%10%-12B%
FCF38%----

What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?

The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +10.86%.

What is the trend of Revenue growth?

The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +5.74%.

What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?

The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +6.35%.

What is the trend of Earnings growth?

The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.93%.

What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?

The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +5.68%.

What is the trend of Equity growth?

The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -11.96B%.

What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?

The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -.

What is the trend of FCF growth?

The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -.