Retail-Miscellaneous Shopping Goods Stores
The ODP Corporation provides business services and supplies, products, and digital workplace technology solutions for small, medium, and enterprise businesses in the United States, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands. The company operates through four divisions: ODP Business Solutions, Office Depot, Veyer, and Varis. The ODP Business Solutions division offers adjacency products, including cleaning, janitorial, and breakroom supplies, office furniture, technology products; and copy and print services through sales force, catalogs, telesales, and through Internet websites. This segment also engages in office supply distribution business. The Office Depot division sells office supplies, technology products and solutions, business machines and related supplies, cleaning, breakroom and facilities products, personal protective equipment, and office furniture; and offers business services, including copying, printing, digital imaging, mailing, shipping, and technology support services through a fully integrated omni-channel platform of 980 Office Depot and OfficeMax retail stores, and through www.officedepot.com. The Veyer division engages in supply chain, distribution, procurement and global sourcing operations. The Varis division operates tech-enabled B2B indirect procurement marketplace, where buyers and suppliers to transact through the platform's consumer-like buying experience, advanced spend management tools, network of suppliers, and technology capabilities. The company offers its products under various brands, including Office Depot, OfficeMax, and Grand&Toy, as well as others. The ODP Corporation was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Odp Corp
Growth
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Discount
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Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $99M | $97.33M | $95.68M | $94.07M | $92.48M | $90.92M | $89.38M | $87.87M | $86.39M | $84.93M | $83.5M | $835M |
DCF | $84.63M | $72.35M | $61.85M | $52.88M | $45.2M | $38.64M | $33.03M | $28.24M | $24.14M | $20.64M | $206.4M | |
Value | $668M |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
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Net Margin | 0.055% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.94% | 0.93% | -3.3% | -2.5% | 2% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
ROA | 1.8% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | -4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
ROE | 0.5% | 29% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | -17% | -14% | 13% | 13% | 7.7% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is -0.02%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +0.23%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +3.01%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +0.7%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +0.59%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +1.89%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
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Debt FCF | -27.60 | 1.02 | 3.17 | 1.83 | 3.15 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 1.36 | 0.77 | 1.26 |
Debt Equity | 0.43 | 0.21 | 0.49 | 0.37 | 0.31 | 0.20 | 0.17 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.12 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | 100% | 43% | 36% | -250% | - | - | - | -250% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 1.26.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -0.30.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at -2.49.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 12-2016 | 12-2018 | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
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Revenue | -4.8% | -6.6% | -6.9% | -7.8% | 0.9% |
Net Income | -17% | 6% | - | -16% | -580% |
Stockholders Equity | -7.2% | -12% | -16% | -14% | -3.7% |
FCF | -7.2% | -12% | -18% | 64% | 3.1% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is -6.6%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.9%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +5.97%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -577.92%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is -12.33%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -3.69%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -12.03%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +3.13%.