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Owens Corning

OC

Abrasive, Asbestos & Misc Nonmetallic Mineral Prods

Mkt Cap

$11.96B

PE

10.07

Debt

$3.064B

Cash

$1.332B

EV

$13.69B

FCF

$1.166B

Market Cap

$11.96B

P/E Ratio

10.07

Debt

$3.064B

Cash

$1.332B

EV

$13.69B

FCF

$1.166B

Owens Corning engages in manufacture and sale of insulation, roofing, and fiberglass composite materials in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Asia Pacific, Latin America, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Composites, Insulation, and Roofing. The Composites segment manufactures, fabricates, and sells glass reinforcements in the form of fiber; and glass fiber products in the form of fabrics, non-wovens, and other specialized products. Its products are used in building structures, roofing shingles, tubs and showers, pools, decking, flooring, pipes and tanks, poles, electrical equipment, and wind-energy turbine blades. This segment sells its products directly to parts molders, fabricators, and shingle manufacturers. The Insulation segment manufactures and sells thermal and acoustical batts, loosefill insulation, spray foam insulation, foam sheathing and accessories under the Owens Corning PINK, and FIBERGLAS brands; and glass fiber pipe insulation, energy efficient flexible duct media, bonded and granulated mineral wool insulation, cellular glass insulation, and foam insulation under the FOAMULAR, FOAMGLAS, and Paroc brand names used in construction applications. This segment sells its products primarily to the insulation installers, home centers, lumberyards, retailers, and distributors. The Roofing segment manufactures and sells laminate and strip asphalt roofing shingles, oxidized asphalt materials, and roofing components used in residential and commercial construction, and specialty applications, as well as synthetic packaging materials. This segment sells its products through distributors, home centers, lumberyards, retailers, and contractors, as well as to roofing contractors for built-up roofing asphalt systems; and manufacturers in automotive, chemical, rubber, and construction industries. The company was incorporated in 1938 and is headquartered in Toledo, Ohio.

Sector

    Growth

    %

    %

    Discount

    %

    %

    Multiple

    g\r+10%+11%+12%+13%+14%
    0%109887
    +1%1110988
    +2%13111098
    +3%141311109
    +4%1714121110
    Years012345678910TV
    FCF$1.166B$1.416B$1.694B$1.995B$2.314B$2.641B$2.966B$3.277B$3.56B$3.803B$3.993B$39.93B
    DCF$1.231B$1.281B$1.312B$1.323B$1.313B$1.282B$1.232B$1.164B$1.081B$987.1M$9.871B
    Value$22.08B

    In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.

    Earnings Growth 24%
    Earnings Stability 79%


    Competitiveness and MOAT

    High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

    Years12-201412-201512-201612-201712-201812-201912-202012-202112-2022TTM
    Net Margin4.3%6.2%6.9%4.5%7.7%5.7%-5.5%12%13%12%
    ROA5.2%7.5%9%8.5%8.4%7.9%-1.3%14%16%15%
    ROE6.1%8.7%10%6.9%13%8.7%-9.8%23%27%23%

    What is the average Net Margin?

    The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +6.15%.

    What is the trend of Net Margin?

    The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +1.19%.

    What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?

    The average ROA over the past 5 years is +8.98%.

    What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?

    The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +1.32%.

    What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?

    The average ROE over the past 5 years is +11.39%.

    What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?

    The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +3.24%.


    Safety & Stabiliy

    Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

    Years12-201412-201512-201612-201712-201812-201912-202012-202112-2022TTM
    Debt FCF40.506.244.053.6212.925.183.872.812.352.63
    Debt Equity0.540.550.550.580.790.650.810.700.670.60
    MIN
    Graham Stability--100%91%100%99%-93%100%100%-93%

    What is the Debt/FCF?

    The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 2.63.

    What is the trend of Debt/FCF?

    The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -1.09.

    What is the Graham’s Stability?

    Graham’s Stability measure stands at -0.93.


    Growth

    Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

    Years12-201512-201712-201912-2021Trend
    Revenue9%8.9%11%15%1.5%
    Net Income21%34%45%25%-0.5%
    Stockholders Equity2.8%1.8%-0.54%6%0.39%
    FCF22%14%31%21%-23%

    What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?

    The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +8.86%.

    What is the trend of Revenue growth?

    The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +1.53%.

    What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?

    The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +33.84%.

    What is the trend of Earnings growth?

    The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.5%.

    What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?

    The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +1.8%.

    What is the trend of Equity growth?

    The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.39%.

    What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?

    The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +14.12%.

    What is the trend of FCF growth?

    The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -22.7%.