Newell Brands Inc.
NWL
Plastics Products, NEC
Mkt Cap
$3.197BPE
-10.84Debt
$4.987BCash
$400MEV
$7.784BFCF
$779MP/E Ratio
-10.84Debt
$4.987BCash
$400MEV
$7.784BFCF
$779MCharts data: {"Earnings":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":377800000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":350000000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":527800000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":2748800000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":-6917900000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":106600000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":-770000000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":572000000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":197000000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":-388000000}],"Sales":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":5727000000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":5915700000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":13264000000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":14742200000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":8630900000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":9714900000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":9385000000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":10589000000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":9459000000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":8133000000}],"Net Margins":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.06596822070892265},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.05916459590580996},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.039791917973462},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.18645792351209453},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":-0.8015270713367088},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.010972835541281948},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":-0.08204581779435269},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.05401832089904618},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.020826725869542234},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":-0.04770687323250953}],"Assets":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":6681100000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":7278000000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":33837500000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":33135500000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":17716400000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":15642000000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":14700000000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":14179000000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":13262000000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":12163000000}],"Stockholders Equity":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":1854900000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":1826400000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":11384400000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":14181300000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":5277800000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":4996000000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":3900000000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":4091000000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":3519000000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":3112000000}],"ROE":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.2036767480726724},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.19163381515549716},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.046361687923825584},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.19383272337514895},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":-1.3107544810337641},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.02133706965572458},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":-0.19743589743589743},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.13981911513077488},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.055981813015061097},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":-0.12467866323907455}],"ROA":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.0905090479112721},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.08263259137125584},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.03602512005910602},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.04312595252825519},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":-0.4258991668736312},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":-0.03079529471934535},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":-0.04312925170068027},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.06671838634600466},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.02352586336902428},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":-0.006988407465263504}]}
Newell Brands Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, sourcing, and distribution of consumer and commercial products worldwide. The company operates in five segments: Commercial Solutions, Home Appliances, Home Solutions, Learning and Development, and Outdoor and Recreation. The Commercial Solutions segment provides commercial cleaning and maintenance solutions; closet and garage organization products; hygiene systems and material handling solutions; and connected home and security products under the Mapa, Quickie, Rubbermaid, Rubbermaid Commercial Products, and Spontex brands. The Home Appliances segment offers kitchen appliances under the Calphalon, Crockpot, Mr. Coffee, Oster, and Sunbeam brands. The Home Solutions segment provides food and home storage; fresh preserving; vacuum sealing; and gourmet cookware, bakeware, cutlery, and home fragrance products under the Ball, Calphalon, Chesapeake Bay Candle, FoodSaver, Rubbermaid, Sistema, WoodWick, and Yankee Candle brands. The Learning and Development segment offers writing instruments, including markers and highlighters, pens, and pencils; art products; activity-based adhesive and cutting products; labeling solutions; and baby gear and infant care products under the Aprica, Baby Jogger, Dymo, Elmer's, EXPO, Graco, Mr. Sketch, NUK, Paper Mate, Parker, Prismacolor, Sharpie, Tigex, Waterman, and X-Acto brands. The Outdoor and Recreation segment provides outdoor and outdoor-related products under the Campingaz, Coleman, Contigo, ExOfficio, and Marmot brands. It serves warehouse clubs, department and drug/grocery stores, mass merchants, home centers, commercial products distributors, specialty retailers, office superstores and supply stores, contract stationers, e-commerce retailers, sporting goods, and travel retailers, as well as direct to consumers online, select contract customers, and other professional customers. Newell Brands Inc. was founded in 1903 and is based in Atlanta, Georgia.
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DCF
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Newell Brands Inc.
Value
Growth
%
%
Discount
%
%
Multiple
| g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| +1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| +2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| +3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| +4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCF | $779M | $764.4M | $750M | $735.9M | $722M | $708.5M | $695.1M | $682.1M | $669.2M | $656.7M | $644.3M | $6.443B |
| DCF | $664.7M | $567.1M | $483.9M | $412.8M | $352.2M | $300.5M | $256.4M | $218.8M | $186.7M | $159.3M | $1.593B | |
| Value | $5.195B | |||||||||||
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
Earnings Growth -1.3%
Earnings Stability -48%
Competitiveness and MOAT
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
| Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Margin | 5.9% | 4% | 19% | -80% | 1.1% | -8.2% | 5.4% | 2.1% | -4.8% | -3.7% |
| ROA | 8.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | -43% | -3.1% | -4.3% | 6.7% | 2.4% | -0.7% | -0.27% |
| ROE | 19% | 4.6% | 19% | -130% | 2.1% | -20% | 14% | 5.6% | -12% | -9.6% |
What is the average Net Margin?
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is -14.09%.
What is the trend of Net Margin?
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +11.24%.
What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?
The average ROA over the past 5 years is -6.94%.
What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +6.76%.
What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?
The average ROE over the past 5 years is -23.6%.
What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +18.2%.
Safety & Stabiliy
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
| Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debt FCF | 9.76 | 9.01 | 20.07 | 23.73 | 7.35 | 4.78 | 8.21 | -9.21 | 7.59 | 6.40 |
| Debt Equity | 1.89 | 1.10 | 0.74 | 1.33 | 1.15 | 1.44 | 1.19 | 1.53 | 1.58 | 1.62 |
| MIN | ||||||||||
| Graham Stability | - | - | 100% | -570% | - | - | - | - | - | -570% |
What is the Debt/FCF?
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 6.40.
What is the trend of Debt/FCF?
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -3.63.
What is the Graham’s Stability?
Graham’s Stability measure stands at -5.72.
Growth
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
| Years | 12-2016 | 12-2018 | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -6.7% | -1.2% | -4.7% | -14% | -7.2% |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | -19% |
| Stockholders Equity | -17% | -10% | -7.2% | -12% | -28% |
| FCF | -10% | 17% | -18% | - | -12% |
What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is -1.18%.
What is the trend of Revenue growth?
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -7.21%.
What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -43.8%.
What is the trend of Earnings growth?
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -19.42%.
What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is -10.03%.
What is the trend of Equity growth?
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -27.51%.
What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +16.92%.
What is the trend of FCF growth?
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -11.75%.