Northwestern Energy Group, Inc.

Utilities
Power Generation
www.northwesternenergy.com

Earnings Score
Moat Score
Safety Score

Market Cap $3.27B
PE 14
Debt $2.87B
Cash $27.89M
EV $6.11B
FCF -$154.02M

Earnings

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Sales & Net Margins

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Earnings	$226.70M
EBIT	$334.79M
ROE	8%
ROA	4%
FCF	-$154.02M
Equity	$2.82B
Growth Stability	1
PE	14.44
PEG	0.21
PB	1.16
P/FCF	-21.26
P/S	2.19
Price/Cash	0.01
Debt/Equity	1.02
Debt/FCF	-18.62
Net Margins	13%
Op. Margins	22%
Earnings CAGR	68%
Sales Growth YoY	7%
Sales Growth QoQ	8%
Sales CAGR	28%
Equity CAGR	7%
Earnings Stability	-0.63
Earnings Growth YoY	60%
Earnings Growth QoQ	48%

Earnings CAGR 5Y	68%
Sales CAGR 5Y	28%
Equity CAGR 5Y	7%
Earnings CAGR 3Y	28%
Sales CAGR 3Y	28%
Equity CAGR 3Y	7%
Market Cap	$3.27B
Revenue	$1.50B
Dividend Yield	5%
Payout Ratio	70%
Assets	$7.85B
Total Debt	$2.87B
Cash	$27.89M
Shares Outstanding	61.29M
EV	6.11B
Earnings Score	6%
Moat Score	75%
Safety Score	68%
Final Score	50%
Working Capital	-444.85M
Current Ratio	0.45
Shares Growth 3y	7%
Equity Growth QoQ	0%
Equity Growth YoY	3%

Assets & ROA

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Stockholders Equity & ROE

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NorthWestern Corp provides electricity and natural gas services in the Upper Midwest and Northwest of the U.S. in the states of Montana, South Dakota, Nebraska, and Yellowstone National Park. The primary segments of the company include Electric operations, which includes the generation, purchase, transmission and distribution of electricity, and Natural Gas operations, which includes the production, purchase, transmission, storage, and distribution of natural gas. The company uses thermal, wind, hydro, or renewable energy in varying quantities, depending on the location of the facilities, in order to generate power. The company derives the majority of retail electric utility revenue from commercial and residential sales.

SEC Filings

Direct access to Northwestern Energy Group, Inc. (NWE) Annual Reports (10K) and Quarterly Reports (10Q) from the SEC website.

2024
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2023
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30

Sector Comparison

How does Northwestern Energy Group, Inc. compare to its competitors?

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Peter Lynch's Chart

This chart shows the current pricing of Northwestern Energy Group, Inc. compared to its past. The addition of the earnings trend line provides further insights into the company's earnings power.

CAGR 68%

Stability -63%

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Northwestern Energy Group, Inc. Discounted Cash Flow

Fully customizable DCF calculator online for Northwestern Energy Group, Inc..

Years

Calculation mode

= -$1.5B

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
fcf	-$154M	-$154M	-$154M	-$154M	-$154M	-$154M	-$154M	-$154M	-$154M	-$154M	-$154M	-$1.5B
DCF		-$140M	-$127M	-$116M	-$105M	-$96M	-$87M	-$79M	-$72M	-$65M	-$59M	-$594M
Value	-$1.5B

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	TTM
Net Margins	14%	12%	14%	13%
ROA	-	-	4%	4%
ROE	-	-	7%	8%

Good Net Margins (12.59%)

Net Margins are high enough to offer a good protection on the profits in case of higher costs or higher interests. Furthermore higher margins reduce earnings’ volatility.

Safety and Stability

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	TTM
Debt over FCF	-	-	-37.14	-18.62
Debt over Equity	-	1.04	1.04	1.02
Growth Stability	-	-	-	1

Good Debt/FCF ratio (-18.62)

Net Margins are high enough to offer a good protection on the profits in case of higher costs or higher interests. Furthermore higher margins reduce earnings’ volatility.

Neutral Debt/Equity ratio (1.02)

The company has a balance between equity and debt that is not too good nor too bad.

Good Graham’s Stability (1)

The company has a good stability in its earnings, which is a sign of a good competitive advantage.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	CAGR 5Y
Revenue YoY growth	-	8%	-4%	28%
Earnings YoY growth	-	-2%	6%	68%
Equity YoY growth	-	14%	5%	7%
FCF YoY growth	-	-3%	-63%	-