Netscout Systems Inc
NTCT
Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design
Mkt Cap
$1.472BPE
-9.97Debt
$100MCash
$389.7MEV
$1.183BFCF
$52.47MP/E Ratio
-9.97Debt
$100MCash
$389.7MEV
$1.183BFCF
$52.47MCharts data: {"Earnings":[{"time":"2015-03-30","value":61192000},{"time":"2016-03-30","value":-28369000},{"time":"2017-03-30","value":33291000},{"time":"2018-03-30","value":79812000},{"time":"2019-03-30","value":-73324000},{"time":"2020-03-30","value":-2754000},{"time":"2021-03-30","value":19352000},{"time":"2022-03-30","value":35874000},{"time":"2023-03-30","value":59648000},{"time":"2024-03-30","value":-147734000}],"Sales":[{"time":"2015-03-30","value":453669000},{"time":"2016-03-30","value":955419000},{"time":"2017-03-30","value":1162112000},{"time":"2018-03-30","value":986787000},{"time":"2019-03-30","value":909918000},{"time":"2020-03-30","value":891820000},{"time":"2021-03-30","value":831282000},{"time":"2022-03-30","value":855575000},{"time":"2023-03-30","value":914530000},{"time":"2024-03-30","value":829455000}],"Net Margins":[{"time":"2015-03-30","value":0.1348824803987048},{"time":"2016-03-30","value":-0.029692731670607347},{"time":"2017-03-30","value":0.028646980669677278},{"time":"2018-03-30","value":0.08088067637696889},{"time":"2019-03-30","value":-0.0805830855088041},{"time":"2020-03-30","value":-0.0030880670987418987},{"time":"2021-03-30","value":0.023279705322622166},{"time":"2022-03-30","value":0.04192969640300383},{"time":"2023-03-30","value":0.06522257334368474},{"time":"2024-03-30","value":-0.17810972264920943}],"Assets":[{"time":"2015-03-30","value":669049000},{"time":"2016-03-30","value":3592843000},{"time":"2017-03-30","value":3601513000},{"time":"2018-03-30","value":3368608000},{"time":"2019-03-30","value":3269994000},{"time":"2020-03-30","value":3120503000},{"time":"2021-03-30","value":3085038000},{"time":"2022-03-30","value":3194709000},{"time":"2023-03-30","value":2820560000},{"time":"2024-03-30","value":2595302000}],"Stockholders Equity":[{"time":"2015-03-30","value":435750000},{"time":"2016-03-30","value":2443382000},{"time":"2017-03-30","value":2436250000},{"time":"2018-03-30","value":2068782000},{"time":"2019-03-30","value":2065433000},{"time":"2020-03-30","value":1937919000},{"time":"2021-03-30","value":2005779000},{"time":"2022-03-30","value":2060395000},{"time":"2023-03-30","value":2029649000},{"time":"2024-03-30","value":1892065000}],"ROE":[{"time":"2015-03-30","value":0.14042914515203672},{"time":"2016-03-30","value":-0.011610546365652199},{"time":"2017-03-30","value":0.0136648537711647},{"time":"2018-03-30","value":0.03857922197698936},{"time":"2019-03-30","value":-0.035500546374537444},{"time":"2020-03-30","value":-0.001421112027902095},{"time":"2021-03-30","value":0.009648121752197026},{"time":"2022-03-30","value":0.01741122454674953},{"time":"2023-03-30","value":0.029388332662445577},{"time":"2024-03-30","value":-0.07808082703289791}],"ROA":[{"time":"2015-03-30","value":0.14464261959886346},{"time":"2016-03-30","value":-0.007111360000979726},{"time":"2017-03-30","value":0.017232757454991834},{"time":"2018-03-30","value":-0.001204651891820004},{"time":"2019-03-30","value":-0.02041869189974049},{"time":"2020-03-30","value":0.0072171057037919845},{"time":"2021-03-30","value":0.01203550815257381},{"time":"2022-03-30","value":0.015223295768096562},{"time":"2023-03-30","value":0.02753495759707292},{"time":"2024-03-30","value":-0.05568138120342064}]}
NetScout Systems, Inc. provides service assurance and cybersecurity solutions for protect digital business services against disruptions in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company offers nGeniusONE management software that enables customers to predict, preempt, and resolve network and service delivery problems, as well as facilitate the optimization and capacity planning of their network infrastructures; and specialized platforms and analytic modules that enable its customers to analyze and troubleshoot traffic in radio access and Wi-Fi networks. It also provides nGeniusPULSE, an active testing tool that enables enterprises to identify infrastructure performance issues and determine application availability, reliability, and performance; and nGenius Business Analytics solution, which enables service providers to analyze their network traffic. In addition, the company offers ISNG, an advanced passive network probe; packet flow systems that deliver targeted network traffic access to various monitoring and security tools and systems; and a suite of test access points that enable non-disruptive access to network traffic. Further, it provides cybersecurity solutions to protect their networks against distributed denial of service attacks under the Arbor brand, such as Arbor Sightline, Arbor Threat Mitigation System, Arbor Insight, Arbor Edge Defense, and Arbor Cloud. Additionally, the company offers advanced threat detection solutions, such as Omnis Cyber Investigator. It serves enterprise customers in various industries, including financial services, technology, manufacturing, healthcare, utilities, education, transportation, and retail; mobile operators, wireline operators, cable operators, Internet service providers, and cloud providers; and governmental agencies through a direct sales force, and indirect reseller and distribution channels. The company was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Westford, Massachusetts.
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DCF
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Netscout Systems Inc
Value
Growth
%
%
Discount
%
%
Multiple
| g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| +1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| +2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| +3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| +4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCF | $52.47M | $54.31M | $56.2M | $58.16M | $60.19M | $62.3M | $64.47M | $66.72M | $69.05M | $71.46M | $73.96M | $739.6M |
| DCF | $47.22M | $42.5M | $38.24M | $34.42M | $30.97M | $27.87M | $25.08M | $22.57M | $20.31M | $18.28M | $182.8M | |
| Value | $490.3M | |||||||||||
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
Earnings Growth 6.9%
Earnings Stability -30%
Competitiveness and MOAT
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
| Years | 03-2016 | 03-2017 | 03-2018 | 03-2019 | 03-2020 | 03-2021 | 03-2022 | 03-2023 | 03-2024 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Margin | -3% | 2.9% | 8.1% | -8.1% | -0.31% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | -18% | -18% |
| ROA | -0.71% | 1.7% | -0.12% | -2% | 0.72% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | -5.6% | -5.6% |
| ROE | -1.2% | 1.4% | 3.9% | -3.6% | -0.14% | 0.96% | 1.7% | 2.9% | -7.8% | -7.8% |
What is the average Net Margin?
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is -2.19%.
What is the trend of Net Margin?
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is -0.75%.
What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?
The average ROA over the past 5 years is -0.23%.
What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is -0.32%.
What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?
The average ROE over the past 5 years is -0.98%.
What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -0.32%.
Safety & Stabiliy
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
| Years | 03-2016 | 03-2017 | 03-2018 | 03-2019 | 03-2020 | 03-2021 | 03-2022 | 03-2023 | 03-2024 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debt FCF | 4.14 | 1.51 | 2.90 | 4.35 | 2.19 | 1.73 | 1.23 | 0.68 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| Debt Equity | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.29 | 0.27 | 0.23 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| MIN | ||||||||||
| Graham Stability | - | - | 100% | -260% | -21% | 100% | - | 100% | -390% | -390% |
What is the Debt/FCF?
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 1.91.
What is the trend of Debt/FCF?
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -0.49.
What is the Graham’s Stability?
Graham’s Stability measure stands at -3.86.
Growth
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
| Years | 03-2017 | 03-2019 | 03-2021 | 03-2023 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -4.7% | -1.8% | -0.073% | -9.3% | -8.1% |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | -14% |
| Stockholders Equity | -3.5% | -1.7% | -1.9% | -6.8% | -31% |
| FCF | -17% | -16% | -36% | -64% | -12% |
What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is -1.83%.
What is the trend of Revenue growth?
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -8.11%.
What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +15.04%.
What is the trend of Earnings growth?
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -14.38%.
What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is -1.74%.
What is the trend of Equity growth?
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -30.57%.
What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -16.13%.
What is the trend of FCF growth?
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -11.99%.