Computer Storage Devices
NetApp, Inc. provides cloud-led and data-centric services to manage and share data on-premises, and private and public clouds worldwide. It operates in two segments, Hybrid Cloud and Public Could. The company offers intelligent data management software, such as NetApp ONTAP, NetApp Snapshot, NetApp SnapCenter Backup Management, NetApp SnapMirror Data Replication, NetApp SnapLock Data Compliance, NetApp ElementOS software, and NetApp SANtricity software; and storage infrastructure solutions, including NetApp All-Flash FAS series, NetApp Fabric Attached Storage, NetApp FlexPod, NetApp E/EF series, NetApp StorageGRID, and NetApp SolidFire. It also provides cloud storage and data services comprising NetApp Cloud Volumes ONTAP, Azure NetApp Files, Amazon FSx for NetApp ONTAP, NetApp Cloud Volumes Service for Google Cloud, NetApp Cloud Sync, NetApp Cloud Tiering, NetApp Cloud Backup, NetApp Cloud Data Sense, and NetApp Cloud Volumes Edge Cache; and cloud operations services, such as NetApp Cloud Insights, Spot Ocean Kubernetes Suite, Spot Security, Spot Eco, and Spot CloudCheckr. In addition, the company offers application-aware data management service under the NetApp Astra name; and professional and support services, such as strategic consulting, professional, managed, and support services. Further, it provides assessment, design, implementation, and migration services. The company serves the energy, financial service, government, technology, internet, life science, healthcare service, manufacturing, media, entertainment, animation, video postproduction, and telecommunication markets through a direct sales force and an ecosystem of partners. NetApp, Inc. was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
Sector
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Netapp, Inc.
Growth
%
%
Discount
%
%
Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $1.159B | $1.18B | $1.201B | $1.223B | $1.245B | $1.267B | $1.29B | $1.314B | $1.337B | $1.361B | $1.386B | $13.86B |
DCF | $1.026B | $908.3M | $804.1M | $711.8M | $630.1M | $557.8M | $493.8M | $437.1M | $387M | $342.6M | $3.426B | |
Value | $9.724B |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 04-2015 | 04-2016 | 04-2017 | 04-2018 | 04-2019 | 04-2020 | 04-2021 | 04-2022 | 04-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | 9.1% | 4.1% | 9.2% | 1.3% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 15% | 20% | 15% |
ROA | 7.6% | 3.5% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 13% |
ROE | 16% | 7.9% | 18% | 3.7% | 110% | 340% | 110% | 110% | 110% | 95% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +13.83%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +2.25%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +12.05%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is -0.44%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +129.61%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +8.94%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 04-2015 | 04-2016 | 04-2017 | 04-2018 | 04-2019 | 04-2020 | 04-2021 | 04-2022 | 04-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | - | 2.87 | 2.76 | 1.16 | 1.66 | 1.22 | 2.25 | 2.93 | 2.75 | 2.41 |
Debt Equity | 0.44 | 0.81 | 0.81 | 0.75 | 1.78 | 4.74 | 3.84 | 3.44 | 2.06 | 2.81 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | - | 18% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 18% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 2.41.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 0.37.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.18.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 04-2016 | 04-2018 | 04-2020 | 04-2022 | Trend |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 2% | 1.5% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% |
Net Income | 28% | 76% | 16% | 36% | -12% |
Stockholders Equity | -12% | -11% | 69% | 38% | 13% |
FCF | 0.92% | -8.2% | -2.5% | -12% | -1.3% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +1.45%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +1.24%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +75.74%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -12.5%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is -10.93%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +13.12%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -8.22%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -1.28%.