Nrg Energy, Inc.

Utilities
Electric Utilities: Central
www.nrg.com

Earnings Score
Moat Score
Safety Score

Market Cap $20.34B
PE 23
Debt $11.12B
Cash $1.10B
EV $30.35B
FCF $1.20B

Earnings

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Sales & Net Margins

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Earnings	$897.00M
EBIT	$2.31B
ROE	36%
ROA	10%
FCF	$1.20B
Equity	$2.52B
Growth Stability	-20%
PE	22.68
PEG	-3.61
PB	8.07
P/FCF	16.89
P/S	0.72
Price/Cash	0.05
Debt/Equity	4.41
Debt/FCF	9.23
Net Margins	2%
Gross Margins	16%
Op. Margins	8%
Earnings CAGR	2%
Sales Growth YoY	-9%
Sales Growth QoQ	8%
Sales CAGR	15%
FCF CAGR	9%
Equity CAGR	-7%
Earnings Stability	0.01
Earnings Growth YoY	-340%
Earnings Growth QoQ	-209%

Earnings CAGR 5Y	-6%
Sales CAGR 5Y	33%
FCF CAGR 5Y	-2%
Equity CAGR 5Y	18%
Earnings CAGR 3Y	1%
Sales CAGR 3Y	1%
FCF CAGR 3Y	15%
Equity CAGR 3Y	-17%
Market Cap	$20.34B
Revenue	$28.12B
Assets	$23.72B
Total Debt	$11.12B
Cash	$1.10B
Shares Outstanding	204.93M
EV	30.35B
Earnings Score	6%
Moat Score	83%
Safety Score	35%
Final Score	41%
Working Capital	1.26B
Current Ratio	1.17
Gross Profit	$4.52B
Shares Growth 3y	-6%
Equity Growth QoQ	-30%
Equity Growth YoY	-28%

Assets & ROA

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Stockholders Equity & ROE

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NRG Energy is one of the largest retail energy providers in the U.S., with 7 million customers, including its 2021 acquisition of Direct Energy. It also is one of the largest U.S. independent power producers, with 16 gigawatts of nuclear, coal, gas, and oil power generation capacity primarily in Texas. Since 2018, NRG has divested its 47% stake in NRG Yield, among other renewable energy and conventional generation investments. NRG exited Chapter 11 bankruptcy as a stand-alone entity in December 2003.

SEC Filings

Direct access to Nrg Energy, Inc. (NRG) Annual Reports (10K) and Quarterly Reports (10Q) from the SEC website.

2024
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2023
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2022
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31

Sector Comparison

How does Nrg Energy, Inc. compare to its competitors?

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Peter Lynch's Chart

This chart shows the current pricing of Nrg Energy, Inc. compared to its past. The addition of the earnings trend line provides further insights into the company's earnings power.

CAGR 2%

Stability 1%

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Nrg Energy, Inc. Discounted Cash Flow

Fully customizable DCF calculator online for Nrg Energy, Inc..

Years

Calculation mode

= $22B

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
fcf	$1.2B	$1.3B	$1.4B	$1.5B	$1.7B	$1.8B	$2B	$2.2B	$2.4B	$2.6B	$2.8B	$28B
DCF		$1.2B	$1.2B	$1.2B	$1.1B	$1.1B	$1.1B	$1.1B	$1.1B	$1.1B	$1.1B	$11B
Value	$22B

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years	12/2014	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	TTM
Net Margins	0%	-44%	-7%	-22%	3%	45%	6%	8%	4%	-1%	2%
ROA	-	-12%	2%	-3%	9%	10%	7%	14%	7%	1%	10%
ROE	-	-118%	-20%	-119%	-22%	268%	30%	61%	32%	-9%	36%

Bad Net Margins (2.02%)

Net Margins are too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Safety and Stability

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years	12/2014	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	TTM
Debt over FCF	-	773.12	21.42	55.16	6.84	5.17	5.51	36.18	-1.17K	-14.11	9.23
Debt over Equity	1.78	3.7	4.64	8.8	-5.48	3.7	5.27	2.25	2.13	3.98	4.41
Growth Stability	-	-	-	-	-	-	65%	100%	51%	-20%	-20%

Bad Debt/FCF ratio (9.23)

Net Margins are too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Bad Debt/Equity ratio (4.41)

The company is overleveraged and has a bad balance between equity and debt.

Bad Graham’s Stability (-20%)

The company has a bad stability in its earnings, which is a sign of a bad competitive advantage.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years	12/2014	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	CAGR 5Y
Revenue YoY growth	-	-8%	-16%	-14%	-11%	4%	-7%	197%	17%	-9%	33%
Earnings YoY growth	-	-8K%	-86%	162%	-111%	2K%	-89%	329%	-44%	-121%	-6%
Equity YoY growth	-	-53%	-18%	-56%	-163%	-234%	1%	114%	6%	-24%	18%
FCF YoY growth	-	-96%	4K%	-67%	215%	20%	36%	-86%	-103%	12K%	-2%