Nrg Energy, Inc.

Utilities
Electric Utilities: Central
www.nrg.com

Earnings Score
Moat Score
Safety Score

Market Cap $23.23B
PE 22
Debt $11.89B
Cash $966.00M
EV $34.15B
FCF $1.83B

Earnings

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Sales & Net Margins

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Earnings	$1.06B
EBIT	$2.42B
ROE	43%
ROA	10%
FCF	$1.83B
Equity	$2.48B
Growth Stability	-20%
PE	21.96
PEG	-3.81
PB	9.37
P/FCF	12.67
P/S	0.83
Price/Cash	0.04
Debt/Equity	4.8
Debt/FCF	6.48
Net Margins	4%
Gross Margins	21%
Op. Margins	9%
Earnings CAGR	2%
Sales Growth YoY	0%
Sales Growth QoQ	-6%
Sales CAGR	17%
FCF CAGR	6%
Equity CAGR	-5%
Earnings Stability	0.01
Earnings Growth YoY	35%
Earnings Growth QoQ	-180%
Earnings CAGR 5Y	-6%

Sales CAGR 5Y	29%
FCF CAGR 5Y	0%
Equity CAGR 5Y	13%
Earnings CAGR 3Y	-1%
Sales CAGR 3Y	-1%
FCF CAGR 3Y	6%
Equity CAGR 3Y	-22%
Market Cap	$23.23B
Revenue	$28.13B
Dividend Yield	2%
Payout Ratio	38%
Assets	$24.02B
Total Debt	$11.89B
Cash	$966.00M
Shares Outstanding	198.6M
EV	34.15B
Earnings Score	6%
Moat Score	88%
Safety Score	38%
Final Score	44%
Working Capital	151M
Current Ratio	1.02
Gross Profit	$6.03B
Shares Growth 3y	-7%
Equity Growth QoQ	-2%
Equity Growth YoY	-15%

Assets & ROA

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Stockholders Equity & ROE

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NRG Energy is one of the largest retail energy providers in the U.S., with 7 million customers, including its 2021 acquisition of Direct Energy. It also is one of the largest U.S. independent power producers, with 16 gigawatts of nuclear, coal, gas, and oil power generation capacity primarily in Texas. Since 2018, NRG has divested its 47% stake in NRG Yield, among other renewable energy and conventional generation investments. NRG exited Chapter 11 bankruptcy as a stand-alone entity in December 2003.

SEC Filings

Direct access to Nrg Energy, Inc. (NRG) Annual Reports (10K) and Quarterly Reports (10Q) from the SEC website.

2024
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2023
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2022
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31

Sector Comparison

How does Nrg Energy, Inc. compare to its competitors?

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Peter Lynch's Chart

This chart shows the current pricing of Nrg Energy, Inc. compared to its past. The addition of the earnings trend line provides further insights into the company's earnings power.

CAGR 2%

Stability 1%

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Nrg Energy, Inc. Discounted Cash Flow

Fully customizable DCF calculator online for Nrg Energy, Inc..

Years

Calculation mode

= $28B

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
fcf	$1.8B	$1.9B	$2.1B	$2.2B	$2.3B	$2.5B	$2.6B	$2.8B	$3B	$3.2B	$3.4B	$34B
DCF		$1.8B	$1.7B	$1.7B	$1.6B	$1.5B	$1.5B	$1.4B	$1.4B	$1.3B	$1.3B	$13B
Value	$28B

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	TTM
Net Margins	-44%	-7%	-22%	3%	45%	6%	8%	4%	-1%	4%	4%
ROA	-	2%	-3%	9%	10%	7%	14%	7%	1%	10%	10%
ROE	-	-20%	-119%	-22%	268%	30%	61%	32%	-9%	43%	43%

Bad Net Margins (3.76%)

Net Margins are too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Safety and Stability

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	TTM
Debt over FCF	-	21.42	55.16	6.84	5.17	5.51	36.18	-1.17K	-14.11	6.48	6.48
Debt over Equity	3.7	4.64	8.8	-5.48	3.7	5.27	2.25	2.13	3.98	4.8	4.8
Growth Stability	-	-	-	-	-	65%	100%	51%	-20%	100%	-20%

Bad Debt/FCF ratio (6.48)

Net Margins are too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Bad Debt/Equity ratio (4.8)

The company is overleveraged and has a bad balance between equity and debt.

Bad Graham’s Stability (-20%)

The company has a bad stability in its earnings, which is a sign of a bad competitive advantage.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	CAGR 5Y
Revenue YoY growth	-	-16%	-14%	-11%	4%	-7%	197%	17%	-9%	-2%	29%
Earnings YoY growth	-	-86%	162%	-111%	2K%	-89%	329%	-44%	-121%	-513%	-6%
Equity YoY growth	-	-18%	-56%	-163%	-234%	1%	114%	6%	-24%	-15%	13%
FCF YoY growth	-	4K%	-67%	215%	20%	36%	-86%	-103%	12K%	-324%	0%