Natural Gas Distribution
New Jersey Resources Corporation, an energy services holding company, provides regulated gas distribution, and retail and wholesale energy services. The company operates through four segments: Natural Gas Distribution, Clean Energy Ventures, Energy Services, and Storage and Transportation. The Natural Gas Distribution segment offers regulated natural gas utility services to approximately 569,300 residential and commercial customers throughout Burlington, Middlesex, Monmouth, Morris, Ocean, and Sussex counties in New Jersey; provides capacity and storage management services; and participates in the off-system sales and capacity release markets. The Clean Energy Ventures segment invests in, owns, and operates commercial and residential solar installation situated in New Jersey, Connecticut, Rhode Island, and New York. The Energy Services segment offers unregulated wholesale energy management services to other energy companies and natural gas producers, as well as maintains and transacts a portfolio of physical assets consisting of natural gas transportation and storage contracts in the United States and Canada. The Storage and Transportation segment invests in natural gas transportation and storage facilities. It provides heating, ventilation, and cooling services; holds commercial real estate properties; and offers solar equipment installation, and plumbing repair and installation services, as well as engages in the water appliance sale, installation, and servicing activities. The company was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Wall, New Jersey.
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 09-2015 | 09-2016 | 09-2017 | 09-2018 | 09-2019 | 09-2020 | 09-2021 | 09-2022 | 09-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | 6.6% | 7% | 5.8% | 8% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 13% | 14% |
ROA | 7.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% |
ROE | 16% | 11% | 11% | 16% | 11% | 11% | 7.2% | 15% | 13% | 11% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +8.81%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +0.91%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +5.36%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +0.51%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +12.26%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -0.18%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 09-2015 | 09-2016 | 09-2017 | 09-2018 | 09-2019 | 09-2020 | 09-2021 | 09-2022 | 09-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | 3.79 | -35.45 | 12.80 | 6.96 | -14.12 | - | - | - | - | - |
Debt Equity | 0.82 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 0.94 | 1.01 | 1.29 | 1.56 | 1.60 | 1.52 | 1.34 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | 87% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 59% | 100% | 100% | 59% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is -.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -21.08.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.59.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 09-2016 | 09-2018 | 09-2020 | 09-2022 | Trend |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 0.61% | -7.6% | 0.16% | -32% | 1.7% |
Net Income | 10% | 2.5% | 11% | -3.7% | 3.6% |
Stockholders Equity | 7.9% | 7% | 2.6% | 9.5% | -0.55% |
FCF | - | - | - | - | 29% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is -7.6%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +1.7%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +2.55%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +3.59%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +7.01%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.55%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +28.75%.