Plastics Products, NEC
Myers Industries, Inc. engages in distribution of tire service supplies in Ohio. It operates through two segments, The Material Handling and Distribution. The Material Handling segment offers pallets, small parts bins, bulk shipping containers, and OEM parts, as well as storage and organization, and custom plastic products; and injection molded, rotationally molded or blow molded products, consumer fuel containers and tanks for water, fuel, and waste handling. It serves industrial manufacturing, food processing, retail/wholesale products distribution, agriculture, automotive, recreational and marine vehicles, healthcare, appliance, bakery, electronics, textiles, consumer markets, and other markets under Akro-Mils, Jamco, Buckhorn, Ameri-Kart, Scepter, Elkhart Plastics, and Trilogy Plastics brands directly to end-users, as well as through distributors. The Distribution segment engages in the distribution of tools, equipment, and supplies for tire, wheel, and under-vehicle service on passenger, heavy truck, and off-road vehicles; and manufacture and sale of tire repair materials and custom rubber products, as well as reflective highway marking tapes under the Myers Tire Supply, Myers Tire Supply International, Tuffy Manufacturing, Mohawk Rubber Sales, Patch Rubber Company, Elrick, Fleetline, MTS, Seymoure, Advance Traffic Markings, and MXP brands. This segment serves retail and truck tire dealers, commercial auto and truck fleets, auto dealers, general service and repair centers, tire re-treaders, truck stop operations, and government agencies. The company was founded in 1933 and is headquartered in Akron, Ohio.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Myers Industries Inc
Growth
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%
Discount
%
%
Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $66.67M | $68.51M | $70.41M | $72.35M | $74.36M | $76.41M | $78.53M | $80.7M | $82.94M | $85.23M | $87.59M | $875.9M |
DCF | $59.57M | $53.24M | $47.57M | $42.51M | $37.99M | $33.95M | $30.34M | $27.11M | $24.23M | $21.65M | $216.5M | |
Value | $594.7M |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 12-2014 | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | -1.4% | 3% | 0.19% | -1.8% | -0.59% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6% |
ROA | 4% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 7% | 2.2% | 11% | 13% | 10% | 15% | 13% |
ROE | -5.9% | 18% | 1.1% | -11% | -2.2% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 24% | 18% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +3.44%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +1.71%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +9.84%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +1.97%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +10.14%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +6.56%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 12-2014 | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | 8.59 | 7.55 | 9.00 | 3.53 | 1.39 | 1.77 | 3.57 | 3.36 | 1.95 | 1.29 |
Debt Equity | 1.62 | 1.98 | 2.05 | 1.63 | 0.50 | 0.47 | 0.62 | 0.43 | 0.37 | 0.30 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | 9% | -290% | -110% | - | 100% | 100% | 100% | -290% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 1.29.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -0.01.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at -2.93.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2017 | 12-2019 | 12-2021 | Trend |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 5.9% | 10% | 20% | 18% | 5.6% |
Net Income | 19% | - | 35% | 80% | 26% |
Stockholders Equity | 15% | 22% | 15% | 23% | 6.9% |
FCF | 9.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 79% | 6.2% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +10.46%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +5.56%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +25.73%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +22.29%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +6.94%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +2.24%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +6.23%.