Construction Machinery & Equip
The Manitowoc Company, Inc. provides engineered lifting solutions in the Americas, Europe, Africa, the Middle East, and the Asia Pacific. It designs, manufactures, and distributes crawler-mounted lattice-boom cranes under the Manitowoc brand; a line of top-slewing and self-erecting tower cranes under the Potain brand; mobile hydraulic cranes under the Grove, Shuttlelift, and National Crane brands; and hydraulic boom trucks under the National Crane brand. The company also provides aftermarket services, such as sale of parts and accessories, field service work, routine maintenance services, technical support, erection and decommissioning services, crane remanufacturing, and training services. Its crane products are used in various applications, including energy production/distribution and utilities; petrochemical and industrial projects; infrastructure, such as road, bridge, and airport construction; and commercial and high-rise residential construction. The company serves a range of customers, including dealers, rental companies, contractors, and government entities in the petrochemical, industrial, commercial construction, power and utilities, infrastructure, and residential construction end markets. The Manitowoc Company, Inc. was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Manitowoc Co Inc
Growth
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Discount
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Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $10.7M | $9.749M | $8.882M | $8.092M | $7.372M | $6.717M | $6.12M | $5.576M | $5.08M | $4.628M | $4.217M | $42.17M |
DCF | $8.477M | $6.716M | $5.321M | $4.215M | $3.339M | $2.646M | $2.096M | $1.661M | $1.316M | $1.042M | $10.42M | |
Value | $47.25M |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 12-2014 | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | 3.7% | 1.8% | -23% | 0.59% | -3.6% | 2.5% | -1.3% | 0.64% | -6.1% | -4.3% |
ROA | 7.8% | 4.5% | -10% | 0.068% | -1.3% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | -5.8% | -3.2% |
ROE | 17% | 7.7% | -64% | 1.4% | -11% | 7.2% | -3% | 1.7% | -23% | -17% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is -1.21%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is -0.7%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +0.8%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is -0.62%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is -4.47%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -2.67%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 12-2014 | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | 77.85 | 49.54 | -1.81 | 5.93 | -0.53 | -3.63 | -5.30 | 11.66 | 26.10 | 37.27 |
Debt Equity | 1.95 | 1.81 | 0.51 | 0.43 | 0.48 | 0.50 | 0.51 | 0.63 | 0.73 | 0.70 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | -320% | - | - | - | - | - | -960% | -960% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 37.27.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 3.88.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at -9.63.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2017 | 12-2019 | 12-2021 | Trend |
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Revenue | -7.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 18% | 4.1% |
Net Income | - | - | - | - | -57% |
Stockholders Equity | -5.8% | -4.5% | -5.9% | -19% | -0.64% |
FCF | -9.3% | -21% | - | -58% | -2.8% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +5.15%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +4.09%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -57.35%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is -4.51%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.64%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -21.17%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -2.82%.