Molina Healthcare, Inc.

Health Care
Medical Specialities
www.molinahealthcare.com

Earnings Score
Moat Score
Safety Score

Market Cap $16.81B
PE 15
Debt $2.33B
Cash $4.88B
EV $14.27B
FCF $94.00M

Earnings

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Sales & Net Margins

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Earnings	$1.14B
EBIT	$1.64B
ROE	24%
ROA	10%
FCF	$94.00M
Equity	$4.77B
Growth Stability	-597%
PE	14.7
PEG	1.39
PB	3.53
P/FCF	178.88
P/S	0.43
Price/Cash	0.29
Debt/Equity	0.49
Debt/FCF	24.81
Net Margins	3%
Gross Margins	16%
Op. Margins	4%
Earnings CAGR	26%
Sales Growth YoY	21%
Sales Growth QoQ	5%
Sales CAGR	11%
FCF CAGR	2%
Equity CAGR	14%
Earnings Stability	0.61
Earnings Growth YoY	33%
Earnings Growth QoQ	8%

Earnings CAGR 5Y	11%
Sales CAGR 5Y	20%
FCF CAGR 5Y	-10%
Equity CAGR 5Y	24%
Earnings CAGR 3Y	12%
Sales CAGR 3Y	12%
FCF CAGR 3Y	-54%
Equity CAGR 3Y	27%
Market Cap	$16.81B
Revenue	$39.20B
Assets	$15.76B
Total Debt	$2.33B
Cash	$4.88B
Shares Outstanding	57M
EV	14.27B
Earnings Score	88%
Moat Score	86%
Safety Score	42%
Final Score	72%
Working Capital	4.54B
Current Ratio	1.55
Gross Profit	$6.32B
Shares Growth 3y	-0%
Equity Growth QoQ	-2%
Equity Growth YoY	23%

Assets & ROA

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Stockholders Equity & ROE

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Molina Healthcare Inc offers healthcare plans focused on Medicaid-related solutions for low-income families and individuals. Its health plans are operated by a network of subsidiaries, each of which is licensed as a health maintenance organization (HMO). In addition to its Health Plans segment, Molina has a Medicaid Solutions segment that provides solutions to U.S. state governments for their Medicaid management information systems. Molina's Medicaid plans receive revenue on a per-member per-month basis from state government agencies, and its Medicare Advantage plans receive revenue from managed care plans that contract with the Centers for Medicaid and Medicare (CMS). Molina also provides plans through health insurance exchanges.

SEC Filings

Direct access to Molina Healthcare, Inc. (MOH) Annual Reports (10K) and Quarterly Reports (10Q) from the SEC website.

2024
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2023
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2022
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31

Sector Comparison

How does Molina Healthcare, Inc. compare to its competitors?

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Peter Lynch's Chart

This chart shows the current pricing of Molina Healthcare, Inc. compared to its past. The addition of the earnings trend line provides further insights into the company's earnings power.

CAGR 26%

Stability 61%

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Molina Healthcare, Inc. Discounted Cash Flow

Fully customizable DCF calculator online for Molina Healthcare, Inc..

Years

Calculation mode

= $1.1B

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
fcf	$94M	$96M	$98M	$101M	$103M	$105M	$108M	$110M	$113M	$115M	$118M	$1.2B
DCF		$87M	$81M	$76M	$70M	$65M	$61M	$56M	$52M	$49M	$45M	$454M
Value	$1.1B

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years	12/2014	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	TTM
Net Margins	1%	1%	0%	-3%	4%	4%	3%	2%	2%	3%	3%
ROA	-	6%	4%	-6%	16%	16%	11%	8%	10%	11%	10%
ROE	-	9%	3%	-38%	43%	38%	32%	25%	27%	26%	24%

Bad Net Margins (3.08%)

Net Margins are too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Safety and Stability

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years	12/2014	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	TTM
Debt over FCF	-	2.02	4.26	3.93	-4.94	3.46	1.18	1.08	3.23	1.39	24.81
Debt over Equity	0.88	1.29	1.28	2.11	1.03	0.65	1.03	0.84	0.74	0.52	0.49
Growth Stability	-	-	-	-597%	-	100%	100%	93%	100%	100%	-597%

Bad Debt/FCF ratio (24.81)

Net Margins are too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Good Debt/Equity ratio (0.49)

The company is not overleveraged and has a good balance between equity and debt.

Bad Graham’s Stability (-597%)

The company has a bad stability in its earnings, which is a sign of a bad competitive advantage.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years	12/2014	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	CAGR 5Y
Revenue YoY growth	-	47%	25%	12%	-5%	-11%	15%	43%	15%	7%	20%
Earnings YoY growth	-	130%	-64%	-1K%	-238%	4%	-9%	-2%	20%	38%	11%
Equity YoY growth	-	54%	6%	-19%	23%	19%	7%	25%	13%	42%	24%
FCF YoY growth	-	5%	-50%	44%	-148%	-208%	391%	12%	-67%	131%	-10%