Office Furniture
MillerKnoll, Inc. researches, designs, manufactures, and distributes interior furnishings worldwide. The company operates in four segments: Americas Contract, International Contract, Global Retail, and Knoll. It offers office furniture products under the Aeron, Mirra, Sayl, Embody, Layout Studio, Imagine Desking System, Ratio, Cosm, Tone, and Generation by Knoll names; and other seating and storage products and ergonomic accessories under the About A Chair, Palissade, Eero Saarinen designs, Barcelona, and the Flo monitor arm names. The company also offers office seating, office furniture systems, other freestanding furniture elements, textiles, leather, felt, home furnishings and related services, casegoods, storage products, as well as residential, education, and healthcare furniture solutions. As of May 28, 2022, the company operated 70 retail studios including 35 operates under the DWR brand, 7 under the HAY brand, 22 Herman Miller stores, 2 Muuto stores, 3 Knoll stores, and a multi-brand Chicago store. Its products are used in institutional, health/science, and residential and other environments; transportation terminals; and industrial and educational settings. The company markets its products through its sales staff, and independent dealers and retailers, as well as e-commerce websites. The company was formerly known as Herman Miller, Inc. and changed its name to MillerKnoll, Inc. in November 2021. MillerKnoll, Inc. was incorporated in 1905 and is headquartered in Zeeland, Michigan.
Sector
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Millerknoll, Inc.
Growth
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Discount
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Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $287.2M | $307.5M | $328.6M | $350.3M | $372.6M | $395.6M | $419M | $442.8M | $467M | $491.4M | $516M | $5.16B |
DCF | $267.4M | $248.4M | $230.3M | $213.1M | $196.7M | $181.1M | $166.5M | $152.7M | $139.7M | $127.6M | $1.276B | |
Value | $3.199B |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 05-2015 | 05-2016 | 06-2017 | 06-2018 | 05-2019 | 05-2020 | 05-2021 | 05-2022 | 06-2023 | TTM |
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Net Margin | 4.6% | 6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | -0.58% | 7% | -0.69% | 1% | 2% |
ROA | 14% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 13% | -0.044% | 12% | 0.88% | 2.9% | 3.8% |
ROE | 23% | 26% | 21% | 19% | 22% | -2.2% | 20% | -1.9% | 2.9% | 5.2% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +3.07%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is -1%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +6.81%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is -2.07%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +10.13%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -3.76%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 05-2015 | 05-2016 | 06-2017 | 06-2018 | 05-2019 | 05-2020 | 05-2021 | 05-2022 | 06-2023 | TTM |
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Debt FCF | - | 1.77 | 1.77 | 2.98 | 2.18 | 3.87 | 1.02 | -13.21 | 17.57 | 4.64 |
Debt Equity | 0.68 | 0.42 | 0.35 | 0.43 | 0.40 | 0.92 | 0.33 | 0.99 | 0.98 | 0.96 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | - | 100% | 100% | -10% | 100% | -25% | 96% | -25% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 4.64.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 0.68.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at -0.25.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 05-2016 | 06-2018 | 05-2020 | 05-2022 | Trend |
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Revenue | 8.8% | 11% | 18% | 3.6% | 3% |
Net Income | -15% | -20% | - | - | -3.2% |
Stockholders Equity | 15% | 17% | 31% | 0.39% | 1.9% |
FCF | -6.3% | -3.7% | -20% | - | 12% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +11.41%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +3.04%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -19.95%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -3.2%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +16.6%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +1.94%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -3.66%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +11.96%.