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Mondelez International, Inc.

MDLZ

Food and Kindred Products

Mkt Cap

$99.68B

PE

20.10

Debt

$21.09B

Cash

$1.884B

EV

$118.9B

FCF

$3.602B

Market Cap

$99.68B

P/E Ratio

20.10

Debt

$21.09B

Cash

$1.884B

EV

$118.9B

FCF

$3.602B
Charts data: {"Earnings":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":2184000000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":7267000000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":1659000000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":2922000000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":3381000000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":3870000000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":3555000000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":4300000000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":2717000000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":4959000000}],"Sales":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":34244000000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":29636000000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":25923000000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":25896000000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":25938000000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":25868000000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":26581000000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":28720000000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":31496000000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":36016000000}],"Net Margins":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.06377759607522486},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.2452085301660143},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.06399722254368707},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.11283595922150139},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.13034929447143187},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.14960569042832844},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.1337421466461006},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.14972144846796656},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.08626492252984506},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.1376888049755664}],"Assets":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":66815000000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":62843000000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":61538000000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":63109000000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":62729000000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":64549000000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":67810000000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":67092000000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":71161000000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":71391000000}],"Stockholders Equity":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":27853000000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":28100000000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":25215000000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":26191000000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":25713000000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":27351000000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":27654000000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":28323000000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":26920000000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":28366000000}],"ROE":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.07841166122141241},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.2586120996441281},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.06579417013682332},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.1115650414264442},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.13148990782872477},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.14149391247120763},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.12855283141679322},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.15182007555696783},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.10092867756315008},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.17482196996404145}],"ROA":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.049869041382922995},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.1415750362013271},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.04174656309922324},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.05577651365098481},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.052798546126990704},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.06089947171915909},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.05682052794573072},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.07055982829547487},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.05137645620494372},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.09006737543948116}]}

Mondelez International, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and sells snack food and beverage products in the Latin America, North America, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Europe. It provides biscuits and baked snacks, including cookies, crackers, salted snacks, snack bars, and cakes and pastries; chocolates; and gums and candies, as well as various cheese and grocery, and powdered beverage products. The company's brand portfolio includes Oreo, Ritz, LU, CLIF Bar, and Tate's Bake Shop biscuits and baked snacks, as well as Cadbury Dairy Milk, Milka, and Toblerone chocolate. It serves supermarket chains, wholesalers, supercenters, club stores, mass merchandisers, distributors, convenience stores, gasoline stations, drug stores, value stores, and other retail food outlets through direct store delivery, company-owned and satellite warehouses, third party distributors, and other facilities, as well as through independent sales offices and agents. The company was formerly known as Kraft Foods Inc. and changed its name to Mondelez International, Inc. in October 2012. Mondelez International, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

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Growth

%

%

Discount

%

%

Multiple

g\r+10%+11%+12%+13%+14%
0%109887
+1%1110988
+2%13111098
+3%141311109
+4%1714121110
Years012345678910TV
FCF$3.602B$3.901B$4.21B$4.528B$4.854B$5.185B$5.52B$5.857B$6.193B$6.525B$6.851B$68.51B
DCF$3.392B$3.183B$2.977B$2.775B$2.578B$2.387B$2.202B$2.024B$1.855B$1.694B$16.94B
Value$42B

In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.

Earnings Growth 3.4%
Earnings Stability 3.8%


Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years12-201512-201612-201712-201812-201912-202012-202112-202212-2023TTM
Net Margin25%6.4%11%13%15%13%15%8.6%14%14%
ROA14%4.2%5.6%5.3%6.1%5.7%7.1%5.1%9%9%
ROE26%6.6%11%13%14%13%15%10%17%17%

What is the average Net Margin?

The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +13.12%.

What is the trend of Net Margin?

The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is -0.39%.

What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?

The average ROA over the past 5 years is +6.38%.

What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?

The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +0.49%.

What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?

The average ROE over the past 5 years is +13.82%.

What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?

The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +0.34%.


Safety & Stabiliy

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years12-201512-201612-201712-201812-201912-202012-202112-202212-2023TTM
Debt FCF7.2312.2213.417.566.937.346.637.645.855.85
Debt Equity0.570.780.810.840.770.820.740.850.740.74
MIN
Graham Stability--79%86%100%100%100%70%100%70%

What is the Debt/FCF?

The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 5.85.

What is the trend of Debt/FCF?

The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -0.20.

What is the Graham’s Stability?

Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.70.


Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years12-201612-201812-202012-2022Trend
Revenue4.8%6.8%11%14%3.3%
Net Income17%8%12%83%-10%
Stockholders Equity1.7%2%0.85%5.4%0.57%
FCF12%4.8%5.1%20%0.23%

What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?

The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +6.79%.

What is the trend of Revenue growth?

The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +3.28%.

What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?

The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +7.96%.

What is the trend of Earnings growth?

The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -10.23%.

What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?

The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +1.98%.

What is the trend of Equity growth?

The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.57%.

What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?

The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +4.77%.

What is the trend of FCF growth?

The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.23%.