M.D.C. Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the homebuilding and financial service businesses. Its homebuilding operations include purchasing finished lots or developing lots for the construction and sale primarily of single-family detached homes to first-time and first-time move-up homebuyers under the Richmond American Homes name. The company conducts its homebuilding operations in Arizona, California, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Texas, Washington, Colorado, Idaho, Utah, Alabama, Florida, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, and Virginia. Its financial services operations comprise originating mortgage loans primarily for homebuyers; providing insurance coverage primarily to its homebuilding subsidiaries and subcontractors for homes sold by its homebuilding subsidiaries, and for work performed in completed subdivisions; acting as a re-insurer on the claims; selling third-party personal property and casualty insurance products to homebuyers; and offering title agency services to homebuilding subsidiaries and customers in Colorado, Florida, Maryland, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Virginia. The company was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of M.d.c. Holdings, Inc.
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +8.25%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +1.02%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +11.22%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +1.47%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +15.65%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +2.01%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 1.28.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -1.57.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.70.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +17.27%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +1.46%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +31.71%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +7.31%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +17.05%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +2.77%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +69.35%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -.