Mercury General Corp
MCY
Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance
Mkt Cap
$3.091BPE
14.37Debt
-Cash
$530.1MEV
-FCF
$589MP/E Ratio
14.37Debt
-Cash
$530.1MEV
-FCF
$589MCharts data: {"Earnings":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":177949000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":74479000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":73044000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":144877000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":-5728000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":320087000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":374607000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":247937000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":-512672000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":96336000}],"Sales":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":3011773000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":3009300000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":3227683000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":3415962000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":3380004000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":3972518000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":3784511000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":3993357000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":3643066000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":4629631000}],"Net Margins":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.059084466193169274},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.024749609543747716},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.022630475173677216},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.04241177155951969},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":-0.0016946725506833719},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.08057534289334875},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.09898425450474314},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.062087361585753544},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":-0.14072542193855395},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.020808569840663326}],"Assets":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":4600289000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":4628645000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":4788718000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":5101323000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":5433729000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":5889157000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":6328246000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":6772472000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":6514188000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":7103397000}],"Stockholders Equity":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":1875446000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":1820885000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":1752402000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":1761387000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":1617684000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":1799502000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":2032597000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":2140281000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":1522131000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":1548145000}],"ROE":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.09488356369631544},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.04090263800294912},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.041682216751635755},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.0822516573586611},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":-0.003540864594073997},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.17787532328388633},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.18429969147843867},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.11584320002840748},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":-0.33681200895323726},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.06222672940842105}],"ROA":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.05435788925434902},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.015930148023881718},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.015596240998112647},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.03572661444884004},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":-0.002499020470104416},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.06709007757816611},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.0751470470648581},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.04672149253625559},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":-0.10031687756018094},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.013997246669445618}]}
Mercury General Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in writing personal automobile insurance in the United States. The company also writes homeowners, commercial automobile, commercial property, mechanical protection, and umbrella insurance products. Its automobile insurance products include collision, property damage, bodily injury, comprehensive, personal injury protection, underinsured and uninsured motorist, and other hazards; and homeowners insurance products comprise dwelling, liability, personal property, fire, and other hazards. The company sells its policies through a network of independent agents and insurance agencies, as well as directly through internet sales portals in Arizona, California, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Nevada, New Jersey, New York, Oklahoma, Texas, and Virginia. Mercury General Corporation was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California.
Sector
![ACIC Logo](data:image/svg+xml,<svg xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg' width='18' height='18'><defs><linearGradient id="a" x1="3.349" x2="21.904" y1="3.122" y2="24.434" gradientUnits="userSpaceOnUse"><stop stop-color="%231A1E21"/><stop offset="1" stop-color="%2306060A"/></linearGradient></defs><path fill="url(%23a)" d="M0 0h18v18H0z"/><text x='50%' y='52%' dominant-baseline='middle' text-anchor='middle' font-size='5' font-family='sans-serif' fill='gray'>ACIC</text></svg>){kind=small}
![AFG Logo](data:image/svg+xml,<svg xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg' width='18' height='18'><defs><linearGradient id="a" x1="3.349" x2="21.904" y1="3.122" y2="24.434" gradientUnits="userSpaceOnUse"><stop stop-color="%231A1E21"/><stop offset="1" stop-color="%2306060A"/></linearGradient></defs><path fill="url(%23a)" d="M0 0h18v18H0z"/><text x='50%' y='52%' dominant-baseline='middle' text-anchor='middle' font-size='5' font-family='sans-serif' fill='gray'>AFG</text></svg>){kind=small}
![EG Logo](data:image/svg+xml,<svg xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg' width='18' height='18'><defs><linearGradient id="a" x1="3.349" x2="21.904" y1="3.122" y2="24.434" gradientUnits="userSpaceOnUse"><stop stop-color="%231A1E21"/><stop offset="1" stop-color="%2306060A"/></linearGradient></defs><path fill="url(%23a)" d="M0 0h18v18H0z"/><text x='50%' y='52%' dominant-baseline='middle' text-anchor='middle' font-size='5' font-family='sans-serif' fill='gray'>EG</text></svg>){kind=small}
![GBLI Logo](data:image/svg+xml,<svg xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg' width='18' height='18'><defs><linearGradient id="a" x1="3.349" x2="21.904" y1="3.122" y2="24.434" gradientUnits="userSpaceOnUse"><stop stop-color="%231A1E21"/><stop offset="1" stop-color="%2306060A"/></linearGradient></defs><path fill="url(%23a)" d="M0 0h18v18H0z"/><text x='50%' y='52%' dominant-baseline='middle' text-anchor='middle' font-size='5' font-family='sans-serif' fill='gray'>GBLI</text></svg>){kind=small}
![GLRE Logo](data:image/svg+xml,<svg xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg' width='18' height='18'><defs><linearGradient id="a" x1="3.349" x2="21.904" y1="3.122" y2="24.434" gradientUnits="userSpaceOnUse"><stop stop-color="%231A1E21"/><stop offset="1" stop-color="%2306060A"/></linearGradient></defs><path fill="url(%23a)" d="M0 0h18v18H0z"/><text x='50%' y='52%' dominant-baseline='middle' text-anchor='middle' font-size='5' font-family='sans-serif' fill='gray'>GLRE</text></svg>){kind=small}
![HIG Logo](data:image/svg+xml,<svg xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg' width='18' height='18'><defs><linearGradient id="a" x1="3.349" x2="21.904" y1="3.122" y2="24.434" gradientUnits="userSpaceOnUse"><stop stop-color="%231A1E21"/><stop offset="1" stop-color="%2306060A"/></linearGradient></defs><path fill="url(%23a)" d="M0 0h18v18H0z"/><text x='50%' y='52%' dominant-baseline='middle' text-anchor='middle' font-size='5' font-family='sans-serif' fill='gray'>HIG</text></svg>){kind=small}
![PGR Logo](data:image/svg+xml,<svg xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg' width='18' height='18'><defs><linearGradient id="a" x1="3.349" x2="21.904" y1="3.122" y2="24.434" gradientUnits="userSpaceOnUse"><stop stop-color="%231A1E21"/><stop offset="1" stop-color="%2306060A"/></linearGradient></defs><path fill="url(%23a)" d="M0 0h18v18H0z"/><text x='50%' y='52%' dominant-baseline='middle' text-anchor='middle' font-size='5' font-family='sans-serif' fill='gray'>PGR</text></svg>){kind=small}
DCF
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Mercury General Corp
Value
Growth
%
%
Discount
%
%
Multiple
| g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| +1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| +2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| +3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| +4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCF | $589M | $634.6M | $681.8M | $730.4M | $780.2M | $831.1M | $882.7M | $934.9M | $987.4M | $1.04B | $1.092B | $10.92B |
| DCF | $551.8M | $515.5M | $480.2M | $446.1M | $413.2M | $381.6M | $351.5M | $322.8M | $295.6M | $269.9M | $2.699B | |
| Value | $6.727B | |||||||||||
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
Earnings Growth 23%
Earnings Stability 20%
Competitiveness and MOAT
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
| Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Margin | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.2% | -0.17% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 6.2% | -14% | 2.1% | 4.5% |
| ROA | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.6% | -0.25% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.7% | -10% | 1.4% | 3.4% |
| ROE | 4.1% | 4.2% | 8.2% | -0.35% | 18% | 18% | 12% | -34% | 6.2% | 13% |
What is the average Net Margin?
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +2%.
What is the trend of Net Margin?
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is -1.68%.
What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +1.67%.
What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is -1.28%.
What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +3.33%.
What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -3.67%.
Safety & Stabiliy
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
| Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debt FCF | - | - | 1.16 | 1.05 | 0.78 | 0.66 | 0.81 | 1.26 | 1.38 | - |
| Debt Equity | - | - | 0.21 | 0.23 | 0.21 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.26 | 0.37 | - |
| MIN | ||||||||||
| Graham Stability | - | - | 100% | -5.9% | 100% | 100% | 100% | -160% | 100% | -160% |
What is the Debt/FCF?
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is -.
What is the trend of Debt/FCF?
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 0.09.
What is the Graham’s Stability?
Graham’s Stability measure stands at -1.63.
Growth
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
| Years | 12-2016 | 12-2018 | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 27% | 0.94% |
| Net Income | 4% | - | -36% | - | 0.63% |
| Stockholders Equity | -1.8% | -0.87% | -8.7% | 1.7% | -0.44% |
| FCF | 6.3% | 3.2% | -9.7% | 31% | -2% |
What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +6.49%.
What is the trend of Revenue growth?
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.94%.
What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
What is the trend of Earnings growth?
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.63%.
What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is -0.87%.
What is the trend of Equity growth?
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.44%.
What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +3.2%.
What is the trend of FCF growth?
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -2.03%.