Lsb Industries, Inc.
LXU
Industrial Inorganic Chemicals
Mkt Cap
$616.4MPE
6.22Debt
$588.2MCash
$46.82MEV
$1.158BFCF
$152.6MP/E Ratio
6.22Debt
$588.2MCash
$46.82MEV
$1.158BFCF
$152.6MLSB Industries, Inc. engages in the manufacture, marketing, and sale of chemical products. The company provides nitrogen-based fertilizers, such as ammonia, fertilizer grade ammonium nitrate (HDAN), and urea ammonia nitrate for fertilizer and fertilizer blends for corn and other crops, and NPK fertilizer blends applications. It also offers high purity and commercial grade ammonia, high purity ammonium nitrate, sulfuric acids, mixed nitrating acids, carbon dioxide, and diesel exhaust fluids, as well as concentrated, and blended and regular nitric acids for various applications, including semi-conductor and polyurethane intermediates; pulp and paper, alum, water treatment, metals, and vanadium processing; power plant emissions abatement, water treatment, refrigerants, and metals processing; exhaust stream additive, and horticulture/greenhouse applications; and refrigeration. In addition, the company provides industrial grade ammonium nitrate, ammonium nitrate, and HDAN solutions for ammonium nitrate fuel oil and specialty emulsions for mining, surface mining, quarries, and construction applications. It sells its products through distributors, as well as directly to end customers in the United States, Mexico, Canada, and the Caribbean. The company serves to the agricultural, industrial, and mining markets. LSB Industries, Inc. was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
DCF
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Lsb Industries, Inc.
Value
Growth
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%
Discount
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%
Multiple
| g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| +1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| +2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| +3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| +4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCF | $152.6M | $198.3M | $252.3M | $314M | $382M | $454.2M | $527.4M | $597.7M | $660.8M | $712.2M | $747.8M | $7.478B |
| DCF | $172.5M | $190.8M | $206.5M | $218.4M | $225.8M | $228M | $224.7M | $216M | $202.5M | $184.8M | $1.848B | |
| Value | $3.919B | |||||||||||
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
Earnings Growth 30%
Earnings Stability -27%
Competitiveness and MOAT
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
| Years | 12-2014 | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Margin | 2.6% | -5.3% | 17% | -14% | -27% | -26% | -28% | -40% | 26% | 14% |
| ROA | 4.7% | -3.7% | -7.1% | -2.9% | -2% | -3.6% | -1.5% | 8.9% | 21% | 10% |
| ROE | 4.5% | -9% | 13% | -14% | -30% | -39% | -66% | -48% | 45% | 19% |
What is the average Net Margin?
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is -18.3%.
What is the trend of Net Margin?
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +4.52%.
What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +3.4%.
What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +4.47%.
What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?
The average ROE over the past 5 years is -25.36%.
What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +6.01%.
Safety & Stabiliy
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
| Years | 12-2014 | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debt FCF | -3.00 | -1.27 | -1.85 | -12.63 | -22.53 | -13.80 | -15.19 | 10.29 | 2.43 | 3.86 |
| Debt Equity | 1.06 | 1.23 | 0.88 | 0.96 | 1.28 | 1.90 | 3.35 | 1.17 | 1.41 | 1.10 |
| MIN | ||||||||||
| Graham Stability | - | - | 100% | -390% | - | - | - | - | - | -390% |
What is the Debt/FCF?
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 3.86.
What is the trend of Debt/FCF?
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 4.92.
What is the Graham’s Stability?
Graham’s Stability measure stands at -3.87.
Growth
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
| Years | 12-2015 | 12-2017 | 12-2019 | 12-2021 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 3.4% | 16% | 35% | 62% | 7.8% |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.9% | 3.3% | 28% | 12% | 8.8% |
| FCF | - | - | - | 470% | - |
What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +16.1%.
What is the trend of Revenue growth?
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +7.84%.
What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
What is the trend of Earnings growth?
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -.
What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +3.32%.
What is the trend of Equity growth?
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +8.81%.
What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
What is the trend of FCF growth?
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -.