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Lumen Technologies, Inc.

LUMN

Telephone Communications (No Radiotelephone)

Mkt Cap

$1.261B

PE

-0.12

Debt

$19.5B

Cash

$1.58B

EV

$19.18B

FCF

-$506M

Market Cap

$1.261B

P/E Ratio

-0.12

Debt

$19.5B

Cash

$1.58B

EV

$19.18B

FCF

-$506M
Charts data: {"Earnings":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":772000000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":878000000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":626000000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":1389000000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":-1733000000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":-5269000000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":-1232000000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":2033000000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":-1548000000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":-10298000000}],"Sales":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":18031000000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":17900000000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":17470000000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":17656000000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":23443000000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":22401000000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":20712000000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":19687000000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":17478000000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":14557000000}],"Net Margins":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.042815151683212246},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.04905027932960894},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.035832856325128795},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.07867014046216583},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":-0.07392398583799002},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":-0.2352127137181376},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":-0.05948242564696794},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.10326611469497637},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":-0.08856848609680741},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":-0.7074259806278766}],"Assets":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":50147000000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":47604000000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":47017000000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":75611000000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":70256000000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":64742000000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":59394000000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":57993000000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":45581000000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":34018000000}],"Stockholders Equity":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":15023000000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":14060000000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":13399000000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":23491000000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":19828000000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":13470000000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":11162000000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":11840000000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":10437000000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":417000000}],"ROE":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.051387871929707785},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.06244665718349929},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.046719904470482874},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.059129028138436},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":-0.08740165422634658},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":-0.39116555308092055},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":-0.1103744848593442},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.17170608108108107},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":-0.14831848232250647},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":-24.695443645083934}],"ROA":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.04805870740024328},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.05472229224434921},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.04957781228066444},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.026570208038512916},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.008113186062400364},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":-0.04210558833523833},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.016196922248038523},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.07388822788957287},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.0020842017507294707},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":-0.28173320007055086}]}

Lumen Technologies, Inc., a facilities-based technology and communications company, provides various integrated products and services under the Lumen, Quantum Fiber, and CenturyLink brands to business and residential customers in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Business and Mass Markets. It offers compute and application services, such as edge cloud services, IT solutions, unified communication and collaboration solutions, colocation and data center services, content delivery services, and managed security services; and IP and data services, including VPN data network, Ethernet, internet protocol (IP), and voice over internet protocol. The company also provides fiber infrastructure services comprising high bandwidth optical wavelength networks; and unlit optical fiber and related professional services. In addition, it offers voice and other services, including private line services, a direct circuit or channel specifically dedicated for connecting two or more organizational sites; a portfolio of traditional time division multiplexing voice services; and synchronous optical network-based ethernet, legacy data hosting services, and conferencing services. The company was formerly known as CenturyLink, Inc. and changed its name to Lumen Technologies, Inc. in September 2020. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Monroe, Louisiana.

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In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.

Earnings Growth 17%
Earnings Stability -4%


Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years12-201512-201612-201712-201812-201912-202012-202112-202212-2023TTM
Net Margin4.9%3.6%7.9%-7.4%-24%-5.9%10%-8.9%-71%-76%
ROA5.5%5%2.7%0.81%-4.2%1.6%7.4%0.21%-28%-31%
ROE6.2%4.7%5.9%-8.7%-39%-11%17%-15%-2.5K%-2.1K%

What is the average Net Margin?

The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is -17.69%.

What is the trend of Net Margin?

The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is -7.33%.

What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?

The average ROA over the past 5 years is -3.73%.

What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?

The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is -3.6%.

What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?

The average ROE over the past 5 years is -421.02%.

What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?

The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -348.66%.


Safety & Stabiliy

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years12-201512-201612-201712-201812-201912-202012-202112-202212-2023TTM
Debt FCF9.6613.4149.229.4612.2312.378.5412.16-21.59-38.53
Debt Equity1.571.631.621.842.773.102.602.0048.6738.68
MIN
Graham Stability--100%-180%-5.6K%-----5.6K%

What is the Debt/FCF?

The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is -38.53.

What is the trend of Debt/FCF?

The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -4.55.

What is the Graham’s Stability?

Graham’s Stability measure stands at -56.05.


Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years12-201612-201812-202012-2022Trend
Revenue-2.6%-9.1%-11%-17%-2.4%
Net Income----54%
Stockholders Equity-39%-54%-67%-96%-8.7%
FCF-----4.9%

What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?

The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is -9.09%.

What is the trend of Revenue growth?

The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -2.38%.

What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?

The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +42.82%.

What is the trend of Earnings growth?

The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +54.08%.

What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?

The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is -53.81%.

What is the trend of Equity growth?

The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -8.66%.

What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?

The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -.

What is the trend of FCF growth?

The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -4.9%.