Lumen Technologies, Inc.

Telecommunications
Telecommunications Equipment
www.lumen.com

Earnings Score
Moat Score
Safety Score

Market Cap $6.91B
PE -3
Debt $19.61B
Cash $2.64B
EV $23.88B
FCF $1.29B

Earnings

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Sales & Net Margins

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Earnings	-$2.14B
EBIT	-$1.47B
ROE	-624%
ROA	-4%
FCF	$1.29B
Equity	$342.00M
Growth Stability	-6K%
PE	-3.24
PEG	-2.25
PB	20.2
P/FCF	5.35
P/S	0.52
Price/Cash	0.38
Debt/Equity	57.35
Debt/FCF	15.18
Net Margins	-1%
Gross Margins	49%
Op. Margins	-11%
Earnings CAGR	2%
Sales Growth YoY	-12%
Sales Growth QoQ	-1%
Sales CAGR	-2%
FCF CAGR	-0%
Equity CAGR	-22%
Earnings Stability	0.05
Earnings Growth YoY	90%
Earnings Growth QoQ	202%
Earnings CAGR 5Y	1%

Sales CAGR 5Y	-11%
FCF CAGR 5Y	-15%
Equity CAGR 5Y	-53%
Earnings CAGR 3Y	-15%
Sales CAGR 3Y	-15%
FCF CAGR 3Y	-30%
Equity CAGR 3Y	-80%
Market Cap	$6.91B
Revenue	$13.30B
Dividend Yield	0%
Payout Ratio	-0%
Assets	$33.99B
Total Debt	$19.61B
Cash	$2.64B
Shares Outstanding	986.96M
EV	23.88B
Earnings Score	6%
Moat Score	11%
Safety Score	23%
Final Score	14%
Working Capital	796M
Current Ratio	1.2
Gross Profit	$6.56B
Shares Growth 3y	-1%
Equity Growth QoQ	-27%
Equity Growth YoY	-85%

Assets & ROA

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Stockholders Equity & ROE

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Lumen Technologies is one of the United States' largest telecommunications carriers serving global enterprises. Its merger with Level 3 further shifted the company's operations toward businesses (over 70% of revenue) and away from its legacy consumer business. Lumen offers businesses a full menu of communications services, providing colocation and data center services, data transportation, and end-user phone and internet service. On the consumer side, Lumen provides broadband and phone service across 37 states, where it has 4.5 million broadband customers.

SEC Filings

Direct access to Lumen Technologies, Inc. (LUMN) Annual Reports (10K) and Quarterly Reports (10Q) from the SEC website.

2024
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2023
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2022
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31

Sector Comparison

How does Lumen Technologies, Inc. compare to its competitors?

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Peter Lynch's Chart

This chart shows the current pricing of Lumen Technologies, Inc. compared to its past. The addition of the earnings trend line provides further insights into the company's earnings power.

CAGR 2%

Stability 5%

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Lumen Technologies, Inc. Discounted Cash Flow

Fully customizable DCF calculator online for Lumen Technologies, Inc..

Years

Calculation mode

= $13B

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
fcf	$1.3B	$1.3B	$1.3B	$1.3B	$1.3B	$1.3B	$1.3B	$1.3B	$1.3B	$1.3B	$1.3B	$13B
DCF		$1.2B	$1.1B	$964M	$875M	$793M	$720M	$653M	$592M	$537M	$487M	$4.9B
Value	$13B

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years	12/2014	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	TTM
Net Margins	4%	5%	4%	8%	-7%	-24%	-6%	10%	-9%	-71%	-1%
ROA	-	5%	5%	3%	1%	-4%	2%	7%	0%	-28%	-4%
ROE	-	6%	5%	6%	-9%	-39%	-11%	17%	-15%	-2K%	-624%

Bad Net Margins (-1.43%)

Net Margins are too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Safety and Stability

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years	12/2014	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	TTM
Debt over FCF	-	9.66	13.41	49.22	9.46	12.23	12.37	8.54	12.16	-21.59	15.18
Debt over Equity	1.42	1.57	1.63	1.62	1.84	2.77	3.1	2.6	2	48.67	57.35
Growth Stability	-	-	-	100%	-180%	-6K%	-	-	-	-	-6K%

Bad Debt/FCF ratio (15.18)

Net Margins are too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Bad Debt/Equity ratio (57.35)

The company is overleveraged and has a bad balance between equity and debt.

Bad Graham’s Stability (-6K%)

The company has a bad stability in its earnings, which is a sign of a bad competitive advantage.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years	12/2014	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	CAGR 5Y
Revenue YoY growth	-	-1%	-2%	1%	33%	-4%	-8%	-5%	-11%	-17%	-11%
Earnings YoY growth	-	14%	-29%	122%	-225%	204%	-77%	-265%	-176%	565%	1%
Equity YoY growth	-	-6%	-5%	75%	-16%	-32%	-17%	6%	-12%	-96%	-53%
FCF YoY growth	-	6%	-29%	-53%	400%	-21%	-8%	29%	-52%	-155%	-15%