Farm Machinery & Equipment
Lindsay Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides water management and road infrastructure products and services in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Irrigation and Infrastructure. The Irrigation segment manufactures and markets center pivot, lateral move irrigation systems, and irrigation controls under the Zimmatic brand; hose reel travelers under the Perrot brand; and chemical injection systems, variable rate irrigation systems, flow meters, weather stations, soil moisture sensors, and remote monitoring and control systems. It also offers repair and replacement parts for its irrigation systems and controls, and diameter steel tubing; global positioning system positioning and guidance, variable rate irrigation, wireless irrigation management, irrigation scheduling, and smartphone applications; and industrial Internet of Things technology solutions, data acquisition and management systems, and custom electronic equipment for applications under the Elecsys brand. The Infrastructure segment provides Quickchange moveable barrier systems that help in highway reconstruction, paving and resurfacing, road widening, median and shoulder construction, and tunnels and bridge repairs; and redirective and non-redirective crash cushions, which are used to enhance highway safety at locations, such as toll booths, freeway off-ramps, medians and roadside barrier ends, bridge supports, utility poles, and other fixed roadway hazards. It also offers specialty barrier products; road marking and road safety equipment; and railroad signals and structures. The company serves departments of transportation, municipal transportation road agencies, roadway contractors, subcontractors, distributors, and dealers. Lindsay Corporation was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Lindsay Corp
Growth
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Discount
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Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $93.63M | $105.9M | $118.8M | $132.3M | $146M | $159.9M | $173.7M | $187.1M | $199.8M | $211.6M | $222.1M | $2.221B |
DCF | $92.09M | $89.86M | $86.97M | $83.5M | $79.51M | $75.09M | $70.32M | $65.31M | $60.14M | $54.91M | $549.1M | |
Value | $1.307B |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 08-2015 | 08-2016 | 08-2017 | 08-2018 | 08-2019 | 08-2020 | 08-2021 | 08-2022 | 08-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 0.49% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11% | 11% |
ROA | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8% | 7.7% | 1.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 13% | 14% | 12% |
ROE | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 0.81% | 13% | 13% | 17% | 16% | 14% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +6.51%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +1.67%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +9.04%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +1.86%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +11.03%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +2.57%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 08-2015 | 08-2016 | 08-2017 | 08-2018 | 08-2019 | 08-2020 | 08-2021 | 08-2022 | 08-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | 3.52 | 5.43 | 3.83 | 5.11 | -6.02 | 4.74 | 6.67 | -9.26 | 1.15 | 1.24 |
Debt Equity | 0.41 | 0.47 | 0.43 | 0.42 | 0.44 | 0.39 | 0.34 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 0.24 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | 71% | 87% | 10% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 10% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 1.24.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -0.79.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.10.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 08-2016 | 08-2018 | 08-2020 | 08-2022 | Trend |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 3.9% | 4.2% | 12% | -13% | 2.6% |
Net Income | 20% | 29% | 23% | 11% | 36% |
Stockholders Equity | 8.9% | 10% | 15% | 16% | 4.5% |
FCF | 25% | 35% | 60% | - | 2.1% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +4.24%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +2.63%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +28.98%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +35.85%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +10.48%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +4.49%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +34.56%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +2.12%.