Construction - Special Trade Contractors
Limbach Holdings, Inc. operates as an integrated building systems solutions company in the United States. It operates in two segments, General Contractor Relationships and Owner Direct Relationships. The company engages in the design, prefabrication, installation, management, and maintenance of mechanical, electrical, plumbing, and control systems, as well as heating, ventilation, air-conditioning (HVAC) system. Its facility services comprise mechanical construction, HVAC service and maintenance, energy audits and retrofits, engineering and design build, constructability evaluation, equipment and materials selection, offsite/prefabrication construction, and sustainable building solutions and practices. The company serves research, acute care, and inpatient hospitals; public and private colleges, universities, research centers; sports arenas; cultural and entertainment facilities, and amusement rides and parks; and life sciences, including organizations and companies, whose work is centered around research and development focused on living things. The company was founded in 1901 and is headquartered in Warrendale, Pennsylvania.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Limbach Holdings, Inc.
Growth
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Discount
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Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $40.17M | $52.22M | $66.44M | $82.68M | $100.6M | $119.6M | $138.9M | $157.4M | $174M | $187.5M | $196.9M | $1.969B |
DCF | $45.41M | $50.24M | $54.36M | $57.52M | $59.46M | $60.04M | $59.16M | $56.88M | $53.31M | $48.67M | $486.7M | |
Value | $1.032B |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 12-2015 | 07-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | - | - | -0.19% | -0.72% | -0.32% | 1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 4% | 4.9% |
ROA | -0.85% | - | 2.8% | 0.42% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 9.6% | 11% |
ROE | -6.8% | - | -2% | -8.5% | -3.8% | 11% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 17% | 20% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +1.12%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +0.83%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +4.83%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +1.36%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +5.07%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +4.51%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 12-2015 | 07-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
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Debt FCF | - | - | -4.54 | 1.42 | -14.49 | 1.12 | -1.59 | 0.90 | 0.40 | 0.54 |
Debt Equity | - | - | 0.70 | 0.65 | 1.11 | 0.80 | 0.45 | 0.33 | 0.18 | 0.17 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 0.54.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 1.10.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 1.00.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 07-2016 | 12-2018 | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
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Revenue | - | -1.1% | -3.1% | 3.9% | -1.7% |
Net Income | - | - | 53% | 210% | 95% |
Stockholders Equity | - | 21% | 31% | 27% | 4.9% |
FCF | - | 21% | 13% | 60% | - |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is -1.13%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -1.69%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +94.82%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +21.13%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +4.89%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +20.77%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -.