Eli Lilly & Co

Health Care
Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations
www.lilly.com

Earnings Score
Moat Score
Safety Score

Market Cap $744.78B
PE 89
Debt $31.12B
Cash $3.37B
EV $772.53B
FCF $1.40B

Earnings

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Sales & Net Margins

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Earnings	$8.37B
EBIT	$10.15B
ROE	58%
ROA	13%
FCF	$1.40B
Equity	$14.32B
Growth Stability	-8%
PE	88.98
PEG	82.23
PB	52.01
P/FCF	532.06
P/S	18.23
Price/Cash	0
Debt/Equity	2.17
Debt/FCF	22.23
Net Margins	20%
Gross Margins	81%
Op. Margins	25%
Earnings CAGR	16%
Sales Growth YoY	20%
Sales Growth QoQ	1%
Sales CAGR	7%
FCF CAGR	-3%
Equity CAGR	-4%
Earnings Stability	0.41
Earnings Growth YoY	-2K%
Earnings Growth QoQ	-67%
Earnings CAGR 5Y	1%

Sales CAGR 5Y	12%
FCF CAGR 5Y	-30%
Equity CAGR 5Y	35%
Earnings CAGR 3Y	14%
Sales CAGR 3Y	14%
FCF CAGR 3Y	-61%
Equity CAGR 3Y	17%
Market Cap	$744.78B
Revenue	$40.86B
Dividend Yield	1%
Payout Ratio	54%
Assets	$75.61B
Total Debt	$31.12B
Cash	$3.37B
Shares Outstanding	900.9M
EV	772.53B
Earnings Score	40%
Moat Score	96%
Safety Score	37%
Final Score	58%
Working Capital	6.74B
Current Ratio	1.27
Gross Profit	$33.06B
Shares Growth 3y	-0%
Equity Growth QoQ	5%
Equity Growth YoY	27%

Assets & ROA

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Stockholders Equity & ROE

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Eli Lilly and Company discovers, develops, and markets human pharmaceuticals worldwide. It offers Basaglar, Humalog, Humalog Mix 75/25, Humalog U-100, Humalog U-200, Humalog Mix 50/50, insulin lispro, insulin lispro protamine, insulin lispro mix 75/25, Humulin, Humulin 70/30, Humulin N, Humulin R, and Humulin U-500 for diabetes; and Jardiance, Trajenta, and Trulicity for type 2 diabetes. The company provides Alimta for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and malignant pleural mesothelioma; Cyramza for metastatic gastric cancer, gastro-esophageal junction adenocarcinoma, metastatic NSCLC, metastatic colorectal cancer, and hepatocellular carcinoma; Erbitux for colorectal cancers, and various head and neck cancers; Retevmo for metastatic NSCLC, medullary thyroid cancer, and thyroid cancer; Tyvyt for relapsed or refractory classic Hodgkin's lymph and non-squamous NSCLC; and Verzenio for HR+, HER2- metastatic breast cancer, node positive, and early breast cancer.

SEC Filings

Direct access to Eli Lilly & Co (LLY) Annual Reports (10K) and Quarterly Reports (10Q) from the SEC website.

2024
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2023
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2022
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31

Sector Comparison

How does Eli Lilly & Co compare to its competitors?

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Peter Lynch's Chart

This chart shows the current pricing of Eli Lilly & Co compared to its past. The addition of the earnings trend line provides further insights into the company's earnings power.

CAGR 16%

Stability 41%

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Eli Lilly & Co Discounted Cash Flow

Fully customizable DCF calculator online for Eli Lilly & Co.

Years

Calculation mode

= $11B

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
fcf	$1.4B	$1.4B	$1.3B	$1.3B	$1.2B	$1.2B	$1.2B	$1.1B	$1.1B	$1B	$1B	$10B
DCF		$1.2B	$1.1B	$953M	$839M	$738M	$649M	$571M	$502M	$442M	$389M	$3.9B
Value	$11B

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years	12/2014	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	TTM
Net Margins	12%	12%	13%	-1%	13%	37%	25%	20%	22%	15%	20%
ROA	-	8%	9%	5%	9%	13%	16%	13%	14%	10%	13%
ROE	-	17%	19%	-2%	30%	308%	106%	61%	58%	48%	58%

Good Net Margins (19.61%)

Net Margins are high enough to offer a good protection on the profits in case of higher costs or higher interests. Furthermore higher margins reduce earnings’ volatility.

Safety and Stability

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years	12/2014	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	TTM
Debt over FCF	-	4.68	2.87	3.01	2.96	4.03	3.25	3.07	3.12	32.82	22.23
Debt over Equity	0.52	0.55	0.78	1.17	1.17	5.67	2.85	2	1.51	2.39	2.17
Growth Stability	-	-	-	-8%	100%	100%	100%	94%	93%	87%	-8%

Bad Debt/FCF ratio (22.23)

Net Margins are too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Bad Debt/Equity ratio (2.17)

The company is overleveraged and has a bad balance between equity and debt.

Bad Graham’s Stability (-8%)

The company has a bad stability in its earnings, which is a sign of a bad competitive advantage.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years	12/2014	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	CAGR 5Y
Revenue YoY growth	-	2%	6%	8%	7%	-9%	10%	15%	1%	20%	12%
Earnings YoY growth	-	1%	14%	-107%	-2K%	157%	-26%	-10%	12%	-16%	1%
Equity YoY growth	-	-5%	-3%	-17%	-7%	-75%	116%	57%	18%	1%	35%
FCF YoY growth	-	-47%	123%	19%	-5%	-12%	34%	16%	-12%	-85%	-30%