Services-Motion Picture & Video Tape Production
Lions Gate Entertainment Corp. engages in the film, television, subscription, and location-based entertainment businesses in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Motion Picture, Television Production, and Media Networks. The Motion Picture segment engages in the development and production of feature films; acquisition of North American and worldwide distribution rights; North American theatrical, home entertainment, and television distribution of feature films produced and acquired; and worldwide licensing of distribution rights to feature films produced and acquired. The Television Production segment is involved in the development, production, and worldwide distribution of television productions, including television series, television movies and mini-series, and non-fiction programming. It also licenses Starz original series productions to Starz Networks and STARZPLAY International; distributes Starz original productions and licensed product; and sells and licenses music from television broadcasts of its productions. In addition, this segment sells and rents television production movies or series on packaged media, as well as through digital media platforms; produces, syndicates, and distributes approximately 80 television shows on approximately 35 networks; and offers services related to talent management. The Media Networks segment is involved in the domestic distribution of STARZ branded premium subscription video services through over-the-top (OTT) platforms and video programming distributors, such as cable operators, satellite television providers, and telecommunications companies; and OTT distribution of its STARZ branded premium subscription video services internationally. The company was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, California.
Sector
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Lions Gate Entertainment Corp
Growth
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Discount
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Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $378M | $428.3M | $481.3M | $536.4M | $592.9M | $649.9M | $706.3M | $761.2M | $813.3M | $861.4M | $904.5M | $9.045B |
DCF | $372.4M | $363.9M | $352.7M | $339M | $323.1M | $305.4M | $286.2M | $265.9M | $244.9M | $223.6M | $2.236B | |
Value | $5.313B |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 03-2015 | 03-2016 | 03-2017 | 03-2018 | 03-2019 | 03-2020 | 03-2021 | 03-2022 | 03-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | 7.6% | 1.8% | 0.45% | 11% | -8.1% | -5.3% | -1.1% | -5.7% | -52% | -29% |
ROA | 6.8% | -0.6% | -0.18% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.035% | 2.1% | 0.1% | -25% | -13% |
ROE | 22% | 5% | 0.58% | 15% | -10% | -7.8% | -1.2% | -7.7% | -260% | 360% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is -10.21%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is -8.77%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is -3.08%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is -4.04%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is -44.82%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -38.4%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 03-2015 | 03-2016 | 03-2017 | 03-2018 | 03-2019 | 03-2020 | 03-2021 | 03-2022 | 03-2023 | TTM |
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Debt FCF | - | -24.79 | 6.19 | 7.89 | 7.89 | 4.89 | -77.88 | -3.29 | -12.87 | 6.27 |
Debt Equity | 0.85 | 1.09 | 1.31 | 0.86 | 1.04 | 1.07 | 0.99 | 1.01 | 2.67 | -7.32 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | - | 100% | -170% | -340% | - | - | - | -340% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 6.27.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -6.29.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at -3.38.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 03-2016 | 03-2018 | 03-2020 | 03-2022 | Trend |
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Revenue | 7.3% | -1.4% | -0.3% | 7% | -2.2% |
Net Income | - | - | - | - | 1.6K% |
Stockholders Equity | -1.1% | -24% | -33% | -71% | -19% |
FCF | - | - | - | - | 44% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is -1.37%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -2.21%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +1.6K%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is -24.28%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -18.61%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +43.86%.