Littelfuse Inc

LFUS

Switchgear & Switchboard Apparatus

Mkt Cap

$6.404B

PE

29.22

Debt

$932.5M

Cash

$563.7M

EV

$6.773B

FCF

$385.1M

Market Cap

$6.404B

P/E Ratio

29.22

Debt

$932.5M

Cash

$563.7M

EV

$6.773B

FCF

$385.1M

Charts data: {"Earnings":[{"time":"2014-12-26","value":99418000},{"time":"2016-01-01","value":82466000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":104488000},{"time":"2017-12-29","value":119519000},{"time":"2018-12-28","value":164565000},{"time":"2019-12-27","value":139082000},{"time":"2020-12-25","value":129986000},{"time":"2021-12-31","value":283806000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":373306000},{"time":"2023-12-29","value":259485000}],"Sales":[{"time":"2014-12-26","value":851995000},{"time":"2016-01-01","value":867864000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":1056159000},{"time":"2017-12-29","value":1221534000},{"time":"2018-12-28","value":1718468000},{"time":"2019-12-27","value":1503873000},{"time":"2020-12-25","value":1445695000},{"time":"2021-12-31","value":2079928000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":2513897000},{"time":"2023-12-29","value":2362657000}],"Net Margins":[{"time":"2014-12-26","value":0.11668847821876889},{"time":"2016-01-01","value":0.09502180065079321},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.09893207367451302},{"time":"2017-12-29","value":0.09784336743799191},{"time":"2018-12-28","value":0.0957626211253279},{"time":"2019-12-27","value":0.09248254340625837},{"time":"2020-12-25","value":0.08991246424729975},{"time":"2021-12-31","value":0.13644991557400063},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.14849693523640786},{"time":"2023-12-29","value":0.10982762203739264}],"Assets":[{"time":"2014-12-26","value":1070826000},{"time":"2016-01-01","value":1064981000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":1491194000},{"time":"2017-12-29","value":1740102000},{"time":"2018-12-28","value":2614306000},{"time":"2019-12-27","value":2559898000},{"time":"2020-12-25","value":2747593000},{"time":"2021-12-31","value":3151704000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":3903734000},{"time":"2023-12-29","value":3995275000}],"Stockholders Equity":[{"time":"2014-12-26","value":727665000},{"time":"2016-01-01","value":744198000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":814931000},{"time":"2017-12-29","value":927556000},{"time":"2018-12-28","value":1478342000},{"time":"2019-12-27","value":1496014000},{"time":"2020-12-25","value":1608773000},{"time":"2021-12-31","value":1893520000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":2211378000},{"time":"2023-12-29","value":2480481000}],"ROE":[{"time":"2014-12-26","value":0.13662605732033284},{"time":"2016-01-01","value":0.11081190758373444},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.12821699015008634},{"time":"2017-12-29","value":0.12885367568103706},{"time":"2018-12-28","value":0.111317272999076},{"time":"2019-12-27","value":0.09296838131193959},{"time":"2020-12-25","value":0.08079822324218519},{"time":"2021-12-31","value":0.14988275803793993},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.16881148315665617},{"time":"2023-12-29","value":0.10461075896166913}],"ROA":[{"time":"2014-12-26","value":0.12751744914673346},{"time":"2016-01-01","value":0.10042244885120016},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.08761033105015176},{"time":"2017-12-29","value":0.12557367326742916},{"time":"2018-12-28","value":0.08608364896840691},{"time":"2019-12-27","value":0.0753119850869058},{"time":"2020-12-25","value":0.059096088831206074},{"time":"2021-12-31","value":0.1223598408987646},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.12829408971000586},{"time":"2023-12-29","value":0.09032219309058825}]}

Littelfuse, Inc. manufactures and sells circuit protection, power control, and sensing products in the Asia-Pacific, the Americas, and Europe. The company operates through Electronic, Transportation, and Industrial segments. The Electronics segment offers fuses and fuse accessories, positive temperature coefficient resettable fuses, polymer electrostatic discharge suppressors, varistors, reed switch based magnetic sensing products, and gas discharge tubes; and discrete transient voltage suppressor (TVS) diodes, TVS diode arrays, protection and switching thyristors, metal-oxide-semiconductor field-effect transistors and diodes, and insulated gate bipolar transistors. This segment serves industrial motor drives and power conversion, automotive electronics, electric vehicle and related infrastructure, aerospace, power supplies, data centers, telecommunications, medical devices, alternative energy, building and home automation, appliances, and mobile electronics markets. The Transportation segment provides blade, resettable, and high-current and high-voltage fuses, as well as battery cable protectors; fuses, switches, relays, circuit breakers, and power distribution modules for the commercial vehicles; and sensor products. This segment serves heavy-duty truck, construction, agriculture, material handling and marine. The Industrial segment offers industrial fuses, protection relays, contactors, transformers, and temperature sensors for use in renewable energy and energy storage systems, electric vehicle infrastructure, HVAC systems, industrial safety, non-residential construction, MRO, mining, and industrial automation. It sells its products through distributors, direct sales force, and manufacturers' representatives. Littelfuse, Inc. was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

Sector

POWL

10-Q
9/30/23
10-Q
7/1/23
10-Q
4/1/23
10-K
12/31/22
10-Q
10/1/22
10-Q
7/2/22
10-Q
4/2/22
10-K
1/1/22
10-Q
9/25/21
10-Q
6/26/21
10-Q
3/27/21
10-K
12/26/20
10-Q
9/26/20
10-Q
6/27/20
10-Q
3/28/20
10-K
12/28/19
10-Q
9/28/19
10-Q
6/29/19
10-Q
3/30/19
10-K
12/29/18
10-Q
9/29/18
10-Q
6/30/18
10-Q
3/31/18
10-K
12/30/17

DCF

Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Littelfuse Inc

Calculate

Growth Years

Growth

Start

End

Discount

Start

End

Multiple

g\r	+10%	+11%	+12%	+13%	+14%
0%	10	9	8	8	7
+1%	11	10	9	8	8
+2%	13	11	10	9	8
+3%	14	13	11	10	9
+4%	17	14	12	11	10

Years	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
FCF	$385.1M	$436M	$489.7M	$545.6M	$602.8M	$660.5M	$717.7M	$773.3M	$826.1M	$875M	$918.7M	$9.187B
DCF		$379.1M	$370.3M	$358.7M	$344.7M	$328.4M	$310.3M	$290.7M	$270.1M	$248.7M	$227.1M	$2.271B
Value	$5.399B

Chart P/E ratio

In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.

Earnings Growth 18%

Earnings Stability 69%

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

The Net Margin is too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Over time the ROA has been increasing indicating a higher marginal ROA with respect to the calculated one, giving a good sign for continued growth.

Years	01-2016	12-2016	12-2017	12-2018	12-2019	12-2020	12-2021	12-2022	12-2023	TTM
Net Margin	9.5%	9.9%	9.8%	9.6%	9.2%	9%	14%	15%	11%	9.6%
ROA	10%	8.8%	13%	8.6%	7.5%	5.9%	12%	13%	9%	7.8%
ROE	11%	13%	13%	11%	9.3%	8.1%	15%	17%	10%	8.9%

What is the average Net Margin?

The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +11.22%.

What is the trend of Net Margin?

The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +0.81%.

What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?

The average ROA over the past 5 years is +9.36%.

What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?

The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +0.7%.

What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?

The average ROE over the past 5 years is +11.81%.

What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?

The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +0.75%.

Safety & Stabiliy

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Under the assumption that FCF does not diminish and debt does not increase, the current years to repay the debt are acceptable.

The Graham’s stability indicate reliability of earnings, and consideration about the future are more dependable.

Years	01-2016	12-2016	12-2017	12-2018	12-2019	12-2020	12-2021	12-2022	12-2023	TTM
Debt FCF	2.12	3.47	2.49	2.76	3.78	3.42	2.35	3.62	2.40	2.42
Debt Equity	0.35	0.57	0.55	0.48	0.46	0.43	0.35	0.52	0.36	0.38
MIN
Graham Stability	-	-	100%	100%	100%	92%	100%	100%	99%	92%

What is the Debt/FCF?

The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 2.42.

What is the trend of Debt/FCF?

The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -0.10.

What is the Graham’s Stability?

Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.92.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Earnings growth has been increasing in past years.

Years	12-2016	12-2018	12-2020	12-2022	Trend
Revenue	12%	6.6%	18%	-6%	-0.37%
Net Income	14%	9.5%	26%	-30%	2.1%
Stockholders Equity	17%	11%	16%	12%	0.29%
FCF	16%	7.6%	23%	18%	0.54%

What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?

The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +6.57%.

What is the trend of Revenue growth?

The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.37%.

What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?

The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +9.54%.

What is the trend of Earnings growth?

The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +2.07%.

What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?

The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +10.91%.

What is the trend of Equity growth?

The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.29%.

What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?

The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +7.62%.

What is the trend of FCF growth?

The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.54%.