Switchgear & Switchboard Apparatus
Littelfuse, Inc. manufactures and sells circuit protection, power control, and sensing products in the Asia-Pacific, the Americas, and Europe. The company operates through Electronic, Transportation, and Industrial segments. The Electronics segment offers fuses and fuse accessories, positive temperature coefficient resettable fuses, polymer electrostatic discharge suppressors, varistors, reed switch based magnetic sensing products, and gas discharge tubes; and discrete transient voltage suppressor (TVS) diodes, TVS diode arrays, protection and switching thyristors, metal-oxide-semiconductor field-effect transistors and diodes, and insulated gate bipolar transistors. This segment serves industrial motor drives and power conversion, automotive electronics, electric vehicle and related infrastructure, aerospace, power supplies, data centers, telecommunications, medical devices, alternative energy, building and home automation, appliances, and mobile electronics markets. The Transportation segment provides blade, resettable, and high-current and high-voltage fuses, as well as battery cable protectors; fuses, switches, relays, circuit breakers, and power distribution modules for the commercial vehicles; and sensor products. This segment serves heavy-duty truck, construction, agriculture, material handling and marine. The Industrial segment offers industrial fuses, protection relays, contactors, transformers, and temperature sensors for use in renewable energy and energy storage systems, electric vehicle infrastructure, HVAC systems, industrial safety, non-residential construction, MRO, mining, and industrial automation. It sells its products through distributors, direct sales force, and manufacturers' representatives. Littelfuse, Inc. was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
Sector
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Littelfuse Inc
Growth
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Discount
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Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $385.1M | $436M | $489.7M | $545.6M | $602.8M | $660.5M | $717.7M | $773.3M | $826.1M | $875M | $918.7M | $9.187B |
DCF | $379.1M | $370.3M | $358.7M | $344.7M | $328.4M | $310.3M | $290.7M | $270.1M | $248.7M | $227.1M | $2.271B | |
Value | $5.399B |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 01-2016 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9% | 14% | 15% | 11% | 9.6% |
ROA | 10% | 8.8% | 13% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 7.8% |
ROE | 11% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 15% | 17% | 10% | 8.9% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +11.22%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +0.81%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +9.36%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +0.7%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +11.81%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +0.75%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 01-2016 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
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Debt FCF | 2.12 | 3.47 | 2.49 | 2.76 | 3.78 | 3.42 | 2.35 | 3.62 | 2.40 | 2.42 |
Debt Equity | 0.35 | 0.57 | 0.55 | 0.48 | 0.46 | 0.43 | 0.35 | 0.52 | 0.36 | 0.38 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% | 92% | 100% | 100% | 99% | 92% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 2.42.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -0.10.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.92.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 12-2016 | 12-2018 | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
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Revenue | 12% | 6.6% | 18% | -6% | -0.37% |
Net Income | 14% | 9.5% | 26% | -30% | 2.1% |
Stockholders Equity | 17% | 11% | 16% | 12% | 0.29% |
FCF | 16% | 7.6% | 23% | 18% | 0.54% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +6.57%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.37%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +9.54%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +2.07%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +10.91%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.29%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +7.62%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.54%.