Knight-swift Transportation Holdings Inc.

Industrials
Trucking Freight/Courier Services
www.knight-swift.com

Earnings Score
Moat Score
Safety Score

Market Cap $8.43B
PE 73
Debt $2.11B
Cash $370.23M
EV $10.18B
FCF $798.63M

Earnings

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Sales & Net Margins

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Earnings	$116.09M
EBIT	$243.39M
ROE	2%
ROA	2%
FCF	$798.63M
Equity	$7.12B
Growth Stability	20%
PE	72.63
PEG	-2.61
PB	1.18
P/FCF	10.56
P/S	1.14
Price/Cash	0.04
Debt/Equity	0.3
Debt/FCF	2.65
Net Margins	2%
Op. Margins	3%
Earnings CAGR	8%
Sales Growth YoY	-4%
Sales Growth QoQ	-1%
Sales CAGR	11%
FCF CAGR	42%
Equity CAGR	32%
Earnings Stability	0.04
Earnings Growth YoY	-729%
Earnings Growth QoQ	130%
Earnings CAGR 5Y	-28%

Sales CAGR 5Y	13%
FCF CAGR 5Y	29%
Equity CAGR 5Y	5%
Earnings CAGR 3Y	2%
Sales CAGR 3Y	2%
FCF CAGR 3Y	-23%
Equity CAGR 3Y	3%
Market Cap	$8.43B
Revenue	$7.41B
Dividend Yield	1%
Payout Ratio	90%
Assets	$12.70B
Total Debt	$2.11B
Cash	$370.23M
Shares Outstanding	161.74M
EV	10.18B
Earnings Score	7%
Moat Score	31%
Safety Score	63%
Final Score	34%
Working Capital	-258.01M
Current Ratio	0.85
Shares Growth 3y	-0%
Equity Growth QoQ	1%
Equity Growth YoY	0%

Assets & ROA

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Stockholders Equity & ROE

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Knight-Swift Transportation is by far the largest asset-based full-truckload carrier in the United States. About 80% of revenue derives from asset-based truckload shipping operations (including for-hire dry van, refrigerated, and dedicated contract). The remainder stems from truck brokerage and other asset-light logistics services (8%), as well as intermodal (8%), which uses the Class-I railroads for the underlying movement of the firm's shipping containers and also offers drayage services.

SEC Filings

Direct access to Knight-swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (KNX) Annual Reports (10K) and Quarterly Reports (10Q) from the SEC website.

2024
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2023
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2022
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31

Sector Comparison

How does Knight-swift Transportation Holdings Inc. compare to its competitors?

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Peter Lynch's Chart

This chart shows the current pricing of Knight-swift Transportation Holdings Inc. compared to its past. The addition of the earnings trend line provides further insights into the company's earnings power.

CAGR 8%

Stability 4%

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Knight-swift Transportation Holdings Inc. Discounted Cash Flow

Fully customizable DCF calculator online for Knight-swift Transportation Holdings Inc..

Years

Calculation mode

= $149B

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
fcf	$799M	$1.1B	$1.6B	$2.3B	$3.3B	$4.7B	$6.7B	$9.5B	$14B	$19B	$27B	$275B
DCF		$1B	$1.3B	$1.7B	$2.2B	$2.9B	$3.8B	$4.9B	$6.3B	$8.2B	$11B	$106B
Value	$149B

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	TTM
Net Margins	3%	2%	20%	8%	6%	9%	12%	10%	3%	2%	2%
ROA	-	9%	3%	7%	5%	7%	9%	10%	3%	2%	2%
ROE	-	12%	9%	8%	5%	7%	11%	11%	3%	2%	2%

Bad Net Margins (1.57%)

Net Margins are too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Safety and Stability

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	TTM
Debt over FCF	-	2.25	-6.03	3.36	77.2	0.61	1.49	0.8	1.8	2.65	2.65
Debt over Equity	1.16	0.65	0.08	0.08	0.13	0.1	0.27	0.17	0.29	0.3	0.3
Growth Stability	-	-	-	100%	93%	100%	100%	100%	34%	20%	20%

Neutral Debt/FCF ratio (2.65)

Net Margins are at a level that is not too high nor too low. They are not a competitive advantage but they are not a competitive disadvantage either.

Good Debt/Equity ratio (0.3)

The company is not overleveraged and has a good balance between equity and debt.

Bad Graham’s Stability (20%)

The company has a bad stability in its earnings, which is a sign of a bad competitive advantage.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	CAGR 5Y
Revenue YoY growth	-	-5%	-40%	120%	-9%	-4%	28%	24%	-4%	4%	13%
Earnings YoY growth	-	-20%	409%	-13%	-26%	33%	81%	4%	-72%	-46%	-28%
Equity YoY growth	-	27%	566%	4%	4%	4%	11%	6%	2%	0%	5%
FCF YoY growth	-	-0%	-130%	-284%	-92%	9K%	29%	21%	-19%	-31%	29%