![KAR Logo](data:image/svg+xml,<svg xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg' width='18' height='18'><defs><linearGradient id="a" x1="3.349" x2="21.904" y1="3.122" y2="24.434" gradientUnits="userSpaceOnUse"><stop stop-color="%231A1E21"/><stop offset="1" stop-color="%2306060A"/></linearGradient></defs><path fill="url(%23a)" d="M0 0h18v18H0z"/><text x='50%' y='52%' dominant-baseline='middle' text-anchor='middle' font-size='5' font-family='sans-serif' fill='gray'>KAR</text></svg>)
Openlane, Inc.
KAR
Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations
Mkt Cap
$1.84BPE
-9.45Debt
$450.8MCash
$150.9MEV
$2.14BFCF
$188.2MP/E Ratio
-9.45Debt
$450.8MCash
$150.9MEV
$2.14BFCF
$188.2MCharts data: {"Earnings":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":169300000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":214600000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":222400000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":362000000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":117600000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":92400000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":-21100000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":19900000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":-11600000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":-199200000}],"Sales":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":2364500000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":2639600000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":3150100000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":3458000000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":3769600000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":2781900000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":2187700000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":2251600000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":1519400000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":1645100000}],"Net Margins":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.07160076126030873},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.08130019699954538},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.07060093330370465},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.10468478889531521},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.031196943972835314},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.033214709371293},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":-0.00964483247245966},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.008838159531000178},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":-0.00763459260234303},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":-0.12108686402042429}],"Assets":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":5351500000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":5791800000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":6557600000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":6984300000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":7206200000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":6581200000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":6798200000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":7417200000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":5119800000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":4726300000}],"Stockholders Equity":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":1547100000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":1386100000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":1397300000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":1484900000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":1464200000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":1650200000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":1615800000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":1513000000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":1518300000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":1327000000}],"ROE":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.1094305474759227},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.15482288435177838},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.1591641021970944},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.24378746043504612},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.0803168965988253},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.05599321294388559},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":-0.013058546849857655},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.013152676801057502},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":-0.0076401238226964365},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":-0.15011303692539563}],"ROA":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.07057834252078857},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.07457094512932076},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.07609491277296572},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.08103890153630285},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.08710554800033304},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.04856257217528718},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.020064134623871025},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.02839346384080246},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.033927106527598734},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":-0.0011002263927385057}]}
OPENLANE, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a digital marketplace for used vehicles, which connects sellers and buyers in North America, Europe, the Philippines, and Uruguay. The company operates through two segments, Marketplace and Finance. The Marketplace segment offers digital marketplace services for buying and selling used vehicles. Its digital marketplaces include BacklotCars, a live auction format that allows dealers to sell and source inventory in a bidding environment in the United States; TradeRev, an online automotive remarketing platform in Canada, where dealers can sell and source used vehicle inventory at any time; ADESA U.K., an online wholesale used vehicle remarketing business in the United Kingdom; and ADESA Europe, an online wholesale vehicle marketplace in Continental Europe. This segment also provides value-added ancillary services, including inbound and outbound transportation logistics, reconditioning, vehicle inspection and certification, titling, administrative, and collateral recovery services. This segment sells its products and services through vehicle manufacturers, fleet companies, rental car companies, finance companies, and others. The Finance segment offers floorplan financing, a short-term inventory-secured financing to independent used vehicle dealers. The company serves vehicle manufacturers, vehicle rental companies, financial institutions, commercial fleets and fleet management companies, and franchised and independent used vehicle dealers. The company was formerly known as KAR Auction Services, Inc. and changed its name to OPENLANE, Inc. in May 2023. OPENLANE, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Carmel, Indiana.
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DCF
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Openlane, Inc.
Value
Growth
%
%
Discount
%
%
Multiple
| g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| +1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| +2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| +3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| +4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCF | $188.2M | $170.3M | $154.1M | $139.4M | $126.2M | $114.2M | $103.3M | $93.49M | $84.6M | $76.55M | $69.27M | $692.7M |
| DCF | $148.1M | $116.5M | $91.69M | $72.14M | $56.77M | $44.67M | $35.15M | $27.66M | $21.76M | $17.12M | $171.2M | |
| Value | $802.8M | |||||||||||
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
Earnings Growth -39%
Earnings Stability 27%
Competitiveness and MOAT
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
| Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Margin | 8.1% | 7.1% | 10% | 3.1% | 3.3% | -0.96% | 0.88% | -0.76% | -12% | -12% |
| ROA | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | -0.11% | -0.025% |
| ROE | 15% | 16% | 24% | 8% | 5.6% | -1.3% | 1.3% | -0.76% | -15% | -15% |
What is the average Net Margin?
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is -1.09%.
What is the trend of Net Margin?
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is -2.47%.
What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +3.62%.
What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is -1.36%.
What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?
The average ROE over the past 5 years is -0.36%.
What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -3.76%.
Safety & Stabiliy
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
| Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debt FCF | 5.96 | 12.68 | 6.22 | 4.89 | 8.88 | 6.81 | 6.24 | -13.86 | 2.81 | 2.40 |
| Debt Equity | 1.46 | 1.87 | 1.83 | 1.84 | 1.18 | 1.19 | 1.26 | 0.52 | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| MIN | ||||||||||
| Graham Stability | - | - | 100% | 44% | 39% | -11% | 32% | -38% | - | -38% |
What is the Debt/FCF?
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 2.40.
What is the trend of Debt/FCF?
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -2.26.
What is the Graham’s Stability?
Graham’s Stability measure stands at -0.38.
Growth
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
| Years | 12-2016 | 12-2018 | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -8.9% | -15% | -9.1% | 8.3% | -3.6% |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | -17% |
| Stockholders Equity | -0.73% | -1.9% | -6.4% | -13% | -0.6% |
| FCF | -1.5% | -20% | -13% | - | -0.76% |
What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is -15.28%.
What is the trend of Revenue growth?
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -3.55%.
What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
What is the trend of Earnings growth?
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -16.75%.
What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is -1.95%.
What is the trend of Equity growth?
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.6%.
What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -19.63%.
What is the trend of FCF growth?
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.76%.