Special Industry Machinery (No Metalworking Machinery)
John Bean Technologies Corporation provides technology solutions to food and beverage industry and equipment and services to air transportation industries in North America, Europe, Middle East, Africa, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. The company operates through two segments: FoodTech and AeroTech. It offers value-added processing that includes chilling, mixing/grinding, injecting, blending, marinating, tumbling, flattening, foaming, portioning, coating, cooking, frying, freezing, weighing, and inspection. The company also provides processing solutions for extracting, blending, pasteurizing, sterilizing, concentrating, high pressure processing, filling, closing, sealing, and packaging, as well as processing equipment; and packaging systems for poultry, beef, pork, seafood, ready-to-eat meals, fruits, vegetables, dairy, bakery, pet foods, soups, sauces, plant based meats, juices, and carbonated beverages. In addition, it offers automated guided vehicle systems for material movement in the manufacturing, warehouse, and medical facilities. Further, the company provides mobile air transportation equipment, such as commercial and defense cargo loading, aircraft deicing, aircraft towing, and aircraft ground power and cooling systems; and fixed equipment for passenger boarding. Additionally, it offers airport equipment, systems, and facilities maintenance services to domestic and international airport authorities, passenger airlines, airfreight and ground handling companies, defense forces, and defense contractors. The company markets and sells its products and solutions through direct sales force, independent distributors, sales representatives, and technical service teams. John Bean Technologies Corporation was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of John Bean Technologies Corp
Growth
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Discount
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Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $15.3M | $16M | $16.73M | $17.5M | $18.3M | $19.13M | $20.01M | $20.92M | $21.88M | $22.88M | $23.93M | $239.3M |
DCF | $13.91M | $12.65M | $11.5M | $10.46M | $9.513M | $8.65M | $7.866M | $7.153M | $6.504M | $5.914M | $59.14M | |
Value | $153.3M |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | 5% | 5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6% | 35% | 38% |
ROA | 10% | 8.8% | 10% | 10% | 9.8% | 9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% |
ROE | 43% | 38% | 18% | 23% | 23% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 39% | 39% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +10.95%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +4.18%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +8.23%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is -0.82%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +22.09%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +1.65%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | 3.82 | 16.26 | 5.72 | 3.41 | 9.62 | 2.41 | 3.93 | 17.88 | 33.84 | 42.29 |
Debt Equity | 2.19 | 2.78 | 0.88 | 0.86 | 1.23 | 0.82 | 0.90 | 1.13 | 0.43 | 0.43 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 42.29.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 5.10.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 1.00.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 12-2016 | 12-2018 | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 3% | -2.8% | -1.2% | -23% | -3.6% |
Net Income | 36% | 41% | 75% | 350% | 16% |
Stockholders Equity | 35% | 27% | 33% | 73% | -1.1% |
FCF | -6.6% | -30% | -56% | -65% | -13% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is -2.81%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -3.59%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +41.12%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +16%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +26.65%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -1.06%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -30.14%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -12.75%.