Printed Circuit Boards
Jabil Inc. provides manufacturing services and solutions worldwide. It operates in two segments, Electronics Manufacturing Services and Diversified Manufacturing Services. The company offers electronics design, production, and product management services; electronic circuit design services, such as application-specific integrated circuit design, firmware development, and rapid prototyping services; and designs plastic and metal enclosures that include the electro-mechanics, such as the printed circuit board assemblies (PCBA). It also provides three-dimensional mechanical design comprising the analysis of electronic, electro-mechanical, and optical assemblies, as well as various industrial design, mechanism development, and tooling management services. In addition, the company provides computer-assisted design services consisting of PCBA design, as well as PCBA design validation and verification services; and other consulting services, such as the generation of a bill of materials, approved vendor list, and assembly equipment configuration for various PCBA designs. Further, it offers product and process validation services, such as product system, product safety, regulatory compliance, and reliability tests, as well as manufacturing test solution development services. Additionally, the company provides systems assembly, test, direct-order fulfillment, and configure-to-order services. It serves 5G, wireless and cloud, digital print and retail, industrial and semi-cap, networking and storage, automotive and transportation, connected devices, healthcare and packaging, and mobility industries. The company was formerly known as Jabil Circuit, Inc. and changed its name to Jabil Inc. in June 2017. Jabil Inc. was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Saint Petersburg, Florida.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Jabil Inc
Growth
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Discount
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Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $873M | $978M | $1.088B | $1.202B | $1.318B | $1.435B | $1.552B | $1.666B | $1.775B | $1.878B | $1.972B | $19.72B |
DCF | $850.4M | $822.6M | $790.1M | $753.6M | $713.6M | $670.9M | $626.3M | $580.3M | $533.8M | $487.4M | $4.874B | |
Value | $11.7B |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 08-2015 | 08-2016 | 08-2017 | 08-2018 | 08-2019 | 08-2020 | 08-2021 | 08-2022 | 08-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.67% | 0.39% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 2.4% | 3% | 2.4% | 4.7% |
ROA | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 13% |
ROE | 12% | 10% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 15% | 3% | 33% | 41% | 29% | 57% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +1.57%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +0.5%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +5.78%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +0.71%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +20.7%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +6.48%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 08-2015 | 08-2016 | 08-2017 | 08-2018 | 08-2019 | 08-2020 | 08-2021 | 08-2022 | 08-2023 | TTM |
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Debt FCF | 7.20 | -269.63 | 4.67 | -24.75 | 15.31 | 10.13 | 10.50 | 11.94 | 4.08 | 3.30 |
Debt Equity | 0.85 | 0.88 | 1.07 | 1.30 | 1.51 | 1.52 | 1.35 | 1.29 | 1.00 | 1.08 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | 49% | 39% | 100% | 32% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 32% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 3.30.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 3.84.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.32.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 08-2016 | 08-2018 | 08-2020 | 08-2022 | Trend |
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Revenue | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 3.7% | -0.088% |
Net Income | 18% | 57% | 150% | -18% | 41% |
Stockholders Equity | 2.2% | 7.9% | 16% | 17% | 2.3% |
FCF | - | - | 37% | 160% | 35% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +9.45%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.09%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +56.79%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +40.86%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +7.87%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +2.29%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +35.26%.