Pumps & Pumping Equipment
ITT Inc. manufactures and sells engineered critical components and customized technology solutions for the transportation, industrial, and energy markets worldwide. The company operates in three segments: Motion Technologies, Industrial Process, and Connect & Control Technologies. The Motion Technologies segment manufactures brake pads, shims, shock absorbers, and energy absorption components; and sealing technologies primarily for the transportation industry, including passenger cars, trucks, light- and heavy-duty commercial and military vehicles, buses, and trains. The Industrial Process segment designs and manufactures industrial pumps, valves, and plant optimization and remote monitoring systems and services; and aftermarket solutions, such as replacement parts and services. It serves various customers in industries, such as chemical, energy, mining, and other industrial process markets. The Connect & Control Technologies segment designs and manufactures a range of engineered connectors and specialized control components for critical applications supporting various markets, including aerospace and defense, industrial, transportation, medical, and energy. This segment provides connector products, including electrical connectors, such as circular, rectangular, radio frequency, fiber optic, D-sub miniature, micro-miniature, and cable assemblies; and control products consists of highly engineered actuation, flow control, energy absorption, environmental control, and composite component solutions for the aerospace, defense, and industrial markets. ITT Inc. was incorporated in 1920 and is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Itt Inc.
Growth
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Discount
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Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $431.1M | $469.2M | $508.7M | $549.3M | $590.8M | $632.9M | $675.4M | $717.8M | $759.8M | $801M | $841.1M | $8.411B |
DCF | $408M | $384.6M | $361.2M | $337.8M | $314.7M | $292M | $269.8M | $248.4M | $227.7M | $207.9M | $2.079B | |
Value | $5.131B |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | 14% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 12% | 11% | 2.9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% |
ROA | 10% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10% | 10% | 5.3% | 14% | 12% | 13% | 13% |
ROE | 26% | 13% | 7.1% | 18% | 16% | 3.4% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 16% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +10.46%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +0.37%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +10.95%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +0.9%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +13.99%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +0.06%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | 1.74 | 1.67 | 1.28 | 0.45 | 0.37 | 0.32 | -2.14 | 2.64 | 0.45 | 1.28 |
Debt Equity | 0.18 | 0.15 | 0.11 | 0.07 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.09 | 0.20 | 0.08 | 0.21 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | 47% | 100% | 100% | 28% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 28% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 1.28.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 0.12.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.28.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 12-2016 | 12-2018 | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
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Revenue | 4.5% | 3.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 1.5% |
Net Income | 12% | 4.2% | 78% | 12% | 5.9% |
Stockholders Equity | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 12% | -0.56% |
FCF | 19% | 9.3% | 5% | 150% | 16% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +3.64%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +1.47%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +4.23%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +5.88%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +6.83%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.56%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +9.27%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +16.21%.