General Bldg Contractors - Residential Bldgs
Installed Building Products, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the installation of insulation, waterproofing, fire-stopping, fireproofing, garage doors, rain gutters, window blinds, shower doors, closet shelving and mirrors, and other products in the continental United States. The company offers a range of insulation materials, such as fiberglass and cellulose, and spray foam insulation materials. It is also involved in the installation of insulation and sealant materials in various areas of a structure, which includes basement and crawl space, building envelope, attic, and acoustical applications. In addition, the company installs a range of caulk and sealant products that control air infiltration in residential and commercial buildings; and waterproofing options, including sheet and hot applied waterproofing membranes, as well as deck coating, bentonite, and air and vapor systems. It serves homebuilders, multi-family and commercial construction firms, individual homeowners, and repair and remodeling contractors. The company was formerly known as CCIB Holdco, Inc. Installed Building Products, Inc. was founded in 1977 and is based in Columbus, Ohio.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Installed Building Products, Inc.
Growth
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Discount
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Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $282.7M | $367.5M | $467.6M | $581.9M | $708M | $841.7M | $977.3M | $1.108B | $1.224B | $1.32B | $1.386B | $13.86B |
DCF | $319.6M | $353.6M | $382.6M | $404.8M | $418.5M | $422.5M | $416.4M | $400.3M | $375.2M | $342.5M | $3.425B | |
Value | $7.261B |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | 4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% |
ROA | 12% | 14% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 14% | 11% | 19% | 19% | 19% |
ROE | 23% | 25% | 20% | 30% | 27% | 30% | 28% | 45% | 36% | 37% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +6.28%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +1%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +14.2%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +1.72%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +32.97%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +2.4%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
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Debt FCF | 18.47 | 3.65 | 9.82 | 7.78 | 8.14 | 4.00 | 8.82 | 3.84 | 3.23 | 3.21 |
Debt Equity | 1.17 | 1.10 | 1.73 | 2.62 | 2.37 | 1.84 | 2.14 | 1.81 | 1.34 | 1.33 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 3.21.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -0.88.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 1.00.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 12-2016 | 12-2018 | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
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Revenue | 18% | 16% | 19% | 4.1% | -1.9% |
Net Income | 30% | 35% | 36% | 9.1% | 1.7% |
Stockholders Equity | 23% | 30% | 28% | 36% | 0.42% |
FCF | 29% | 35% | 24% | 20% | -16% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +15.76%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -1.87%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +34.8%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +1.66%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +29.72%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.42%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +35.32%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -15.85%.