Services-Management Consulting Services
Huron Consulting Group Inc., a professional services firm, provides consultancy services in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Healthcare, Education, and Commercial. The Healthcare segment provides advisory services in the areas of financial and operational improvement, care transformation, and revenue cycle managed services; organizational transformation; financial advisory; software products; and digital solutions, spanning technology and analytic-related services to national and regional health systems, academic and community health systems, public, children's and critical access hospitals, physician practices and medical groups, payors, and long-term care or post-acute providers. The Education segment provides research enterprise, and student and alumni lifecycle; digital solutions, spanning technology, and analytic-related services; Huron Research Suite, a software suite designed to facilitate and enhance research administration service delivery and compliance; and organizational transformation services to public and private colleges and universities, research institutes, and other education-related organizations. The Commercial segment delivers digital services and software products, and financial advisory services to financial, energy and utilities, professional and business services, life science, consumer products, and industrials and manufacturing industries, as well as public sector and nonprofit organizations. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Huron Consulting Group Inc.
Growth
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Discount
%
%
Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $138.1M | $119.9M | $104.1M | $90.42M | $78.5M | $68.16M | $59.18M | $51.38M | $44.61M | $38.73M | $33.63M | $336.3M |
DCF | $104.3M | $78.74M | $59.45M | $44.89M | $33.89M | $25.58M | $19.32M | $14.58M | $11.01M | $8.313M | $83.13M | |
Value | $483.2M |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 12-2014 | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | 8.9% | 7.7% | 4.7% | -21% | 1.6% | 4.3% | -2.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% |
ROA | 11% | 8.9% | 6.4% | -20% | 5% | 5.8% | -2.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% |
ROE | 13% | 9.1% | 5.8% | -34% | 2.5% | 7.1% | -4.3% | 11% | 14% | 14% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is -0.77%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +4.19%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +0.7%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +4.1%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is -0.63%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +7.18%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 12-2014 | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | 3.20 | 2.14 | 2.55 | 4.56 | 5.83 | 1.76 | 1.58 | 32.79 | 3.98 | 2.59 |
Debt Equity | 0.64 | 0.48 | 0.45 | 0.68 | 1.00 | 0.36 | 0.37 | 0.41 | 0.53 | 0.65 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | 55% | -290% | - | - | - | 100% | 100% | -290% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 2.59.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 2.22.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at -2.90.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2017 | 12-2019 | 12-2021 | Trend |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 25% | 1.5% |
Net Income | 3.6% | - | 22% | 20% | 12% |
Stockholders Equity | -2.4% | 1.9% | -1.9% | -3.5% | -1% |
FCF | -9.4% | -0.68% | -15% | 920% | 56% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +7.49%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +1.5%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +11.79%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +1.87%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -1.02%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -0.68%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +56.06%.