Hub Group, Inc.

Consumer Discretionary
Oil Refining/Marketing
www.hubgroup.com

Earnings Score
Moat Score
Safety Score

Market Cap $3.01B
PE 28
Debt $386.94M
Cash $186.14M
EV $3.21B
FCF $215.68M

Earnings

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Sales & Net Margins

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Earnings	$108.46M
EBIT	$138.17M
ROE	7%
ROA	5%
FCF	$215.68M
Equity	$1.63B
Growth Stability	50%
PE	27.72
PEG	1.37
PB	1.85
P/FCF	13.94
P/S	0.76
Price/Cash	0.06
Debt/Equity	0.24
Debt/FCF	1.79
Net Margins	3%
Op. Margins	3%
Earnings CAGR	12%
Sales Growth YoY	-4%
Sales Growth QoQ	0%
Sales CAGR	3%
FCF CAGR	28%
Equity CAGR	13%
Earnings Stability	0.28
Earnings Growth YoY	-23%
Earnings Growth QoQ	-19%

Earnings CAGR 5Y	20%
Sales CAGR 5Y	6%
FCF CAGR 5Y	24%
Equity CAGR 5Y	11%
Earnings CAGR 3Y	-7%
Sales CAGR 3Y	-7%
FCF CAGR 3Y	53%
Equity CAGR 3Y	6%
Market Cap	$3.01B
Revenue	$3.96B
Assets	$2.83B
Total Debt	$386.94M
Cash	$186.14M
Shares Outstanding	60.37M
EV	3.21B
Earnings Score	15%
Moat Score	68%
Safety Score	71%
Final Score	51%
Working Capital	187.48M
Current Ratio	1.3
Shares Growth 3y	-4%
Equity Growth QoQ	-1%
Equity Growth YoY	-0%

Assets & ROA

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Stockholders Equity & ROE

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Hub Group ranks among the largest asset-light providers of rail intermodal service. Following the August 2018 divestiture of logistics provider Mode, which was run separately, its core operating units are intermodal, which uses the Class I rail carriers for the underlying line-haul movement of containers (60% of sales); highway brokerage (12%); Unyson Logistics, which provides outsourced transportation management services (20%); and Hub Dedicated (8%), an asset-based full-truckload carrier.

SEC Filings

Direct access to Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) Annual Reports (10K) and Quarterly Reports (10Q) from the SEC website.

2024
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2023
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2022
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31

Sector Comparison

How does Hub Group, Inc. compare to its competitors?

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Peter Lynch's Chart

This chart shows the current pricing of Hub Group, Inc. compared to its past. The addition of the earnings trend line provides further insights into the company's earnings power.

CAGR 12%

Stability 28%

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Hub Group, Inc. Discounted Cash Flow

Fully customizable DCF calculator online for Hub Group, Inc..

Years

Calculation mode

= $16B

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
fcf	$216M	$277M	$356M	$458M	$588M	$755M	$971M	$1.2B	$1.6B	$2.1B	$2.6B	$26B
DCF		$252M	$294M	$344M	$402M	$469M	$548M	$640M	$748M	$873M	$1B	$10B
Value	$16B

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years	12/2014	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	TTM
Net Margins	1%	2%	2%	3%	5%	3%	2%	4%	7%	4%	3%
ROA	-	9%	9%	6%	6%	8%	5%	10%	17%	7%	5%
ROE	-	11%	12%	18%	21%	10%	6%	13%	22%	10%	7%

Bad Net Margins (2.68%)

Net Margins are too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Safety and Stability

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years	12/2014	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	TTM
Debt over FCF	-	1.87	-41.7	7.29	39.15	2.36	6.1	3.1	1.86	1.62	1.79
Debt over Equity	0.19	0.26	0.33	0.48	0.44	0.35	0.31	0.28	0.28	0.28	0.24
Growth Stability	-	-	-	100%	100%	78%	50%	100%	100%	83%	50%

Good Debt/FCF ratio (1.79)

Net Margins are high enough to offer a good protection on the profits in case of higher costs or higher interests. Furthermore higher margins reduce earnings’ volatility.

Good Debt/Equity ratio (0.24)

The company is not overleveraged and has a good balance between equity and debt.

Bad Graham’s Stability (50%)

The company has a bad stability in its earnings, which is a sign of a bad competitive advantage.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years	12/2014	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	CAGR 5Y
Revenue YoY growth	-	-1%	1%	13%	-9%	-0%	-5%	21%	26%	-21%	6%
Earnings YoY growth	-	38%	5%	81%	49%	-47%	-31%	133%	108%	-53%	20%
Equity YoY growth	-	8%	-3%	23%	27%	10%	8%	16%	19%	2%	11%
FCF YoY growth	-	-530%	-106%	-1K%	-78%	1K%	-63%	101%	99%	18%	24%