Hub Group, Inc.

Consumer Discretionary
Oil Refining/Marketing
www.hubgroup.com

Earnings Score
Moat Score
Safety Score

Market Cap $1.91B
PE 18
Debt $364.36M
Cash $98.25M
EV $2.17B
FCF $143.57M

Earnings

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Sales & Net Margins

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Earnings	$103.99M
EBIT	$140.29M
ROE	6%
ROA	5%
FCF	$143.57M
Equity	$1.69B
Growth Stability	45%
PE	18.33
PEG	1.2
PB	1.13
P/FCF	13.28
P/S	0.48
Price/Cash	0.05
Debt/Equity	0.22
Debt/FCF	2.54
Net Margins	3%
Op. Margins	4%
Earnings CAGR	10%
Sales Growth YoY	-1%
Sales Growth QoQ	-1%
Sales CAGR	3%
FCF CAGR	36%
Equity CAGR	14%
Earnings Stability	0.19
Earnings Growth YoY	-16%
Earnings Growth QoQ	3%
Earnings CAGR 5Y	15%

Sales CAGR 5Y	5%
FCF CAGR 5Y	23%
Equity CAGR 5Y	11%
Earnings CAGR 3Y	-11%
Sales CAGR 3Y	-11%
FCF CAGR 3Y	35%
Equity CAGR 3Y	4%
Market Cap	$1.91B
Revenue	$3.95B
Dividend Yield	2%
Payout Ratio	29%
Assets	$2.87B
Total Debt	$364.36M
Cash	$98.25M
Shares Outstanding	60.62M
EV	2.17B
Earnings Score	10%
Moat Score	66%
Safety Score	67%
Final Score	48%
Working Capital	188.85M
Current Ratio	1.33
Shares Growth 3y	-4%
Equity Growth QoQ	4%
Equity Growth YoY	4%

Assets & ROA

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Stockholders Equity & ROE

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Hub Group ranks among the largest asset-light providers of rail intermodal service. Following the August 2018 divestiture of logistics provider Mode, which was run separately, its core operating units are intermodal, which uses the Class I rail carriers for the underlying line-haul movement of containers (60% of sales); highway brokerage (12%); Unyson Logistics, which provides outsourced transportation management services (20%); and Hub Dedicated (8%), an asset-based full-truckload carrier.

SEC Filings

Direct access to Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) Annual Reports (10K) and Quarterly Reports (10Q) from the SEC website.

2024
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2023
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2022
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31

Sector Comparison

How does Hub Group, Inc. compare to its competitors?

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Peter Lynch's Chart

This chart shows the current pricing of Hub Group, Inc. compared to its past. The addition of the earnings trend line provides further insights into the company's earnings power.

CAGR 10%

Stability 19%

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Hub Group, Inc. Discounted Cash Flow

Fully customizable DCF calculator online for Hub Group, Inc..

Years

Calculation mode

= $17B

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
fcf	$144M	$195M	$265M	$360M	$488M	$663M	$901M	$1.2B	$1.7B	$2.3B	$3.1B	$31B
DCF		$177M	$219M	$270M	$334M	$412M	$509M	$628M	$775M	$957M	$1.2B	$12B
Value	$17B

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	TTM
Net Margins	2%	2%	3%	5%	3%	2%	4%	7%	4%	3%	3%
ROA	-	9%	6%	6%	8%	5%	10%	17%	7%	5%	5%
ROE	-	12%	18%	21%	10%	6%	13%	22%	10%	6%	6%

Bad Net Margins (2.64%)

Net Margins are too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Safety and Stability

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	TTM
Debt over FCF	-	-41.7	7.29	39.15	2.36	6.1	3.1	1.86	1.62	2.54	2.54
Debt over Equity	0.26	0.33	0.48	0.44	0.35	0.31	0.28	0.28	0.28	0.22	0.22
Growth Stability	-	-	-	100%	78%	50%	100%	100%	83%	45%	45%

Neutral Debt/FCF ratio (2.54)

Net Margins are at a level that is not too high nor too low. They are not a competitive advantage but they are not a competitive disadvantage either.

Good Debt/Equity ratio (0.22)

The company is not overleveraged and has a good balance between equity and debt.

Bad Graham’s Stability (45%)

The company has a bad stability in its earnings, which is a sign of a bad competitive advantage.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	CAGR 5Y
Revenue YoY growth	-	1%	13%	-9%	-0%	-5%	21%	26%	-21%	-6%	5%
Earnings YoY growth	-	5%	81%	49%	-47%	-31%	133%	108%	-53%	-38%	15%
Equity YoY growth	-	-3%	23%	27%	10%	8%	16%	19%	2%	4%	11%
FCF YoY growth	-	-106%	-1K%	-78%	1K%	-63%	101%	99%	18%	-49%	23%