Electronic Components & Accessories
Hubbell Incorporated, together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells electrical and utility solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments, Electrical Solutions and Utility Solutions. The Electrical Solution segment offers standard and special application wiring device products, rough-in electrical products, connector and grounding products, lighting fixtures, and other electrical equipment for use in industrial, commercial, and institutional facilities by electrical contractors, maintenance personnel, electricians, utilities, and telecommunications companies, as well as components and assemblies. It also designs and manufactures various industrial controls, and communication systems for use in the non-residential and industrial markets, as well as in the oil and gas, and mining industries. This segment sells its products through electrical and industrial distributors, home centers, retail and hardware outlets, lighting showrooms, and residential product-oriented internet sites; and special application products primarily through wholesale distributors to contractors, industrial customers, and original equipment manufacturers. The Utility Solution segment designs, manufactures, and sells electrical distribution, transmission, substation, and telecommunications products, such as arresters, insulators, connectors, anchors, bushings, and enclosures cutoffs and switches; and utility infrastructure products, including smart meters, communications systems, and protection and control devices. This segment sells its products to distributors. Its brand portfolio includes Hubbell, Kellems, Bryant, Burndy, CMC, Bell, TayMac, Wiegmann, Killark, Hawke, Aclara, Fargo, Quazite, Hot Box, etc. The company was founded in 1888 and is headquartered in Shelton, Connecticut.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Hubbell Inc
Growth
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Discount
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Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $686.7M | $755.9M | $827.9M | $902M | $977.7M | $1.054B | $1.131B | $1.206B | $1.28B | $1.352B | $1.419B | $14.19B |
DCF | $657.3M | $626M | $593.1M | $559M | $524.1M | $488.8M | $453.5M | $418.5M | $384.2M | $350.8M | $3.508B | |
Value | $8.563B |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11% | 14% | 13% |
ROA | 15% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% |
ROE | 16% | 18% | 15% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 18% | 23% | 26% | 25% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +9.95%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +1.1%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +12.05%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +0.58%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +20.68%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +1.15%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | 2.54 | 3.00 | 3.53 | 4.32 | 3.23 | 2.84 | 3.41 | 2.85 | 3.01 | 3.11 |
Debt Equity | 0.37 | 0.62 | 0.64 | 1.01 | 0.82 | 0.76 | 0.64 | 0.61 | 0.75 | 0.73 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | 81% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 81% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 3.11.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -0.20.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.81.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 12-2016 | 12-2018 | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 6.3% | 3.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 0.58% |
Net Income | 15% | 16% | 29% | 39% | 5.2% |
Stockholders Equity | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11% | 22% | 2.9% |
FCF | 12% | 11% | 8.5% | 41% | 2.8% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +3.69%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.58%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +16.13%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +5.18%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +9.94%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +2.92%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +11.18%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +2.8%.