Highpeak Energy, Inc.

Energy
Oil & Gas Production
www.highpeakenergy.com

Earnings Score
Moat Score
Safety Score

Market Cap $1.02B
PE 12
Debt $1.17B
Cash $86.65M
EV $2.10B
FCF $85.56M

Earnings

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Sales & Net Margins

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Earnings	$85.91M
EBIT	$337.41M
ROE	5%
ROA	11%
FCF	$85.56M
Equity	$1.60B
Growth Stability	56%
PE	11.88
PEG	0.35
PB	0.64
P/FCF	11.93
P/S	0.95
Price/Cash	0.08
Debt/Equity	0.73
Debt/FCF	13.66
Net Margins	8%
Op. Margins	32%
Earnings CAGR	22%
Sales Growth YoY	-22%
Sales Growth QoQ	-14%
Sales CAGR	137%
Equity CAGR	51%
Earnings Stability	-0.34
Earnings Growth YoY	-91%
Earnings Growth QoQ	-82%

Earnings CAGR 5Y	34%
Sales CAGR 5Y	188%
Equity CAGR 5Y	40%
Earnings CAGR 3Y	56%
Sales CAGR 3Y	56%
Equity CAGR 3Y	31%
Market Cap	$1.02B
Revenue	$1.07B
Dividend Yield	2%
Payout Ratio	23%
Assets	$3.06B
Total Debt	$1.17B
Cash	$86.65M
Shares Outstanding	125.28M
EV	2.1B
Earnings Score	6%
Moat Score	81%
Safety Score	58%
Final Score	48%
Working Capital	-89.62M
Current Ratio	0.69
Shares Growth 3y	11%
Equity Growth QoQ	-0%
Equity Growth YoY	3%

Assets & ROA

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Stockholders Equity & ROE

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HighPeak Energy Inc is an independent oil & natural gas company focused on the development of unconventional oil and natural gas reserves in primarily Howard County of the Midland Basin. The company operates in a single segment, which is oil and natural gas development, exploration, and production.

SEC Filings

Direct access to Highpeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) Annual Reports (10K) and Quarterly Reports (10Q) from the SEC website.

2024
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2023
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2022
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31

Sector Comparison

How does Highpeak Energy, Inc. compare to its competitors?

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Peter Lynch's Chart

This chart shows the current pricing of Highpeak Energy, Inc. compared to its past. The addition of the earnings trend line provides further insights into the company's earnings power.

CAGR 22%

Stability -34%

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Highpeak Energy, Inc. Discounted Cash Flow

Fully customizable DCF calculator online for Highpeak Energy, Inc..

Years

Calculation mode

= $856M

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
fcf	$86M	$86M	$86M	$86M	$86M	$86M	$86M	$86M	$86M	$86M	$86M	$856M
DCF		$78M	$71M	$64M	$58M	$53M	$48M	$44M	$40M	$36M	$33M	$330M
Value	$856M

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years	12/2019	07/2021	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	TTM
Net Margins	-143%	-	23%	28%	17%	8%	8%
ROA	-	-	12%	19%	14%	11%	11%
ROE	-	-	9%	18%	12%	5%	5%

Net Margins (8.03%)

Net Margins are at a level that is not too high nor too low. They are not a competitive advantage but they are not a competitive disadvantage either.

Safety and Stability

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years	12/2019	07/2021	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	TTM
Debt over FCF	-	-	-1.1	-1.3	-5.01	13.66	13.66
Debt over Equity	-	-	0.18	0.6	0.82	0.73	0.73
Growth Stability	-	-	-	100%	100%	56%	56%

Bad Debt/FCF ratio (13.66)

Net Margins are too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Good Debt/Equity ratio (0.73)

The company is not overleveraged and has a good balance between equity and debt.

Bad Graham’s Stability (56%)

The company has a bad stability in its earnings, which is a sign of a bad competitive advantage.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years	12/2019	07/2021	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	CAGR 5Y
Revenue YoY growth	-	-	-	243%	47%	-4%	188%
Earnings YoY growth	-	-	-	320%	-9%	-56%	34%
Equity YoY growth	-	-	-	111%	33%	3%	40%
FCF YoY growth	-	-	-	508%	-53%	-134%	-