Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.

Consumer Discretionary
Hotels/Resorts
www.hilton.com

Earnings Score
Safety Score

Market Cap $63.22B
Debt $11.79B
Cash $1.66B
EV $73.36B
FCF $1.81B

Earnings

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Sales & Net Margins

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Earnings	$1.18B
EBIT	$2.28B
ROA	14%
FCF	$1.81B
Equity	-$3.45B
Growth Stability	-79%
PE	53.71
PEG	1.21
PB	-18.33
P/FCF	35.01
P/S	5.75
Price/Cash	0.03
Debt/Equity	-3.42
Debt/FCF	6.53
Net Margins	12%
Op. Margins	21%
Earnings CAGR	1%
Sales Growth YoY	7%
Sales Growth QoQ	-3%
Sales CAGR	-3%
FCF CAGR	3%
Equity CAGR	-2%
Earnings Stability	0
Earnings Growth YoY	-9%

Earnings Growth QoQ	-18%
Earnings CAGR 5Y	44%
Sales CAGR 5Y	15%
FCF CAGR 5Y	21%
Earnings CAGR 3Y	24%
Sales CAGR 3Y	24%
FCF CAGR 3Y	116%
Market Cap	$63.22B
Revenue	$11.00B
Dividend Yield	0%
Payout Ratio	13%
Assets	$16.69B
Total Debt	$11.79B
Cash	$1.66B
Shares Outstanding	244.61M
EV	73.36B
Earnings Score	6%
Safety Score	25%
Working Capital	-918M
Current Ratio	0.8
Shares Growth 3y	-5%
Equity Growth QoQ	11%
Equity Growth YoY	97%

Assets & ROA

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Stockholders Equity & ROE

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Hilton Worldwide Holdings operates 1,074,791 rooms across its 18 brands addressing the midscale through luxury segments as of Dec. 31, 2021. Hampton and Hilton are the two largest brands by total room count at 28% and 21%, respectively, as of Dec. 31, 2021. Recent brands launched over the last few years include Home2, Curio, Canopy, Tru, and Tempo. Managed and franchised represent the vast majority of adjusted EBITDA, predominantly from the Americas regions.

SEC Filings

Direct access to Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) Annual Reports (10K) and Quarterly Reports (10Q) from the SEC website.

2024
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2023
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2022
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31

Sector Comparison

How does Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. compare to its competitors?

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Peter Lynch's Chart

This chart shows the current pricing of Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. compared to its past. The addition of the earnings trend line provides further insights into the company's earnings power.

CAGR 1%

Stability 0%

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Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. Discounted Cash Flow

Fully customizable DCF calculator online for Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc..

Years

Calculation mode

= $22B

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
fcf	$1.8B	$1.9B	$1.9B	$2B	$2B	$2.1B	$2.2B	$2.2B	$2.3B	$2.4B	$2.5B	$25B
DCF		$1.7B	$1.6B	$1.5B	$1.4B	$1.3B	$1.2B	$1.1B	$1.1B	$1B	$947M	$9.5B
Value	$22B

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years	12/2014	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	TTM
Net Margins	6%	12%	3%	12%	9%	9%	-17%	7%	14%	11%	12%
ROA	-	8%	7%	10%	10%	11%	-2%	7%	13%	14%	14%
ROE	-	23%	6%	52%	137%	-187%	48%	-50%	-114%	-49%	-

Good Net Margins (12.28%)

Net Margins are high enough to offer a good protection on the profits in case of higher costs or higher interests. Furthermore higher margins reduce earnings’ volatility.

Safety and Stability

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years	12/2014	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	TTM
Debt over FCF	-	9.38	10	7.77	6.24	6.23	16.07	120.36	5.4	5.18	6.53
Debt over Equity	2.28	1.7	1.75	3.24	13.22	-17.19	-7.16	-10.88	-8.07	-3.97	-3.42
Growth Stability	-	-	-	100%	81%	100%	-79%	100%	100%	100%	-79%

Bad Debt/FCF ratio (6.53)

Net Margins are too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Good Debt/Equity ratio (-3.42)

The company is not overleveraged and has a good balance between equity and debt.

Bad Graham’s Stability (-79%)

The company has a bad stability in its earnings, which is a sign of a bad competitive advantage.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years	12/2014	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	CAGR 5Y
Revenue YoY growth	-	7%	3%	-22%	-3%	6%	-54%	34%	52%	17%	15%
Earnings YoY growth	-	109%	-75%	211%	-30%	15%	-182%	-157%	208%	-9%	44%
Equity YoY growth	-	26%	-1%	-65%	-73%	-185%	215%	-45%	34%	114%	-
FCF YoY growth	-	-1%	-5%	-16%	37%	10%	-49%	-89%	2K%	9%	21%