Hillman Solutions Corp.

Consumer Discretionary
Industrial Machinery/Components
www.hillmangroup.com

Earnings Score
Moat Score
Safety Score

Market Cap $2.19B
PE 260
Debt $771.59M
Cash $59.82M
EV $2.90B
FCF $128.93M

Earnings

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Sales & Net Margins

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Earnings	$8.42M
EBIT	$79.10M
ROE	1%
ROA	3%
FCF	$128.93M
Equity	$1.18B
Growth Stability	1
PE	259.73
PEG	-43.58
PB	1.85
P/FCF	16.96
P/S	1.49
Price/Cash	0.03
Debt/Equity	0.65
Debt/FCF	5.98
Net Margins	2%
Gross Margins	48%
Op. Margins	5%
Earnings CAGR	-2%
Sales Growth YoY	-1%
Sales Growth QoQ	4%
Sales CAGR	0%
FCF CAGR	1%
Equity CAGR	29%
Earnings Stability	-0.25
Earnings Growth YoY	47%
Earnings Growth QoQ	-41%

Earnings CAGR 5Y	-6%
Sales CAGR 5Y	2%
FCF CAGR 5Y	5%
Equity CAGR 5Y	63%
Earnings CAGR 3Y	8%
Sales CAGR 3Y	8%
FCF CAGR 3Y	50%
Equity CAGR 3Y	0%
Market Cap	$2.19B
Revenue	$1.47B
Assets	$2.40B
Total Debt	$771.59M
Cash	$59.82M
Shares Outstanding	195.91M
EV	2.9B
Earnings Score	6%
Moat Score	34%
Safety Score	83%
Final Score	41%
Working Capital	355.29M
Current Ratio	2.32
Gross Profit	$703.73M
Shares Growth 3y	8%
Equity Growth QoQ	1%
Equity Growth YoY	2%

Assets & ROA

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Stockholders Equity & ROE

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Hillman Solutions Corp is a provider of hardware-related products and related merchandising services to retail markets in North America. The company sells its products to hardware stores, home centers, mass merchants, pet supply stores, and other retail outlets. Its product lines include thousands of small parts such as fasteners and related hardware items; threaded rod and metal shapes; keys and accessories; builder's hardware; personal protective equipment, such as gloves and eye-wear; and identification items, such as tags and letters, numbers, and signs. The segments of the group are Hardware and Protective Solutions, which is the key revenue-generating segment; Robotics and Digital Solutions; and Canada. It has a business presence in the US, Canada and Mexico.

SEC Filings

Direct access to Hillman Solutions Corp. (HLMN) Annual Reports (10K) and Quarterly Reports (10Q) from the SEC website.

2024
- 10-Q Sep 28
- 10-Q Jun 29
- 10-Q Mar 30
2023
- 10-K Dec 30
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jul 01
- 10-Q Apr 01
2022
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 24
- 10-Q Jun 25
- 10-Q Mar 26

Sector Comparison

How does Hillman Solutions Corp. compare to its competitors?

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Peter Lynch's Chart

This chart shows the current pricing of Hillman Solutions Corp. compared to its past. The addition of the earnings trend line provides further insights into the company's earnings power.

CAGR -2%

Stability -25%

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Hillman Solutions Corp. Discounted Cash Flow

Fully customizable DCF calculator online for Hillman Solutions Corp..

Years

Calculation mode

= $1.3B

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
fcf	$129M	$130M	$130M	$131M	$132M	$133M	$133M	$134M	$135M	$136M	$137M	$1.4B
DCF		$118M	$108M	$99M	$90M	$82M	$75M	$69M	$63M	$58M	$53M	$526M
Value	$1.3B

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years	03/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	TTM
Net Margins	-	-7%	-2%	-3%	-1%	-1%	2%
ROA	-	-	3%	0%	2%	3%	3%
ROE	-	-23%	-7%	-3%	-1%	-1%	1%

Bad Net Margins (1.65%)

Net Margins are too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Safety and Stability

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years	03/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	TTM
Debt over FCF	-	-	-	-	18.8	4.48	5.98
Debt over Equity	-	-	4.28	0.83	0.8	0.67	0.65
Growth Stability	-	-	-	-	-	-	1

Bad Debt/FCF ratio (5.98)

Net Margins are too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Good Debt/Equity ratio (0.65)

The company is not overleveraged and has a good balance between equity and debt.

Good Graham’s Stability (1)

The company has a good stability in its earnings, which is a sign of a good competitive advantage.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years	03/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	CAGR 5Y
Revenue YoY growth	-	-	13%	4%	4%	-1%	2%
Earnings YoY growth	-	-	-71%	56%	-57%	-42%	-6%
Equity YoY growth	-	-	-3%	215%	1%	-0%	63%
FCF YoY growth	-	-	-968%	-446%	-131%	249%	5%