Investment Advice
Houlihan Lokey, Inc., an investment banking company, provides merger and acquisition (M&A), capital market, financial restructuring, and financial and valuation advisory services worldwide. It operates in three segments: Corporate Finance, Financial Restructuring, and Financial and Valuation Advisory. The Corporate Finance segment offers general financial advisory services; and advises public and private institutions on buy-side and sell-side transactions, leveraged loans, private mezzanine debt, high-yield debt, initial public offerings, follow-ons, convertibles, equity private placements, private equity, and liability management transactions, as well as advise financial sponsors on various transactions. The Financial Restructuring segment advises debtors, creditors, and other parties-in-interest related to recapitalization/deleveraging transactions. It also provides a range of advisory services, including structuring, negotiation, and confirmation of plans of reorganization; structuring and analysis of exchange offers; corporate viability assessment; dispute resolution and expert testimony; and procuring debtor-in-possession financing. The Financial and Valuation Advisory segment offers valuations of various assets, such as companies, illiquid debt and equity securities, and intellectual property. It also provides fairness opinions in connection with M&A and other transactions, and solvency opinions in connection with corporate spin-offs and dividend recapitalizations; and other types of financial opinions. In addition, this segment offers dispute resolution services. It serves corporations, institutions, and governments. The company was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California with offices in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, and the Asia-Pacific region.
Sector
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Houlihan Lokey, Inc.
Growth
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Discount
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Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $259.6M | $331.1M | $414M | $507.3M | $608.9M | $715.5M | $823M | $926M | $1.019B | $1.095B | $1.15B | $11.5B |
DCF | $287.9M | $313M | $333.5M | $348.1M | $355.8M | $355.8M | $348.1M | $333M | $311.3M | $284.2M | $2.842B | |
Value | $6.113B |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 03-2015 | 03-2016 | 03-2017 | 03-2018 | 03-2019 | 03-2020 | 03-2021 | 03-2022 | 03-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | - | - | 12% | 18% | 15% | 16% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 14% |
ROA | 11% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 12% | 12% |
ROE | 9.7% | 11% | 15% | 20% | 18% | 19% | 23% | 30% | 16% | 15% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +17.04%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is -0.02%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +15.8%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is 0%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +20.9%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +0.55%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 03-2015 | 03-2016 | 03-2017 | 03-2018 | 03-2019 | 03-2020 | 03-2021 | 03-2022 | 03-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | - | 18.53 | 0.15 | 0.05 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.10 | - | - | - |
Debt Equity | - | 0.12 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.04 | - | - | - |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 82% | 82% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is -.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 0.01.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.82.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 03-2016 | 03-2018 | 03-2020 | 03-2022 | Trend |
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Revenue | - | 13% | 16% | -20% | -0.58% |
Net Income | 20% | 8.1% | 11% | -42% | -2.4% |
Stockholders Equity | 14% | 14% | 18% | 12% | 1.9% |
FCF | 54% | -19% | -32% | -88% | -170% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +13.44%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.58%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +8.09%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -2.41%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +13.6%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +1.87%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -18.84%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -166.75%.