Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service
Hagerty, Inc. provides insurance agency services worldwide. It offers motor vehicle and boat insurance products; and reinsurance products. The company also provides Hagerty Media, which publishes contents through the Hagerty Drivers Club Magazine (HDC), video content, and social media channels; HDC that offers subscription based products and services, including HDC Magazine, automotive enthusiast events, proprietary vehicle valuation tools, emergency roadside services, and special vehicle-related discounts; HVT, a valuation tool used by the customer to access current and historic pricing data of collector vehicle models; and Hagerty Events, an eclectic mix of small and large events. In addition, it offers Hagerty Garage + Social, a platform that provides clubhouses and car storage facilities. The company is headquartered in Traverse City, Michigan.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Hagerty, Inc.
Growth
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Discount
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Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $107.3M | $139.5M | $177.5M | $220.8M | $268.7M | $319.5M | $370.9M | $420.4M | $464.7M | $500.9M | $525.9M | $5.259B |
DCF | $121.3M | $134.2M | $145.2M | $153.6M | $158.8M | $160.4M | $158M | $151.9M | $142.4M | $130M | $1.3B | |
Value | $2.756B |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | 2% | -9.9% | -3% | 2.8% | 2.8% |
ROA | 29K% | -0.97% | 0.85% | 2.8% | 2.8% |
ROE | 8.6% | 19% | -6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is -0.11%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +5.86%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +1.83%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +1.97%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +0.17%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +13.39%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | - | -126.26 | 9.89 | 1.29 | 1.29 | |||||
Debt Equity | 0.61 | -0.43 | 0.29 | 0.34 | 0.34 | |||||
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | - | - | - |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 1.29.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -8.59.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at -.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 26% | 27% | 1.5% |
Net Income | 41% | - | - |
Stockholders Equity | 52% | 12% | - |
FCF | 32% | 880% | - |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +1.53%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -.