Hawaiian Electric Industries Inc

HE

Electric Services

Mkt Cap

$1.147B

PE

6.15

Debt

$2.838B

Cash

$502.7M

EV

$3.483B

FCF

$71.59M

Market Cap

$1.147B

P/E Ratio

6.15

Debt

$2.838B

Cash

$502.7M

EV

$3.483B

FCF

$71.59M

Charts data: {"Earnings":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":168320000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":159877000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":248256000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":165297000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":201774000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":217882000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":197824000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":246166000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":241138000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":199238000}],"Sales":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":3239542000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":2602982000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":2380654000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":2555625000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":2860849000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":2874601000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":2579775000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":2850379000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":3741985000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":3682166000}],"Net Margins":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.051957961958820104},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.06142070901758061},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.10428058844334372},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.06467967718268525},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.07052941277222251},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.07579556258416385},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.07668265643321608},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.08636255038365073},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.06444119898930648},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.05410891306910118}],"Assets":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":11184161000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":11790196000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":12425506000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":13099828000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":13104051000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":13745251000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":15004007000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":15822637000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":16284244000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":17243821000}],"Stockholders Equity":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":1791428000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":1927640000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":2066753000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":2097386000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":2162280000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":2280260000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":2337502000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":2390884000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":2202499000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":2344841000}],"ROE":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.09395856266620818},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.08293924176713494},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.12011885309952375},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.07881095802107957},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.09331538931128254},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.09555138449124223},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.08463051582415758},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.10296024399343506},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.10948381815383344},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.08496866098810112}],"ROA":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.029409805527656478},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.02735773010050045},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.030086581584685565},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.025824079522265484},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.02543915618155027},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.02536687034671102},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.020760654137258135},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.024399599131295246},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.02340133198691938},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.020448136175851048}]}

Hawaiian Electric Industries, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the electric utility, banking, and non-regulated renewable/sustainable infrastructure investment businesses in the state of Hawaii. It operates through three segments: Electric Utility, Bank, and Other. The Electric Utility segment engages in the production, purchase, transmission, distribution, and sale of electricity in the islands of Oahu, Hawaii, Maui, Lanai, and Molokai. Its renewable energy sources and potential sources include wind, solar, photovoltaic, geothermal, wave, hydroelectric, municipal waste, and other biofuels. This segment serves suburban communities, resorts, the United States armed forces installations, and agricultural operations. The Bank segment operates a community bank that offers banking and other financial services to consumers and businesses, including savings and checking accounts; and loans comprising residential and commercial real estate, residential mortgage, construction and development, multifamily residential and commercial real estate, consumer, and commercial loans. This segment operates branches in Oahu, Maui, Hawaii, Kauai, and Molokai. The Other segment invests in non-regulated renewable energy and sustainable infrastructure in the State of Hawaii. Hawaiian Electric Industries, Inc. was incorporated in 1891 and is headquartered in Honolulu, Hawaii.

Sector

10-Q
9/30/23
10-Q
6/30/23
10-Q
3/31/23
10-K
12/31/22
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9/30/22
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6/30/22
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3/31/22
10-K
12/31/21
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9/30/21
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6/30/21
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3/31/21
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12/31/20
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9/30/20
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6/30/20
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3/31/20
10-K
12/31/19
10-Q
9/30/19
10-Q
6/30/19
10-Q
3/31/19
10-K
12/31/18
10-Q
9/30/18
10-Q
6/30/18
10-Q
3/31/18
10-K
12/31/17

DCF

Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Hawaiian Electric Industries Inc

Calculate

Growth Years

Growth

Start

End

Discount

Start

End

Multiple

g\r	+10%	+11%	+12%	+13%	+14%
0%	10	9	8	8	7
+1%	11	10	9	8	8
+2%	13	11	10	9	8
+3%	14	13	11	10	9
+4%	17	14	12	11	10

Years	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
FCF	$71.59M	$78.23M	$85.11M	$92.19M	$99.42M	$106.8M	$114.1M	$121.4M	$128.7M	$135.7M	$142.5M	$1.425B
DCF		$68.02M	$64.35M	$60.61M	$56.84M	$53.07M	$49.33M	$45.66M	$42.06M	$38.58M	$35.22M	$352.2M
Value	$866M

Chart P/E ratio

In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.

Earnings Growth 3.2%

Earnings Stability 28%

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

The Net Margin is too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Over time the ROA has been decreasing indicating a lower marginal ROA with respect to the calculated one, this could impede growth.

Years	12-2015	12-2016	12-2017	12-2018	12-2019	12-2020	12-2021	12-2022	12-2023	TTM
Net Margin	6.1%	10%	6.5%	7.1%	7.6%	7.7%	8.6%	6.4%	5.4%	5.1%
ROA	2.7%	3%	2.6%	2.5%	2.5%	2.1%	2.4%	2.3%	2%	2%
ROE	8.3%	12%	7.9%	9.3%	9.6%	8.5%	10%	11%	8.5%	7.9%

What is the average Net Margin?

The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +7.13%.

What is the trend of Net Margin?

The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is -0.3%.

What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?

The average ROA over the past 5 years is +2.33%.

What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?

The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is -0.08%.

What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?

The average ROE over the past 5 years is +9.52%.

What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?

The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +0.05%.

Safety & Stabiliy

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

The company has high debt with respect to the cashflow it generates.

The Graham’s stability indicate reliability of earnings, and consideration about the future are more dependable.

Years	12-2015	12-2016	12-2017	12-2018	12-2019	12-2020	12-2021	12-2022	12-2023	TTM
Debt FCF	-228.41	9.78	-22.53	-49.39	35.75	46.56	37.97	21.60	27.55	39.64
Debt Equity	0.82	0.78	0.80	0.87	0.86	0.91	0.97	1.08	1.21	1.19
MIN
Graham Stability	-	-	86%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	87%	86%

What is the Debt/FCF?

The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 39.64.

What is the trend of Debt/FCF?

The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 9.53.

What is the Graham’s Stability?

Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.86.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Earnings growth has not been increasing in the past years.

Years	12-2016	12-2018	12-2020	12-2022	Trend
Revenue	6.4%	5.2%	13%	-1.6%	2.9%
Net Income	-3.1%	-0.25%	0.24%	-17%	-2.3%
Stockholders Equity	1.8%	1.6%	0.1%	6.5%	-0.81%
FCF	-6.5%	-	31%	-6.6%	7.8%

What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?

The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +5.18%.

What is the trend of Revenue growth?

The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +2.93%.

What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?

The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -0.25%.

What is the trend of Earnings growth?

The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -2.28%.

What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?

The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +1.63%.

What is the trend of Equity growth?

The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.81%.

What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?

The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -.

What is the trend of FCF growth?

The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +7.8%.