Warrior Met Coal, Inc.

Energy
Coal Mining
www.warriormetcoal.com

Earnings Score
Moat Score
Safety Score

Market Cap $2.50B
PE 24
Debt $153.77M
Cash $462.59M
EV $2.19B
FCF -$151.72M

Earnings

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Sales & Net Margins

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Earnings	$105.45M
EBIT	$113.36M
ROE	5%
ROA	4%
FCF	-$151.72M
Equity	$2.08B
Growth Stability	-7%
PE	23.67
PEG	0.88
PB	1.2
P/FCF	-16.45
P/S	1.89
Price/Cash	0.19
Debt/Equity	0.07
Debt/FCF	-1.01
Net Margins	-3%
Gross Margins	27%
Op. Margins	9%
Earnings CAGR	-2%
Sales Growth YoY	-40%
Sales Growth QoQ	1%
Sales CAGR	4%
FCF CAGR	-5%
Equity CAGR	21%
Earnings Stability	-0.15
Earnings Growth YoY	-106%
Earnings Growth QoQ	-819%
Earnings CAGR 5Y	27%

Sales CAGR 5Y	18%
FCF CAGR 5Y	18%
Equity CAGR 5Y	32%
Earnings CAGR 3Y	22%
Sales CAGR 3Y	22%
FCF CAGR 3Y	-27%
Equity CAGR 3Y	21%
Market Cap	$2.50B
Revenue	$1.32B
Dividend Yield	1%
Payout Ratio	18%
Assets	$2.62B
Total Debt	$153.77M
Cash	$462.59M
Shares Outstanding	52.46M
EV	2.19B
Earnings Score	6%
Moat Score	44%
Safety Score	35%
Final Score	28%
Working Capital	721.19M
Current Ratio	5.14
Gross Profit	$354.21M
Shares Growth 3y	1%
Equity Growth QoQ	-1%
Equity Growth YoY	5%

Assets & ROA

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Stockholders Equity & ROE

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Warrior Met Coal Inc is a US based company. It produces and exports of met coal that operates two underground mines in Alabama. The company sells to steels manufacturers in Europe, Asia, and South America. Its mining operations consist of two underground met coal mines in Southern Appalachia's coal seam and other surface met and thermal coal mines.

SEC Filings

Direct access to Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) Annual Reports (10K) and Quarterly Reports (10Q) from the SEC website.

2025
- 10-Q Mar 31
2024
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2023
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31

Sector Comparison

How does Warrior Met Coal, Inc. compare to its competitors?

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Peter Lynch's Chart

This chart shows the current pricing of Warrior Met Coal, Inc. compared to its past. The addition of the earnings trend line provides further insights into the company's earnings power.

CAGR -2%

Stability -15%

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Warrior Met Coal, Inc. Discounted Cash Flow

Fully customizable DCF calculator online for Warrior Met Coal, Inc..

Years

Calculation mode

= -$1.1B

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
fcf	-$152M	-$144M	-$137M	-$131M	-$124M	-$118M	-$112M	-$107M	-$102M	-$97M	-$92M	-$920M
DCF		-$131M	-$113M	-$98M	-$85M	-$73M	-$63M	-$55M	-$47M	-$41M	-$35M	-$355M
Value	-$1.1B

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years	06/2017	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	05/2022	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	TTM
Net Margins	-	39%	51%	24%	-5%	14%	-	37%	29%	16%	-3%
ROA	-	43%	36%	29%	-2%	17%	-	40%	23%	11%	4%
ROE	-	110%	98%	39%	-5%	17%	-	44%	26%	12%	5%

Bad Net Margins (-2.72%)

Net Margins are too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Safety and Stability

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years	06/2017	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	05/2022	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	TTM
Debt over FCF	-	1.02	1.03	0.8	15.11	1.16	-	0.48	0.73	-1.71	-1.01
Debt over Equity	-	0.84	0.66	0.44	0.52	0.39	-	0.21	0.08	0.07	0.07
Growth Stability	-	-	-	52%	-7%	47%	-	100%	100%	45%	-7%

Good Debt/FCF ratio (-1.01)

Net Margins are high enough to offer a good protection on the profits in case of higher costs or higher interests. Furthermore higher margins reduce earnings’ volatility.

Good Debt/Equity ratio (0.07)

The company is not overleveraged and has a good balance between equity and debt.

Bad Graham’s Stability (-7%)

The company has a bad stability in its earnings, which is a sign of a bad competitive advantage.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years	06/2017	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	05/2022	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	CAGR 5Y
Revenue YoY growth	-	-	18%	-8%	-38%	35%	-	-	-4%	-9%	18%
Earnings YoY growth	-	-	53%	-57%	-112%	-522%	-	-	-25%	-48%	27%
Equity YoY growth	-	-	73%	7%	-5%	20%	-	-	29%	12%	32%
FCF YoY growth	-	-	34%	-7%	-94%	1K%	-	-	-67%	-143%	18%